That's my bet for a vegas number. Either 6.5 or 7. The team clearly had mailed it in down the stretch last year, and weren't performing as well as they could. That said... probable wins in bold.
09/01 - Akron
09/08 - Colorado
09/15 - Troy
09/22 - @ Michigan
09/29 - Purdue
10/06 - @ Wisconsin
10/13 - @ Northwestern
10/20 - Minnesota
11/03 - @ Ohio State
11/10 - Illinois
11/17 - Michigan State
11/23 - @ Iowa
First 3 don't really scare me, Purdue will hold serve, maybe step back in year 2 when people aren't surprised. Illinois is trash, Minnesota is blah, and NW is going to go backwards this season without JJ. That's not exactly a hard stretch to say we win those games, and that puts you at 7. Then you steal 1 from Michigan, Wisconsin, MSU, or Iowa (OSU ain't happening), and you can get to 8.