beorach Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 To come up with a team's overall statistical rating, I've explained that I've just averaged all its average z-scores across nine categories (pass d/o, rush d/o, scoring d/o, total d/o, and turnover margin). To come up with strength of schedule (SOS), I've just averaged the overall statistical ratings for each team played. To rank all 128 FBS teams, I've just taken the average ranking for each one...meaning the ranking of overall stats and the ranking of SOS. E.g., the rank for Nebraska's overall statistics (mathematically equivalent to the average z-score for those nine categories listed above) is 66th. The rank of their SOS is 45th. The average of those two ranks is what puts them where they are below: 1. Alabama 2. Notre Dame 3. Tennessee 4. Navy 5. Arkansas, LSU, West Virginia (tie) 6. Clemson 7. Mississippi State, USC (tie) 8. Oklahoma 9. Mississippi 10. Western Michigan 11. Michigan State, Washington (tie) 12. California, Florida, Louisville, Pittsburgh (tie) 13. Florida State 14. Penn State 15. Utah State 16. Illinois 17. Auburn, Ohio State (tie) 18. Boston College 19. Oregon 20. Georgia Tech, Memphis (tie) 21. Minnesota 22. Northwestern 23. BYU, Georgia, Oklahoma State (tie) 24. Vanderbilt 25. Miami (Florida) 26. Arizona State 27. Michigan 28. North Carolina State 29. North Carolina, Texas A&M (tie) 30. Iowa State 31. Maryland, Virginia Tech (tie) 32. Baylor 33. Utah 34. Missouri, Syracuse, TCU (tie) 35. Nebraska 36. Toledo 37. Wake Forest 38. Bowling Green, Stanford, Texas Tech, Virginia (tie) 39. Purdue 40. South Carolina 41. Air Force 42. Appalachian State 43. Indiana 44. Iowa 45. Boise State 46. UCLA 47. Georgia Southern, SMU, Western Kentucky (tie) 48. South Florida 49. Connecticut, Houston (tie) 50. Wisconsin 51. Cincinnati 52. San Diego State 53. East Carolina, Northern Illinois (tie) 54. Southern Mississippi 55. Wyoming 56. Kansas 57. Central Michigan, Kansas State, Middle Tennessee (tie) 58. Akron 59. Oregon State 60. Texas 61. Ball State 62. Arizona, Temple (tie) 63. Arkansas State 64. Marshall 65. Duke 66. Kentucky 67. Colorado State, Kent State, Louisiana Tech (tie) 68. Buffalo 69. Washington State 70. Rutgers 71. North Texas 72. Fresno State 73. South Alabama, UNLV (tie) 74. Troy 75. Old Dominion 76. Ohio, UCF (tie) 77. Colorado 78. San Jose State 79. Miami (Ohio) 80. Hawai'i 81. New Mexico, Tulsa (tie) 82. Nevada 83. Texas State, Tulane (tie) 84. Florida Atlantic 85. Louisiana-Monroe 86. Georgia State, Massachusetts (tie) 87. New Mexico State 88. Louisiana-Lafayette, Rice (tie) 89. Charlotte, Idaho (tie) 90. Army 91. Florida International 92. Eastern Michigan 93. UTSA 94. UTEP To repeat, this order was determined by taking the average of two rankings: 1) the national ranking for the stats taken from the z-score method I've explained previously; and 2) the national ranking for the schedule strength a team played (by taking the average of all the overall statistical average z-scores for all the teams played). Seeing Iowa ranked below Nebraska doesn't mean the Cornhuskers are better than the Hawkeyes this season. It just means that the average of the Husker stats and strength of schedule rankings is higher than that of Iowa. The rankings, by just the overall statiscal average z-scores, are as follows: 1 Oklahoma 2 Baylor 3 Ohio State 4 Alabama 5 Clemson 6 Houston 7 San Diego State 8 Western Kentucky 9 Southern Mississippi 10 Iowa 11 Appalachian State 12 Bowling Green 13 Georgia Southern 14 North Carolina 15 Navy 16 Boise State 17 Wisconsin 18 Florida State 19 Toledo 20 Michigan 21 West Virginia 22 Florida 23 Air Force 24 Michigan State 25 North Carolina State 26 Stanford 27 Notre Dame 28 Mississippi 29 LSU 30 USC 31 TCU 32 Temple 33 South Florida 34 Georgia 35 Northern Illinois 36 Memphis 37 Tennessee 38 Utah 39 UCLA 40 Oklahoma State 41 Marshall 42 Washington 43 Pittsburgh 44 Arkansas 45 Arkansas State 46 BYU 47 Oregon 48 Louisiana Tech 49 Western Michigan 50 Central Michigan 51 Middle Tennessee 52 Utah State 53 Louisville 54 Ohio 55 Penn State 56 Mississippi State 57 Texas A&M 58 Northwestern 59 Akron 60 Duke 61 Texas Tech 62 Washington State 63 Cincinnati 64 Arizona State 65 California 66 Nebraska 67 Virginia Tech 68 Nevada 69 East Carolina 70 Connecticut 71 Illinois 72 Georgia State 73 Auburn 74 Minnesota 75 San Jose State 76 Indiana 77 Boston College 78 Texas 79 Kentucky 80 Miami (Florida) 81 Colorado State 82 Georgia Tech 83 New Mexico 84 Missouri 85 Army 86 Florida Atlantic 87 Tulsa 88 Louisiana-Lafayette 89 Buffalo 90 Arizona 91 Massachusetts 92 South Carolina 93 Colorado 94 Virginia 95 Vanderbilt 96 Troy 97 UTSA 98 Florida International 99 Kansas State 100 Iowa State 101 Old Dominion 102 UNLV 103 Syracuse 104 Maryland 105 Wyoming 106 Wake Forest 107 South Alabama 108 Kent State 109 Idaho 110 New Mexico State 111 Rutgers 112 Purdue 113 UTEP 114 Rice 115 Tulane 116 Texas State 117 Miami (Ohio) 118 Ball State 119 Fresno State 120 SMU 121 Eastern Michigan 122 Charlotte 123 Oregon State 124 North Texas 125 Louisiana-Monroe 126 Hawai'i 127 UCF 128 Kansas The rankings, by just SOS (as calculated with the z-scores), are as follows: 1 Maryland 2 Vanderbilt 3 Purdue 4 Iowa State 5 Mississippi State 6 Syracuse 7 Wake Forest 8 SMU 9 Georgia Tech 10 Boston College 11 Arkansas 12 Kansas 13 Auburn 14 Illinois 15 California 16 Tennessee 17 Alabama 18 Minnesota 19 Miami (Florida) 20 Virginia 21 Western Michigan 22 Oregon State 23 Notre Dame 24 South Carolina 25 Missouri 26 LSU 27 Louisville 28 Penn State 29 Washington 30 Ball State 31 USC 32 Utah State 33 Wyoming 34 West Virginia 35 Northwestern 36 Arizona State 37 Pittsburgh 38 Virginia Tech 39 Navy 40 Mississippi 41 Oregon 42 North Texas 43 Kansas State 44 Indiana 45 Nebraska 46 Texas A&M 47 Michigan State 48 Fresno State 49 UCF 50 BYU 51 Clemson 52 Kent State 53 Texas Tech 54 Rutgers 55 Memphis 56 Oklahoma State 57 Hawai'i 58 Florida 59 Arizona 60 Connecticut 61 South Alabama 62 Georgia 63 Florida State 64 Miami (Ohio) 65 Oklahoma 66 UNLV 67 East Carolina 68 Texas 69 Cincinnati 70 Utah 71 Louisiana-Monroe 72 Buffalo 73 Old Dominion 74 Troy 75 Texas State 76 Tulane 77 North Carolina State 78 TCU 79 Colorado State 80 Kentucky 81 Michigan 82 Charlotte 83 Ohio State 84 Akron 85 Colorado 86 UCLA 87 Rice 88 Stanford 89 North Carolina 90 New Mexico State 91 Middle Tennessee 92 Central Michigan 93 Toledo 94 Air Force 95 Idaho 96 South Florida 97 Eastern Michigan 98 Duke 99 Tulsa 100 Washington State 101 Northern Illinois 102 Bowling Green 103 New Mexico 104 San Jose State 105 Baylor 106 Massachusetts 107 Boise State 108 Appalachian State 109 Florida Atlantic 110 Arkansas State 111 Iowa 112 Louisiana Tech 113 Louisiana-Lafayette 114 Wisconsin 115 Georgia Southern 116 Marshall 117 Temple 118 UTEP 119 Florida International 120 Western Kentucky 121 Nevada 122 Ohio 123 UTSA 124 Houston 125 Georgia State 126 Army 127 San Diego State 128 Southern Mississippi p.s. - I should have noted before that I did not consider any games played against teams from outside the FBS. By this rationale, Alabama is not penalized for playing Sam Houston State or whatever. I only figured out the average rating of the teams on their schedule that were from the top division. 1 Quote Link to comment
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