BigRedBuster Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 I'm a little surprised that I haven't heard hardly anything about projections on congressional races. I think the Dems have a better chance of regaining control of the Senate than they do the House. Quite frankly, I'm not sure how I want this to go. There is a big part of me that says no matter which of the top candidates win, I can't stand either so much that I want the other party to control congress. Is there anywhere that is projecting how this is going to work out in the fall? Link to comment
knapplc Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 I haven't heard any buzz that control of either side of Congress is really at play this year. I think if the Dems take over the Senate or House it'll be a surprise. Maybe I'm just missing that chatter, though. Link to comment
TGHusker Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 Good chance Dems take Senate which I won't want to happen (big surprise huh!) The Senate leadership has been terrible by both parties. Trump won't have the coat tails to save the Repubs which have to defend many more seats than the dems. The House I think will be safe for the Repubs. To me the Senate is important for one big reason - Supreme court. If Hillary gets elected and has a Dem Senate - we'll see the most liberal appointments ever IMHO - Good chance there will be 3-4 appointments during the next 4 years including the pending one that the Senate is sitting on to replace Scalia. 1 Link to comment
knapplc Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 Good chance Dems take Senate which I won't want to happen (big surprise huh!) The Senate leadership has been terrible by both parties. Trump won't have the coat tails to save the Repubs which have to defend many more seats than the dems. The House I think will be safe for the Repubs. To me the Senate is important for one big reason - Supreme court. If Hillary gets elected and has a Dem Senate - we'll see the most liberal appointments ever IMHO - Good chance there will be 3-4 appointments during the next 4 years including the pending one that the Senate is sitting on to replace Scalia. If that's the case, the Republicans will only have themselves to blame. Obama has a moderate nominee all teed up, and they refuse to even hold hearings. 6 Link to comment
AFhusker Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 Good chance Dems take Senate which I won't want to happen (big surprise huh!) The Senate leadership has been terrible by both parties. Trump won't have the coat tails to save the Repubs which have to defend many more seats than the dems. The House I think will be safe for the Repubs. To me the Senate is important for one big reason - Supreme court. If Hillary gets elected and has a Dem Senate - we'll see the most liberal appointments ever IMHO - Good chance there will be 3-4 appointments during the next 4 years including the pending one that the Senate is sitting on to replace Scalia. If that's the case, the Republicans will only have themselves to blame. Obama has a moderate nominee all teed up, and they refuse to even hold hearings. It's payback for the Dems doing it to Bush in 2006. You know because in politics two wrongs make a right . Link to comment
zoogs Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 Payback for Bush's nomination that was hounded into withdrawing by conservatives appalled that they weren't going to get an ideological warrior, and eager to make sure the *grave mistakes* of past Republican appointees turning out to vote with liberals weren't repeated? That's how we got the delightful Samuel Alito, after all. Nominated October 31, confirmation hearings held mid January, confirmed January 25. This is payback for that? Or is it maybe business as usual for a faction long insistent on ideological adherence in this country's Supreme Court nominations? 3 Link to comment
TGHusker Posted July 26, 2016 Share Posted July 26, 2016 Good chance Dems take Senate which I won't want to happen (big surprise huh!) The Senate leadership has been terrible by both parties. Trump won't have the coat tails to save the Repubs which have to defend many more seats than the dems. The House I think will be safe for the Repubs. To me the Senate is important for one big reason - Supreme court. If Hillary gets elected and has a Dem Senate - we'll see the most liberal appointments ever IMHO - Good chance there will be 3-4 appointments during the next 4 years including the pending one that the Senate is sitting on to replace Scalia. If that's the case, the Republicans will only have themselves to blame. Obama has a moderate nominee all teed up, and they refuse to even hold hearings. Knapp I agree - I suspect if Hillary is elected, the repubs may quickly confirm Obama's choice as it won't get any better. Link to comment
Danny Bateman Posted August 9, 2016 Share Posted August 9, 2016 Great article on this, BRB. The Dems need 4 seats to take back Senate if Clinton wins and 5 if she loses. The latter is very unlikely, as Trump turnout would probably doom a lot of Dem contenders in swing states. Their best chances to win are probably WI, IL, NH, IN, NV, PN, NC, AZ, OH, FL... probably in that order. The top three are heading toward lock status, and that'd leave them chasing one seat. Weird to say a stalwart like McCain or a promising young star like Rubio could be on the hot seat. But if Trump continues to trend downward in their states, the turnout on the Dem side (and trend of decreasing ticket splitting) may overwhelm them. I think I read somewhere that if Trump loses a state by at least 6 points, that's the start of real issues for Congressional Republicans in that state. Here's a relevant poll that came out this week... Link to comment
HuskerNation1 Posted August 16, 2016 Share Posted August 16, 2016 I'm a little surprised that I haven't heard hardly anything about projections on congressional races. I think the Dems have a better chance of regaining control of the Senate than they do the House. Quite frankly, I'm not sure how I want this to go. There is a big part of me that says no matter which of the top candidates win, I can't stand either so much that I want the other party to control congress. Is there anywhere that is projecting how this is going to work out in the fall? Good topic. I think the GOP may lose a few seats in the House but not enough to affect their majority. Regarding the Senate, I had put another thread up here a month ago with a calculator and some predictions, but I think that's fallen down the list. When I went through each race, I ended up with the Senate being a 50/50 tie. Go figure. Link to comment
Moiraine Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 https://twitter.com/voxdotcom/status/768062756864061440 Dunno who that dude is but he looks very smug. Link to comment
Danny Bateman Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 I believe that's Chuck Schumer from New York who will take over as the top Dem in the Senate after Reid retires. Link to comment
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