beorach Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 I've shared details on what I'm posting here and, from this point on, the only difference is games against lower division opponents will no longer be counted. There have been enough games played between FBS teams now. Eventually, I might share stats from games played only between P5 teams as well. I'm using cfbstats.com and footballperspective.com now for data and SOS rankings, respectively. The Congrove SOS numbers I had used were based on the whole season before the games had been played (so that was a mistake). Nebraska Cornhuskers by percentile (relative to national averages across the listed categories from games played to date) Pass D: 32.5 (was 55.0 before Ohio State game) Pass O: 49.2 (was 43.1) Rush D: 48.7 (was 61.4) Rush O: 32.0 (was 39.2) Scoring D: 35.4 (was 57.7) Scoring O: 42.0 (was 48.3) Total D: 53.8 (was 72.0) Total O: 43.1 (was 43.0) Turnover Margin: 33.8 (was 37.0) OVERALL Percentile Average: 41.2 (was 50.7) DEFENSIVE Percentile Average: 42.6 (was 61.5) OFFENSIVE Percentile Average: 41.5 (was 43.4) Here are the B1G rankings for all these categories and SOS (strength of schedule with national rank given) for information only and no ranking adjustment was made per SOS: PD 1 Michigan 2 Michigan State 3 Penn State 4 Ohio State 5 Minnesota 6 Purdue 7 Indiana 8 Iowa 9 Northwestern 10 Wisconsin 11 Illinois 12 Rutgers 13 Maryland 14 Nebraska PO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Wisconsin 4 Iowa 5 Purdue 6 Northwestern 7 Nebraska 8 Indiana 9 Michigan State 10 Minnesota 11 Maryland 12 Michigan 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers RD 1 Wisconsin 2 Michigan 3 Michigan State 4 Ohio State 5 Penn State 6 Northwestern 7 Iowa 8 Minnesota 9 Rutgers 10 Purdue 11 Indiana 12 Nebraska 13 Illinois 14 Maryland RO 1 Ohio State 2 Wisconsin 3 Penn State 4 Michigan State 5 Michigan 6 Minnesota 7 Northwestern 8 Rutgers 9 Nebraska 10 Maryland 11 Iowa 12 Indiana 13 Illinois 14 Purdue SD 1 Penn State 2 Wisconsin 3 Michigan 4 Ohio State 5 Iowa 6 Michigan State 7 Minnesota 8 Purdue 9 Northwestern 10 Rutgers 11 Indiana 12 Nebraska 13 Illinois 14 Maryland SO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Wisconsin 4 Iowa 5 Indiana 6 Northwestern 7 Minnesota 8 Maryland 9 Nebraska 10 Purdue 11 Michigan 12 Michigan State 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers TD 1 Michigan 2 Wisconsin 3 Michigan State 4 Penn State 5 Ohio State 6 Minnesota 7 Northwestern 8 Nebraska 9 Iowa 10 Purdue 11 Rutgers 12 Indiana 13 Illinois 14 Maryland TO 1 Ohio State 2 Wisconsin 3 Penn State 4 Northwestern 5 Michigan State 6 Indiana 7 Nebraska 8 Michigan 9 Purdue 10 Iowa 11 Minnesota 12 Illinois 13 Maryland 14 Rutgers Turnovers 1 Penn State 2 Ohio State 3 Minnesota 4 Purdue 5 Maryland 6 Michigan State 7 Wisconsin 8 Iowa 9 Illinois 10 Michigan 11 Nebraska 12 Northwestern 13 Rutgers 14 Indiana SOS 5 Maryland 6 Michigan State 8 Indiana 11 Northwestern 13 Purdue 14 Iowa 19 Nebraska 23 Michigan 36 Ohio State 43 Penn State 51 Wisconsin 54 Minnesota 67 Rutgers 76 Illinois Here are the Cornhusker percentiles (relative to national averages for FBS teams) for all the stats I'm tracking in the categories shared above: Rushing Defense Percentiles Yards per carry: 38.4 (was 51.5) Yards per game: 52.3 (was 65.2) Touchdowns per game: 55.6 (was 67.1) Passing Offense Percentiles Completions per game: 57.4 (was 47.0) Percentage: 32.8 (was 27.2) Yards per attempt: 42.4 (was 39.4) Touchdowns per game: 64.0 (was 61.3) Rating: 36.7 (was 33.3) Yards per game: 62.2 (was 52.0) Passing Defense Percentiles Completions per game: 19.3 (was 39.2) Percentage: 6.5 (was 18.7) Yards per attempt: 56.8 (was 68.3) Touchdowns per game: 42.4 (was 74.3) Rating: 36.1 (was 61.0) Yards per game: 51.4 (was 69.6) Rushing Offense Percentiles Yards per carry: 40.7 (was 45.1) Touchdowns per game: 27.3 (was 34.8) Yards per game: 28.5 (was 37.9) Scoring Defense Percentiles Touchdowns per game: 34.3 (was 57.8) Points per game: 36.5 (was 57.6) Scoring Offense Percentiles Touchdowns per game: 43.0 (was 48.4) Points per game: 40.8 (was 48.3) Total Defense Percentiles Yards per play: 44.5 (was 60.8) Yards per game: 52.6 (was 73.1) Plays per game: 64.1 (was 80.4) Total Offense Percentiles Plays per game: 39.8 (was 45.2) Yards per play: 47.0 (was 42.6) Yards per game: 42.4 (was 41.3) Turnover Margin Percentiles: Fumbles gained per game: 15.5 (was 19.6) Interceptions gained per game: 60.9 (was 72.0) Total gained per game: 33.5 (was 46.1) Fumbles lost per game: 83.6 (was 78.6) Interceptions lost per game: 5.9 (was 5.8) Total lost per game: 29.5 (was 24.8) Margin per game: 26.2 (was 30.8) Here are the national rankings, with average category percentile ratings, without any adjustment having been made for SOS: Rank Team overall 1 Ohio State 88.74 2 Alabama 88.06 3 UCF 87.43 4 South Florida 86.21 5 Penn State 85.35 6 Georgia 80.88 7 Wisconsin 78.18 8 Clemson 78.11 9 Virginia Tech 77.10 10 Auburn 76.36 11 Oklahoma State 76.30 12 Washington 75.10 13 Oklahoma 75.02 14 Notre Dame 74.11 15 TCU 72.94 16 Miami (Florida) 70.70 17 North Carolina State 68.55 18 UTSA 67.94 19 USC 67.32 20 Virginia 67.23 21 Arizona 66.81 22 Washington State 66.55 23 Stanford 65.77 24 Michigan State 65.67 25 Michigan 63.99 26 Texas 63.84 27 Utah 63.27 28 Georgia Tech 62.91 29 Marshall 62.58 30 Wake Forest 62.44 31 Southern Mississippi 62.37 32 Iowa State 62.27 33 San Diego State 61.68 34 Mississippi State 61.08 35 Oregon 60.40 36 Texas Tech 60.32 37 Minnesota 59.85 38 Colorado State 59.76 39 Western Kentucky 58.91 40 SMU 58.02 41 West Virginia 57.91 42 Toledo 57.73 43 Duke 57.72 44 Boise State 57.31 45 Louisville 57.29 46 Houston 56.99 47 LSU 56.73 48 Fresno State 56.37 49 Northern Illinois 55.74 50 Texas A&M 55.48 51 Memphis 54.99 52 Navy 54.87 53 Kansas State 54.72 54 Iowa 54.41 55 New Mexico State 54.12 56 Florida 53.95 57 Syracuse 53.82 58 Western Michigan 53.64 59 Purdue 53.42 60 South Carolina 53.40 61 Army 53.25 62 Appalachian State 52.71 63 Northwestern 51.97 64 UAB 51.49 65 Colorado 51.34 66 Eastern Michigan 51.18 67 Troy 50.98 68 Kentucky 50.46 69 Ohio 49.59 70 Florida Atlantic 49.44 71 Georgia State 48.74 72 North Texas 48.55 73 Florida State 48.00 74 Louisiana-Monroe 47.08 75 Miami (Ohio) 46.50 76 UCLA 46.34 77 Arkansas State 45.41 78 Tulane 45.30 79 Middle Tennessee 44.77 80 Coastal Carolina 44.12 81 UNLV 44.11 82 Buffalo 43.95 83 Louisiana Tech 43.74 84 Air Force 43.58 85 Arizona State 42.95 86 New Mexico 42.87 87 Hawai'i 42.74 88 Massachusetts 42.58 89 Wyoming 42.10 90 Idaho 41.98 91 Tulsa 41.97 92 Louisiana-Lafayette 41.62 93 Indiana 41.62 94 California 41.47 95 Nebraska 41.15 96 Utah State 40.18 97 Mississippi 39.82 98 Central Michigan 37.84 99 Temple 36.61 100 Arkansas 36.27 101 Florida International 35.87 102 Boston College 35.69 103 North Carolina 35.44 104 Ball State 35.27 105 Tennessee 34.76 106 Pittsburgh 33.51 107 Nevada 32.80 108 Connecticut 32.28 109 Rutgers 30.39 110 South Alabama 30.37 111 Akron 30.17 112 Illinois 29.58 113 Maryland 29.53 114 Bowling Green 26.30 115 Cincinnati 25.66 116 Georgia Southern 25.10 117 Vanderbilt 24.98 118 Kent State 24.90 119 Texas State 24.31 120 Baylor 22.69 121 Kansas 22.10 122 Charlotte 21.88 123 East Carolina 21.05 124 Oregon State 20.50 125 BYU 19.58 126 Rice 18.87 127 Missouri 18.38 128 Old Dominion 16.64 129 UTEP 14.24 130 San Jose State 12.19 1 Quote Link to comment
brophog Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 95th vs 3rd I have no idea why one topic is dominating the boards. 2 Quote Link to comment
Cy the Cyclone Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Wow...32nd nationally! Oops...uh, I mean...bummer. 1 Quote Link to comment
Big red surfers Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 On top of that. We continue to get mentioned in espn Bottm 10 list. 1 Quote Link to comment
In the Deed the Glory Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Thats a lot of stats to say we don't have a very good football team right now. 1 Quote Link to comment
BIG ERN Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 B10 STATS: Scoring PPG: 11th Defense PPG: 13th Rushing Offense: 12th Rushing YPC: 8th Rushing Defense: 10th Passing Offense: 4th Passing Defense: 10th Sacks Forced: T-10th Sacks allowed/Game: 3rd TFL: 12th Penalties: 9th TO Margin: 12th Red Zone Conversion %: 12th 2 Quote Link to comment
beorach Posted October 18, 2017 Author Share Posted October 18, 2017 14 hours ago, Cy the Cyclone said: Wow...32nd nationally! Oops...uh, I mean...bummer. ISU percentile breakdown: pass o: 74.1 pass d: 35.0 rush o: 25.8 rush d: 85.9 scoring o: 75.5 scoring d: 75.3 total o: 47.5 total d: 68.4 turnover margin: 72.9 SOS national rank: 40th Quote Link to comment
Nebfanatic Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 13 minutes ago, BIG ERN said: B10 STATS: Scoring PPG: 11th Defense PPG: 13th Rushing Offense: 12th Rushing YPC: 8th Rushing Defense: 10th Passing Offense: 4th Passing Defense: 10th Sacks Forced: T-10th Sacks allowed/Game: 3rd TFL: 12th Penalties: 9th TO Margin: 12th Red Zone Conversion %: 12th We suck across the board but it's nice to see us at 3rd in sacks allowed. Alot of people thought we'd be 14th in the preseason with our statue qb Quote Link to comment
beorach Posted October 18, 2017 Author Share Posted October 18, 2017 14 hours ago, In the Deed the Glory said: Thats a lot of stats to say we don't have a very good football team right now. Let's be fair, though. We have loads of people regularly saying worse than that without sharing factual information. I need to start keeping a record so I can provide a graph spanning multiple coaches, years, decades... The stats are still there (going back to 2008 on cfbstats.com) so it'd just be a matter of time and effort. 2012's historical scores are looking similar to this season's but the conference was weaker back then. Michigan and Penn State certainly were anyway...and then you had Iowa and Minnesota arguably. We had to get our blowout loss to Wisconsin in the CCG, too. Quote Link to comment
beorach Posted October 18, 2017 Author Share Posted October 18, 2017 30 minutes ago, BIG ERN said: B10 STATS: Scoring PPG: 11th Defense PPG: 13th Rushing Offense: 12th Rushing YPC: 8th Rushing Defense: 10th Passing Offense: 4th Passing Defense: 10th Sacks Forced: T-10th Sacks allowed/Game: 3rd TFL: 12th Penalties: 9th TO Margin: 12th Red Zone Conversion %: 12th The only issue I have with any of that is they're only considering one stat within each of those categories to determine rankings. E.g., passing offense rank is determined by passing yards per game only. Never mind how many touchdowns you scored with the pass, how high your completion percentage is, etc. Quote Link to comment
jessica0 Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 37 minutes ago, BIG ERN said: B10 STATS: Scoring PPG: 11th Defense PPG: 13th Rushing Offense: 12th Rushing YPC: 8th Rushing Defense: 10th Passing Offense: 4th Passing Defense: 10th Sacks Forced: T-10th Sacks allowed/Game: 3rd TFL: 12th Penalties: 9th TO Margin: 12th Red Zone Conversion %: 12th The stats show this is a bottom tier team. The eye test says the same thing. Quote Link to comment
Street Novelist Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 So, in other words, we're not good at anything? Quote Link to comment
KingBlank Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 2 hours ago, beorach said: The only issue I have with any of that is they're only considering one stat within each of those categories to determine rankings. E.g., passing offense rank is determined by passing yards per game only. Never mind how many touchdowns you scored with the pass, how high your completion percentage is, etc. Well if you add those in it probably makes it worse Quote Link to comment
neepster Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 18 hours ago, Cy the Cyclone said: Wow...32nd nationally! Oops...uh, I mean...bummer. Not sure where you are getting that 32nd nationally thing... the only 32 I see in that data is Pass D and Rush O and both of those are percentiles, which means that literally 68% of teams are BETTER than us in that. We aren't 32nd. We are considerably worse than that. Quote Link to comment
brophog Posted October 18, 2017 Share Posted October 18, 2017 1 minute ago, neepster said: We aren't 32nd We arent Iowa St, either. Quote Link to comment
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