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Trump Taking Credit Where None Is Due


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22 hours ago, RedDenver said:

I think 2, 3, 6, and 10 are at least somewhat likely. 4 is still happening as it has been for the last 30 years, and 5 is already happening as you mentioned. 11 is less likely but possible as the US and the Eurozone are in a similar situation to what the Japanese economy did prior to their deflation in the late 80's (large elderly population, large consumer debt).

 

As for reasons:

2 - we already mentioned

3 - housing bubble looks likely especially in some of the larger markets (here in Denver the prices have been rising fast)

6 - already happened and the effects take some time to occur (good or bad)

10 - where has all the leverage from the financial crisis gone? Some saying car loans could be the next bubble, or payday lending, or probably something we don't see coming.

 

Maybe we just witnessed #5.

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