Uhm i believe you just made my point for me. The statistic shows that only 32 players ranked four or five stars have made the Pro Bowl. Again if every one of those players made the Pro Bowl all 10 years(which they did not) that would potentially be 320 of the 840 roster spots taken. Leaving 520 roster spots available for those not ranked four stars or more. 320 is 38% of 840. 520 is 62%. 62% of players ranked below 4 stars make the Pro Bowl, 38% of players ranked four stars or above make the Pro Bowl. Players ranked below four stars thus are more "successful". The number of four or five star recruits in high school is irrelevant to the matter because we are evaluating them after that rating. Get it? =]
i would think the number of 4+ star recruits in highschool matters since you guys are arguing about ratings they got in highschool
Not true, the statement is that players rated below a four star have more success in the NFL vs their four and five star competitors, as evidenced by the Pro Bowl selections of the last 10 years. The fact that there were less four and five star recruits in high school is irrelevant and even if we take that stat in to account, a higher percentage of sub four star players still make the Pro Bowl. This isn't a hypothetical situation, I gave an actual figure and using that figure it is mathematically impossible for them to be more "successful".
I think the point is an individual 4-star recruit is more likely to be selected than an individual 3-star recruit. Being ranked higher out of high school is correlated to better performance at the college and professional levels.
You're making a funny, right?
No. Once again this isn't an opinion, only 32 players four stars or above have ever made the Pro Bowl. The fact that there are less of them at the high school level is irrelevant, there are supposed to be less of them. They are supposed to be the "best", yet based on the numbers, they make the pro bowl at a much lower percentage than players of a lesser ranking, it doesn't matter how many of them did not make it, only how many did make it. The recruiting rankings already rank the players within the class from one to five, no need for us to then take that number and break it down again. The Pro Bowl roster is made up of more sub 4 star players than it is four/five star players. That's a fact.