stats post for the week with an NU focus

[beorach]

I'm taking all the stats for nine categories from all the games played this season between FBS teams.  I'm calculating z-scores and turning them into percentiles for individual stats within those categories and then averaging all those to come up with rankings (based on the average percentile ranking for the stats within those categories).  No adjustment has been made for strength of schedule (SOS).

 

Let's start with all the Nebraska stats in these nine categories (with the number on the right being the percentile, relative to the national average for that statistic):

 

Pass D stats
completions per game	27
percentage	13
yards per attempt	55
touchdowns per game	53
rating	40
yards per game	54
Pass O stats
completions per game	75
percentage	50
yards per attempt	57
touchdowns per game	69
rating	52
yards per game	81
Rush D stats
yards per carry	9
touchdowns per game	14
yards per game	21
Rush O stats
yards per carry	17
touchdowns per game	24
yards per game	14
Scoring D stats
touchdowns per game	16
points per game	18
Scoring O stats
touchdowns per game	44
points per game	44
Total D stats
yards per play	23
yards per game	31
plays per game	58
Total O stats
yards per play	50
yards per game	48
plays per game	46
Turnover Margin stats
fumbles gained per game	9
interceptions gained per game	46
turnovers gained per game	19
fumbles lost per game	94
interceptions lost per game	11
turnovers lost per game	54
turnover margin per game	30
Average % for all these stats	39

 

Here is how we measure up, in terms of statistics, within our conference (considering all games played vs. FBS teams, not just conference ones like I sometimes do):

 

PD
1	Michigan
2	Wisconsin
3	Ohio State
4	Michigan State
5	Minnesota
6	Iowa
7	Penn State
8	Indiana
9	Purdue
10	Illinois
11	Maryland
12	Rutgers
13	Northwestern
14	Nebraska
PO
1	Ohio State
2	Penn State
3	Nebraska
4	Wisconsin
5	Indiana
6	Purdue
7	Northwestern
8	Iowa
9	Michigan State
10	Michigan
11	Maryland
12	Illinois
13	Minnesota
14	Rutgers
RD
1	Wisconsin
2	Ohio State
3	Northwestern
4	Penn State
5	Michigan State
6	Michigan
7	Purdue
8	Iowa
9	Indiana
10	Minnesota
11	Rutgers
12	Maryland
13	Illinois
14	Nebraska
RO
1	Ohio State
2	Wisconsin
3	Michigan
4	Penn State
5	Minnesota
6	Northwestern
7	Michigan State
8	Maryland
9	Rutgers
10	Purdue
11	Nebraska
12	Indiana
13	Iowa
14	Illinois
SD
1	Wisconsin
2	Penn State
3	Michigan
4	Purdue
5	Iowa
6	Ohio State
7	Michigan State
8	Northwestern
9	Minnesota
10	Indiana
11	Rutgers
12	Illinois
13	Nebraska
14	Maryland
SO
1	Ohio State
2	Penn State
3	Wisconsin
4	Northwestern
5	Nebraska
6	Indiana
7	Iowa
8	Michigan
9	Minnesota
10	Purdue
11	Maryland
12	Michigan State
13	Illinois
14	Rutgers
TD
1	Wisconsin
2	Michigan
3	Ohio State
4	Michigan State
5	Minnesota
6	Penn State
7	Indiana
8	Purdue
9	Iowa
10	Northwestern
11	Rutgers
12	Illinois
13	Maryland
14	Nebraska
TO
1	Ohio State
2	Penn State
3	Northwestern
4	Wisconsin
5	Indiana
6	Nebraska
7	Purdue
8	Michigan State
9	Michigan
10	Iowa
11	Minnesota
12	Maryland
13	Illinois
14	Rutgers
Turnovers
1	Penn State
2	Purdue
3	Wisconsin
4	Northwestern
5	Maryland
6	Ohio State
7	Iowa
8	Minnesota
9	Michigan
10	Michigan State
11	Nebraska
12	Indiana
13	Illinois
14	Rutgers

 

The average Nebraska ranking, for all the categories above, is effectively 10th (but, as you can see below, Minnesota gets the official nod for that slot).  I guess that says something about our offense, given how poor the defensive numbers are.  The season could have been even worse?

 

Here are the overall rankings for the B1G stats (based on the average of all the category averages):

 

1	Ohio State	87.67
2	Wisconsin	82.09
3	Penn State	81.17
4	Michigan	64.03
5	Northwestern	60.82
6	Purdue	57.90
7	Michigan State	57.29
8	Iowa	51.89
9	Indiana	51.70
10	Minnesota	48.71
11	Nebraska	35.29
12	Maryland	29.73
13	Rutgers	25.54
14	Illinois	25.06

 

The number on the right is calculated by taking the average of all the averages for the individual categories.  In other words, I average all the stats I listed above for NU for each B1G team by category and then average those averages to get the overall ranking.  I'm almost certainly laboring the point now.  The average % I shared for NU up top was a straight percentage of all, regardless of category, in contrast to what I've done for the B1G rankings.

 

Here are the national rankings, per this method of averaging category averages, considering all games between FBS teams, and not adjusting for SOS:

 

1	Alabama	89.59
2	Ohio State	87.67
3	Auburn	86.12
4	UCF	84.76
5	Wisconsin	82.09
6	South Florida	81.74
7	Penn State	81.17
8	Georgia	79.68
9	Clemson	78.50
10	Washington	77.25
11	Oklahoma	73.93
12	Miami (Florida)	73.49
13	Virginia Tech	73.40
14	Notre Dame	72.32
15	TCU	71.32
16	Boise State	70.68
17	San Diego State	69.84
18	Washington State	69.45
19	Toledo	67.67
20	Mississippi State	66.68
21	USC	66.23
22	Oklahoma State	65.62
23	LSU	65.41
24	Louisville	64.80
25	UTSA	64.44
26	Texas	64.38
27	Michigan	64.03
28	Southern Mississippi	63.98
29	Arkansas State	63.13
30	Northern Illinois	62.64
31	Stanford	62.50
32	Florida Atlantic	62.31
33	Memphis	61.36
34	Northwestern	60.82
35	Fresno State	60.58
36	North Carolina State	60.04
37	Troy	59.42
38	Ohio	58.86
39	Iowa State	58.44
40	Appalachian State	58.15
41	Colorado State	57.96
42	Purdue	57.90
43	Marshall	57.88
44	Houston	57.44
45	Missouri	57.44
46	Michigan State	57.29
47	Wake Forest	56.97
48	Oregon	56.70
49	Texas A&M	56.03
50	Western Michigan	55.49
51	Georgia Tech	55.48
52	Army	55.40
53	Massachusetts	55.38
54	Utah	54.15
55	UAB	54.09
56	Central Michigan	53.52
57	South Carolina	53.33
58	Eastern Michigan	53.28
59	Western Kentucky	52.70
60	West Virginia	52.04
61	Iowa	51.89
62	Wyoming	51.85
63	Indiana	51.70
64	Navy	51.67
65	Boston College	51.29
66	Texas Tech	51.11
67	Duke	50.90
68	Arizona	50.71
69	SMU	50.05
70	Miami (Ohio)	49.61
71	Georgia State	49.15
72	Arizona State	49.08
73	Buffalo	48.95
74	Kansas State	48.78
75	Minnesota	48.71
76	North Texas	48.32
77	Louisiana Tech	48.30
78	Utah State	48.22
79	Virginia	48.11
80	New Mexico State	47.25
81	Middle Tennessee	47.11
82	Florida	46.37
83	UNLV	45.18
84	Pittsburgh	43.50
85	Colorado	43.10
86	UCLA	43.07
87	Mississippi	42.46
88	Louisiana-Monroe	42.26
89	California	42.24
90	Tulane	41.87
91	Kentucky	40.80
92	Air Force	40.38
93	Temple	38.97
94	Idaho	38.81
95	Florida State	38.34
96	Louisiana-Lafayette	37.48
97	Tulsa	37.36
98	Florida International	35.44
99	Syracuse	35.35
100	Nebraska	35.29
101	Nevada	34.15
102	Hawai'i	32.36
103	Coastal Carolina	32.34
104	New Mexico	31.82
105	Arkansas	31.51
106	BYU	31.50
107	Akron	31.02
108	South Alabama	30.56
109	Tennessee	29.91
110	Baylor	29.87
111	Maryland	29.73
112	North Carolina	29.53
113	Georgia Southern	29.10
114	Texas State	28.51
115	East Carolina	27.89
116	Cincinnati	27.80
117	Old Dominion	27.79
118	Bowling Green	26.53
119	Vanderbilt	25.68
120	Connecticut	25.64
121	Rutgers	25.54
122	Illinois	25.06
123	Rice	20.38
124	Charlotte	19.49
125	Ball State	18.98
126	Kent State	18.54
127	Oregon State	18.16
128	Kansas	13.93
129	UTEP	13.73
130	San Jose State	7.84

 

We're consistent in that we've retained the 100th spot we were at ahead of the Penn State game.  I'm looking forward to the UCF-South Florida game this Friday.

 

Lastly, I figured I'd share the yards per carry given up by the Blackshirts going back to 2008 (because that's how far back cfbstats.com allows me to go and filter out games versus lower division teams):

 

2017     -     5.44

2016     -     4.44

2015     -     3.77

2014     -     4.82

2013     -     3.61

2012     -     4.96

2011     -     4.13

2010     -     3.90

2009     -     2.78

2008     -     3.67

 

Only six teams have posted a stat below 3 this season.  42 teams (including the aforementioned six) have posted a stat below 4.

 

Get well, Big Red!

[Nebfanatic]

Wow our defense is really bad! And our offense is really average except we would probably fair alot better if our strength was rushing instead of passing 

[TGHusker]

We are officially in the bottom 3rd of the conference.   Get Well Big Red Indeed.

[MichiganDad3]

The offensive stats, passing and scoring, are misleading. We have been getting most of our production against the oppositions 2nd and 3rd string after the game is out of hand. It is remarkably similar to Billy C's last year. The stats don't show it, but our offense is just as pathetic as our defense.

[beorach]

1 hour ago, MichiganDad3 said:

The offensive stats, passing and scoring, are misleading. We have been getting most of our production against the oppositions 2nd and 3rd string after the game is out of hand. It is remarkably similar to Billy C's last year. The stats don't show it, but our offense is just as pathetic as our defense.

 

I was thinking the same.  I have generally been commenting on how our stats in the passing defense category have been inflated by how many teams choose to simply run on us but, with those both having bottomed out, the new head-scratcher is our having a "good" passing offense.  We have to do something with all those possessions after our opponents kick off.  p.s. - The other misleading stat is the one for 2015 rushing yards per carry.  Opponents chose to throw on the NU defense that season.

Edited November 20, 2017 by beorach