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beorach

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  1. Why Are You a Husker Fan?

    I'm 1 and 2 as well. The Corn shall rise again!
  2. stats post for the week with an NU focus

    I was thinking the same. I have generally been commenting on how our stats in the passing defense category have been inflated by how many teams choose to simply run on us but, with those both having bottomed out, the new head-scratcher is our having a "good" passing offense. We have to do something with all those possessions after our opponents kick off. p.s. - The other misleading stat is the one for 2015 rushing yards per carry. Opponents chose to throw on the NU defense that season.
  3. I'm taking all the stats for nine categories from all the games played this season between FBS teams. I'm calculating z-scores and turning them into percentiles for individual stats within those categories and then averaging all those to come up with rankings (based on the average percentile ranking for the stats within those categories). No adjustment has been made for strength of schedule (SOS). Let's start with all the Nebraska stats in these nine categories (with the number on the right being the percentile, relative to the national average for that statistic): Pass D stats completions per game 27 percentage 13 yards per attempt 55 touchdowns per game 53 rating 40 yards per game 54 Pass O stats completions per game 75 percentage 50 yards per attempt 57 touchdowns per game 69 rating 52 yards per game 81 Rush D stats yards per carry 9 touchdowns per game 14 yards per game 21 Rush O stats yards per carry 17 touchdowns per game 24 yards per game 14 Scoring D stats touchdowns per game 16 points per game 18 Scoring O stats touchdowns per game 44 points per game 44 Total D stats yards per play 23 yards per game 31 plays per game 58 Total O stats yards per play 50 yards per game 48 plays per game 46 Turnover Margin stats fumbles gained per game 9 interceptions gained per game 46 turnovers gained per game 19 fumbles lost per game 94 interceptions lost per game 11 turnovers lost per game 54 turnover margin per game 30 Average % for all these stats 39 Here is how we measure up, in terms of statistics, within our conference (considering all games played vs. FBS teams, not just conference ones like I sometimes do): PD 1 Michigan 2 Wisconsin 3 Ohio State 4 Michigan State 5 Minnesota 6 Iowa 7 Penn State 8 Indiana 9 Purdue 10 Illinois 11 Maryland 12 Rutgers 13 Northwestern 14 Nebraska PO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Nebraska 4 Wisconsin 5 Indiana 6 Purdue 7 Northwestern 8 Iowa 9 Michigan State 10 Michigan 11 Maryland 12 Illinois 13 Minnesota 14 Rutgers RD 1 Wisconsin 2 Ohio State 3 Northwestern 4 Penn State 5 Michigan State 6 Michigan 7 Purdue 8 Iowa 9 Indiana 10 Minnesota 11 Rutgers 12 Maryland 13 Illinois 14 Nebraska RO 1 Ohio State 2 Wisconsin 3 Michigan 4 Penn State 5 Minnesota 6 Northwestern 7 Michigan State 8 Maryland 9 Rutgers 10 Purdue 11 Nebraska 12 Indiana 13 Iowa 14 Illinois SD 1 Wisconsin 2 Penn State 3 Michigan 4 Purdue 5 Iowa 6 Ohio State 7 Michigan State 8 Northwestern 9 Minnesota 10 Indiana 11 Rutgers 12 Illinois 13 Nebraska 14 Maryland SO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Wisconsin 4 Northwestern 5 Nebraska 6 Indiana 7 Iowa 8 Michigan 9 Minnesota 10 Purdue 11 Maryland 12 Michigan State 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers TD 1 Wisconsin 2 Michigan 3 Ohio State 4 Michigan State 5 Minnesota 6 Penn State 7 Indiana 8 Purdue 9 Iowa 10 Northwestern 11 Rutgers 12 Illinois 13 Maryland 14 Nebraska TO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Northwestern 4 Wisconsin 5 Indiana 6 Nebraska 7 Purdue 8 Michigan State 9 Michigan 10 Iowa 11 Minnesota 12 Maryland 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers Turnovers 1 Penn State 2 Purdue 3 Wisconsin 4 Northwestern 5 Maryland 6 Ohio State 7 Iowa 8 Minnesota 9 Michigan 10 Michigan State 11 Nebraska 12 Indiana 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers The average Nebraska ranking, for all the categories above, is effectively 10th (but, as you can see below, Minnesota gets the official nod for that slot). I guess that says something about our offense, given how poor the defensive numbers are. The season could have been even worse? Here are the overall rankings for the B1G stats (based on the average of all the category averages): 1 Ohio State 87.67 2 Wisconsin 82.09 3 Penn State 81.17 4 Michigan 64.03 5 Northwestern 60.82 6 Purdue 57.90 7 Michigan State 57.29 8 Iowa 51.89 9 Indiana 51.70 10 Minnesota 48.71 11 Nebraska 35.29 12 Maryland 29.73 13 Rutgers 25.54 14 Illinois 25.06 The number on the right is calculated by taking the average of all the averages for the individual categories. In other words, I average all the stats I listed above for NU for each B1G team by category and then average those averages to get the overall ranking. I'm almost certainly laboring the point now. The average % I shared for NU up top was a straight percentage of all, regardless of category, in contrast to what I've done for the B1G rankings. Here are the national rankings, per this method of averaging category averages, considering all games between FBS teams, and not adjusting for SOS: 1 Alabama 89.59 2 Ohio State 87.67 3 Auburn 86.12 4 UCF 84.76 5 Wisconsin 82.09 6 South Florida 81.74 7 Penn State 81.17 8 Georgia 79.68 9 Clemson 78.50 10 Washington 77.25 11 Oklahoma 73.93 12 Miami (Florida) 73.49 13 Virginia Tech 73.40 14 Notre Dame 72.32 15 TCU 71.32 16 Boise State 70.68 17 San Diego State 69.84 18 Washington State 69.45 19 Toledo 67.67 20 Mississippi State 66.68 21 USC 66.23 22 Oklahoma State 65.62 23 LSU 65.41 24 Louisville 64.80 25 UTSA 64.44 26 Texas 64.38 27 Michigan 64.03 28 Southern Mississippi 63.98 29 Arkansas State 63.13 30 Northern Illinois 62.64 31 Stanford 62.50 32 Florida Atlantic 62.31 33 Memphis 61.36 34 Northwestern 60.82 35 Fresno State 60.58 36 North Carolina State 60.04 37 Troy 59.42 38 Ohio 58.86 39 Iowa State 58.44 40 Appalachian State 58.15 41 Colorado State 57.96 42 Purdue 57.90 43 Marshall 57.88 44 Houston 57.44 45 Missouri 57.44 46 Michigan State 57.29 47 Wake Forest 56.97 48 Oregon 56.70 49 Texas A&M 56.03 50 Western Michigan 55.49 51 Georgia Tech 55.48 52 Army 55.40 53 Massachusetts 55.38 54 Utah 54.15 55 UAB 54.09 56 Central Michigan 53.52 57 South Carolina 53.33 58 Eastern Michigan 53.28 59 Western Kentucky 52.70 60 West Virginia 52.04 61 Iowa 51.89 62 Wyoming 51.85 63 Indiana 51.70 64 Navy 51.67 65 Boston College 51.29 66 Texas Tech 51.11 67 Duke 50.90 68 Arizona 50.71 69 SMU 50.05 70 Miami (Ohio) 49.61 71 Georgia State 49.15 72 Arizona State 49.08 73 Buffalo 48.95 74 Kansas State 48.78 75 Minnesota 48.71 76 North Texas 48.32 77 Louisiana Tech 48.30 78 Utah State 48.22 79 Virginia 48.11 80 New Mexico State 47.25 81 Middle Tennessee 47.11 82 Florida 46.37 83 UNLV 45.18 84 Pittsburgh 43.50 85 Colorado 43.10 86 UCLA 43.07 87 Mississippi 42.46 88 Louisiana-Monroe 42.26 89 California 42.24 90 Tulane 41.87 91 Kentucky 40.80 92 Air Force 40.38 93 Temple 38.97 94 Idaho 38.81 95 Florida State 38.34 96 Louisiana-Lafayette 37.48 97 Tulsa 37.36 98 Florida International 35.44 99 Syracuse 35.35 100 Nebraska 35.29 101 Nevada 34.15 102 Hawai'i 32.36 103 Coastal Carolina 32.34 104 New Mexico 31.82 105 Arkansas 31.51 106 BYU 31.50 107 Akron 31.02 108 South Alabama 30.56 109 Tennessee 29.91 110 Baylor 29.87 111 Maryland 29.73 112 North Carolina 29.53 113 Georgia Southern 29.10 114 Texas State 28.51 115 East Carolina 27.89 116 Cincinnati 27.80 117 Old Dominion 27.79 118 Bowling Green 26.53 119 Vanderbilt 25.68 120 Connecticut 25.64 121 Rutgers 25.54 122 Illinois 25.06 123 Rice 20.38 124 Charlotte 19.49 125 Ball State 18.98 126 Kent State 18.54 127 Oregon State 18.16 128 Kansas 13.93 129 UTEP 13.73 130 San Jose State 7.84 We're consistent in that we've retained the 100th spot we were at ahead of the Penn State game. I'm looking forward to the UCF-South Florida game this Friday. Lastly, I figured I'd share the yards per carry given up by the Blackshirts going back to 2008 (because that's how far back cfbstats.com allows me to go and filter out games versus lower division teams): 2017 - 5.44 2016 - 4.44 2015 - 3.77 2014 - 4.82 2013 - 3.61 2012 - 4.96 2011 - 4.13 2010 - 3.90 2009 - 2.78 2008 - 3.67 Only six teams have posted a stat below 3 this season. 42 teams (including the aforementioned six) have posted a stat below 4. Get well, Big Red!
  4. Simple Metric for Nebraska Fan Satisfaction

    It appears you're using the rankings from when the games were played up there, MD. UCLA ended up 9th in the final AP poll for 1987. ASU was 20th. Oklahoma State actually went up to #11 by that season's end. I'm not pointing it out to nitpick. I just think early rankings are often worthless and don't think Tom needs the assist besides. I think TO gets plenty of love here and the general issue, when it comes to talk of unrealistic expectations, is how spoiled we were. I wasn't trying to hate on my own team by trying to temper them somewhat. Another big problem is how many people don't watch enough college football. You realize how rare a great QB is when you see nationally relevant programs struggle offensively, for example.
  5. Craig Bohl

    I liked your post but wasn't sure what this was about?
  6. Simple Metric for Nebraska Fan Satisfaction

    I didn't write anything about Mike Riley so I'm not sure why you're cursing at me? TO's rep changed. College football has changed (or those margins would have been worse, for one thing). Some of us would do well to remember such things ahead of the next roll of the dice. p.s. - Remember this cartoon? LJS from 1990
  7. Simple Metric for Nebraska Fan Satisfaction

    All this talk of how TO would have been fired made me look up one of my old posts, in which I wrote the following: "Remember when TO's teams lost seven bowl games in a row by an average margin over two touchdowns? Washington, Oklahoma, and Colorado also defeated our beloved Cornhuskers by similar margins during the regular seasons of those years...with the worst score being 10-45." 1987 losses: Oklahoma by 10 and F$U by 3 1988 losses: UCLA by 13 and Miami by 20 1989 losses: Colorado by 6 and F$U by 24 1990 losses: Colorado by 15; Oklahoma by 35; and Georgia Tech by 24 1991 losses: Washington by 15 and Miami by 22 (with NU failing to score in the bowl) 1992 losses: Washington by 15; Iowa State by 9; and F$U by 13 1993 losses: F$U by 2 I remember when he was a joke. How do you keep Tom Osborne from parking his car? Paint a goal line in his driveway! Hyuk! How could anyone have foreseen the historic run that was to follow? What year was it TO was going to leave NU (or get fired?). My Google key is on the fritz at the moment...
  8. Craig Bohl

    I have nothing against people speculating but how do you know this? Perhaps it's just a matter of wording. p.s. - Wyoming has an awful offense this season. Considering only stats from games between conference teams, their average yards per rush is the same as ours at 3.38. That's bad enough for 103rd out of 126 teams (excluding the independents).
  9. Worst Nebraska team since 1962?

    Huskermax is one people know, I expect, but this is a good site for old scores as well: http://www.jhowell.net/cf/scores/Nebraska.htm
  10. Here are the percentile rankings for the Cornhuskers relative to stats from all the games played between FBS opponents to date this season: Pass D stats completions per game 38 percentage 15 yards per attempt 61 touchdowns per game 71 rating 51 yards per game 66 Pass O stats completions per game 72 percentage 46 yards per attempt 51 touchdowns per game 63 rating 44 yards per game 75 Rush D stats yards per carry 13 touchdowns per game 19 yards per game 25 Rush O stats yards per carry 19 touchdowns per game 18 yards per game 16 Scoring D stats touchdowns per game 26 points per game 27 Scoring O stats touchdowns per game 35 points per game 35 Total D stats yards per play 33 yards per game 42 plays per game 63 Total O stats yards per play 45 yards per game 43 plays per game 47 Turnover Margin stats fumbles gained per game 6 interceptions gained per game 54 turnovers gained per game 20 fumbles lost per game 92 interceptions lost per game 6 turnovers lost per game 43 turnover margin per game 24 Average % for all these stats 40 Here are the percentile rankings for the Cornhuskers relative to stats from only the conference games played between FBS opponents to date this season: Pass D stats completions per game 78 percentage 36 yards per attempt 71 touchdowns per game 83 rating 66 yards per game 88 Pass O stats completions per game 75 percentage 61 yards per attempt 59 touchdowns per game 66 rating 59 yards per game 78 Rush D stats yards per carry 7 touchdowns per game 10 yards per game 11 Rush O stats yards per carry 14 touchdowns per game 9 yards per game 12 Scoring D stats touchdowns per game 17 points per game 22 Scoring O stats touchdowns per game 24 points per game 24 Total D stats yards per play 30 yards per game 46 plays per game 75 Total O stats yards per play 48 yards per game 40 plays per game 34 Turnover Margin stats fumbles gained per game 4 interceptions gained per game 51 turnovers gained per game 14 fumbles lost per game 83 interceptions lost per game 36 turnovers lost per game 62 turnover margin per game 30 Average % for all these stats 43 Here are the national rankings of relative stats, based on all the games played between FBS teams: Rank Team 1 Alabama 2 Ohio State 3 Auburn 4 UCF 5 South Florida 6 Wisconsin 7 Penn State 8 Clemson 9 Georgia 10 Washington 11 Virginia Tech 12 Miami (Florida) 13 Notre Dame 14 TCU 15 Washington State 16 Oklahoma 17 Boise State 18 Oklahoma State 19 San Diego State 20 USC 21 Michigan 22 Mississippi State 23 UTSA 24 Toledo 25 Northern Illinois 26 LSU 27 Texas 28 Ohio 29 Stanford 30 Fresno State 31 North Carolina State 32 Marshall 33 Georgia Tech 34 Memphis 35 UAB 36 Troy 37 Florida Atlantic 38 Louisville 39 Houston 40 Appalachian State 41 Wake Forest 42 Arkansas State 43 Iowa State 44 Michigan State 45 Purdue 46 Southern Mississippi 47 Utah 48 Army 49 Texas A&M 50 Western Michigan 51 Arizona 52 Minnesota 53 West Virginia 54 Missouri 55 Northwestern 56 Iowa 57 Colorado State 58 South Carolina 59 Massachusetts 60 Eastern Michigan 61 SMU 62 Texas Tech 63 Oregon 64 Western Kentucky 65 Wyoming 66 Navy 67 Central Michigan 68 New Mexico State 69 Miami (Ohio) 70 North Texas 71 Georgia State 72 Middle Tennessee 73 Boston College 74 Virginia 75 Kansas State 76 Duke 77 Kentucky 78 Arizona State 79 Louisiana-Monroe 80 Buffalo 81 Indiana 82 Air Force 83 Syracuse 84 Louisiana Tech 85 UCLA 86 Pittsburgh 87 UNLV 88 Colorado 89 Mississippi 90 California 91 Temple 92 Utah State 93 Tulane 94 Florida International 95 Florida 96 South Alabama 97 Florida State 98 Tulsa 99 Idaho 100 Nebraska 101 Hawai'i 102 Nevada 103 Louisiana-Lafayette 104 Texas State 105 New Mexico 106 Arkansas 107 Coastal Carolina 108 BYU 109 Cincinnati 110 Tennessee 111 North Carolina 112 Baylor 113 Illinois 114 Maryland 115 Rutgers 116 Bowling Green 117 Akron 118 Connecticut 119 Vanderbilt 120 Charlotte 121 Old Dominion 122 East Carolina 123 Ball State 124 Rice 125 Kent State 126 Georgia Southern 127 Oregon State 128 Kansas 129 UTEP 130 San Jose State Here are the national rankings of relative stats, based on only the games between FBS conference teams: Rank Team 1 Alabama 2 Ohio State 3 Auburn 4 Georgia 5 South Florida 6 UCF 7 Wisconsin 8 Boise State 9 Washington 10 Toledo 11 Fresno State 12 Clemson 13 USC 14 Ohio 15 Penn State 16 Northern Illinois 17 Florida Atlantic 18 Arkansas State 19 San Diego State 20 Western Michigan 21 TCU 22 Miami (Florida) 23 Marshall 24 Michigan 25 Washington State 26 Memphis 27 North Carolina State 28 Troy 29 Appalachian State 30 UAB 31 Oklahoma 32 Oklahoma State 33 Virginia Tech 34 Georgia Tech 35 Texas 36 Central Michigan 37 Southern Mississippi 38 Wyoming 39 Wake Forest 40 Miami (Ohio) 41 Colorado State 42 LSU 43 Stanford 44 UTSA 45 Utah State 46 Western Kentucky 47 South Carolina 48 North Texas 49 Georgia State 50 Houston 51 Mississippi State 52 Iowa State 53 Idaho 54 Middle Tennessee 55 SMU 56 South Alabama 57 Boston College 58 West Virginia 59 Navy 60 Northwestern 61 Louisiana-Monroe 62 Louisville 63 Arizona State 64 Michigan State 65 Arizona 66 Eastern Michigan 67 Tulane 68 Texas Tech 69 Purdue 70 Buffalo 71 Iowa 72 Air Force 73 Temple 74 UNLV 75 Nevada 76 Missouri 77 Louisiana Tech 78 Florida International 79 Utah 80 Texas State 81 New Mexico State 82 Kentucky 83 Pittsburgh 84 Florida 85 Louisiana-Lafayette 86 Akron 87 Minnesota 88 Syracuse 89 Kansas State 90 Bowling Green 91 Florida State 92 Rice 93 California 94 Virginia 95 Oregon 96 Texas A&M 97 Nebraska 98 Indiana 99 UCLA 100 Colorado 101 New Mexico 102 Mississippi 103 Hawai'i 104 Duke 105 Georgia Southern 106 Charlotte 107 Baylor 108 Old Dominion 109 Tulsa 110 Cincinnati 111 Connecticut 112 Maryland 113 Illinois 114 East Carolina 115 Coastal Carolina 116 UTEP 117 Rutgers 118 Kent State 119 North Carolina 120 Tennessee 121 Arkansas 122 Oregon State 123 Vanderbilt 124 Kansas 125 Ball State 126 San Jose State I usually get into the B1G rankings for all these categories but it's getting depressing. Here are the averages of all the individual category averages for the B1G teams (without any consideration for SOS and relative to games between all FBS teams - i.e., the OOC games are included): Ohio State 85.60 Wisconsin 83.52 Penn State 80.92 Michigan 67.21 Michigan State 56.92 Purdue 56.82 Minnesota 55.23 Northwestern 54.34 Iowa 53.93 Indiana 44.40 Nebraska 36.51 Illinois 29.19 Maryland 29.16 Rutgers 29.15 If this was the world's football, also known as association football or soccer, I guess the silver lining is our team wouldn't be relegated (as I can't think of a league that sends down four teams)? p.s. - Remember that stats are interdependent. Because of how poorly our team has defended the run, it almost looks like (on paper) that we've defended the pass better than we have. See also: passing and rushing offensive stats. Do you think we have a good passing offense? I think it's more a matter of our being reduced to having to chuck it all over the yard (well maybe not ALL OVER because that would require more time than our QB routinely gets).
  11. Miami as a model moving forward

    The idea makes me sick. We're still Nebraska. Should we channel 2LC jumping around with gold chains on the sideline, too? I get that we want to rationalize our SF fantasies but this is going too far. Miami hadn't looked like they did last weekend all season. The toughest teams they had played were Georgia Tech and Syracuse. Notre Dame hasn't had a truly great power running game under Kelly but, now that he had given up OC duty, it appeared they might have one. Wimbush is not a pocket passer, however, and ND's passing numbers have been pretty lousy. There's not much for balance, in other words. The bigger surprise was Elko's defense to me. p.s. - The ND fans seem to think BK's fingerprints are all over that offensive playcalling. The running plays were slow-developing ones that played to the strength of the Hurricons. Take the first drive by ND for another kind of example. They got to Miami's 35 before running three passing plays. That does seem more like Kelly...
  12. ** Scott Frost megathread all things SF***

    I'd like to see this process run its course without smoke. Let's hope it's like the AD hire and it just gets done quietly for the sake of the university's image. It's bad enough that some Horned Frog coach is croaking this week.
  13. Gary Patterson

    That's interesting about BS, Junior. I have wondered about someone like Snyder, too. That would have been the Riley hire that made sense (a coach who has done more with less). Would the fanbase accept an old enemy? What about the mullet that is Gundy? p.s. - I'd like to think we'd insist on a new defensive staff in that circumstance, of course.
  14. Gary Patterson

    I don't know that I'd go that far. I don't think Frank was cut out for the job but am sure he gave it all he had while some coaches on his staff were effectively retired in place.
  15. Gary Patterson

    I was against it because I thought we should be getting a seasoned head coach (like Patterson or Johnson at the time - wasn't too impressed with Grobe). I thought we should grab up Charlie Strong if we were going to get a DC from the SEC and felt it was stupid to value a Husker connection to the extent we did. With that said, I supported Bo as our head coach and only started to get disappointed when we lost to UCLA. Mora was in his first season and his team looked better than Bo's in what was his fifth. p.s. - I wonder how diminished our bargaining power is now relative to then.
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