2010 Run/Pass ratio expectations

bshirt

bshirt

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I'm curious what changes may take place with our offense this year. Bo has commented about developing a power running game but maybe it was just a casual comment and really doesn't mean much?

We're a fairly balanced offense so far under Bo his first two years...

2009 (512/364) for a 59% run ratio (thanks jliehr)

2008 (486/433) for a 53% run ratio

That's just a small change in running ratio from Callahan's WCO...

2007 (417/481) for a 46% run ratio

2005 (420/444) for a 49% run ratio

Quite a big change from Frank's last year....

2003 (716/192) for a 78% run ratio

I know a lot of posters here have good insight into our coaching schemes and I would appreciate any what (if any) change they see coming this year. Lastly, again if any, would you expect to see a difference depending on who is qb? Maybe a 5% higher run ration with Green? Maybe a 10% higher run ratio with TMart?

Just another something to get us through the next three weeks.

GBR!!

 
Last edited by a moderator:
bshirt said:
I'm curious what changes may take place with our offense this year. Bo has commented about developing a power running game but maybe it was just a casual comment and really doesn't mean much?

We're a fully balanced offense so far under Bo his first two years...

2009 (512/490) for a 51% run ratio

2008 (486/433) for a 53% run ratio

That's just a small change in running ratio from Callahan's WCO...

2007 (417/481) for a 46% run ratio

2005 (420/444) for a 49% run ratio

Quite a big change from Frank's last year....

2003 (716/192) for a 78% run ratio

I know a lot of posters here have good insight into our coaching schemes and I would appreciate any what (if any) change they see coming this year. Lastly, again if any, would you expect to see a difference depending on who is qb? Maybe a 5% higher run ration with Green? Maybe a 10% higher run ratio with TMart?

Just another something to get us through the next three weeks.

GBR!!
Click to expand...
I'd guess 55%run/45%pass

 
bshirt said:
I'm curious what changes may take place with our offense this year. Bo has commented about developing a power running game but maybe it was just a casual comment and really doesn't mean much?

We're a fully balanced offense so far under Bo his first two years...

2009 (512/490) for a 51% run ratio

2008 (486/433) for a 53% run ratio

That's just a small change in running ratio from Callahan's WCO...

2007 (417/481) for a 46% run ratio

2005 (420/444) for a 49% run ratio

Quite a big change from Frank's last year....

2003 (716/192) for a 78% run ratio

I know a lot of posters here have good insight into our coaching schemes and I would appreciate any what (if any) change they see coming this year. Lastly, again if any, would you expect to see a difference depending on who is qb? Maybe a 5% higher run ration with Green? Maybe a 10% higher run ratio with TMart?

Just another something to get us through the next three weeks.

GBR!!
Click to expand...

You grabbed the wrong passing stats for 09, that's how many passes other teams threw against us.

512 Rushing, 364 Passing= 58.4% run ratio

 
Thank you for the stats...very interesting read, and the correction posted later made more sense as I thought the run-pass ratio was a bit higher than last year. With as much improvement as has been hyped by the experts and those close to the Nebraska program, I would guess the ratio will go up a bit more this year. Personally, I think the days of teams being successful with 75%+ running are long gone simply with the transformation the offenses and defenses have undergone over the last 10 years. I would guess this year will be about 60-40 run-pass with Zac Lee or Cody Green as a starter, and maybe 65-35 with Martinez.

bshirt said:
I'm curious what changes may take place with our offense this year. Bo has commented about developing a power running game but maybe it was just a casual comment and really doesn't mean much?

We're a fully balanced offense so far under Bo his first two years...

2009 (512/490) for a 51% run ratio

2008 (486/433) for a 53% run ratio

That's just a small change in running ratio from Callahan's WCO...

2007 (417/481) for a 46% run ratio

2005 (420/444) for a 49% run ratio

Quite a big change from Frank's last year....

2003 (716/192) for a 78% run ratio

I know a lot of posters here have good insight into our coaching schemes and I would appreciate any what (if any) change they see coming this year. Lastly, again if any, would you expect to see a difference depending on who is qb? Maybe a 5% higher run ration with Green? Maybe a 10% higher run ratio with TMart?

Just another something to get us through the next three weeks.

GBR!!
Click to expand...
 
jliehr said:
bshirt said:
I'm curious what changes may take place with our offense this year. Bo has commented about developing a power running game but maybe it was just a casual comment and really doesn't mean much?

We're a fully balanced offense so far under Bo his first two years...

2009 (512/490) for a 51% run ratio

2008 (486/433) for a 53% run ratio

That's just a small change in running ratio from Callahan's WCO...

2007 (417/481) for a 46% run ratio

2005 (420/444) for a 49% run ratio

Quite a big change from Frank's last year....

2003 (716/192) for a 78% run ratio

I know a lot of posters here have good insight into our coaching schemes and I would appreciate any what (if any) change they see coming this year. Lastly, again if any, would you expect to see a difference depending on who is qb? Maybe a 5% higher run ration with Green? Maybe a 10% higher run ratio with TMart?

Just another something to get us through the next three weeks.

GBR!!
Click to expand...

You grabbed the wrong passing stats for 09, that's how many passes other teams threw against us.

512 Rushing, 364 Passing= 58.4% run ratio
Click to expand...
Whoops! I surely did. Thank you sir! Edit coming...

 
We have been heading towards a more run based offense the last few years and have some really good running backs this year.

I think we will do 60% run/40% pass.

 
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It would depend on game situation, success, down and distance, etc, but I'd be willing to bet (if the O-Line play is better) we will see something like 65% run -35% pass.

Anybody have numbers from the end of the Osborne years?

 
I've seen Bo say he wants to be 50/50, which is what I think he will strive for. In the end, however, I believe we will see something between 55 and 60 percent run ratio.

 
I'm trying to base this run/pass ratio on who our OC is & what his track record has been. Obviously we know what he's done here at Nebraska, but I got curious about his best season as OC at Colorado in 2001.

Did you know his 2001 squad, which ranked 20th that year with 434 yards/game (& was the 3rd Buffs offense ever to eclipse 2,000 rush yards & 2,000 pass yards in the same season), had a run/pass ratio of 575/311? That's 64.9 % run/35.1% pass.

Look at the roster & you'll see we're facing a similar situation as that 2001 Buffs offense. They had 2 outstanding RBs - Chris Brown & Bobby Purify - & each guy was just 50 yards short of 1,000 rush yards. That could definitely happen with Helu & Rex. Watson relied on a near 50/50 split of PT between his top 2 QBs - Bobby Pesavento & Craig Ochs - & both these guys passed for just over 1200 yards each. Neither of these QBs ran for more than 31 yards, so our QBs will definitely have the advantage there since Watson likes to get our QBs running in the open.

I think these are very interesting similarities we ought ton consider when predicting ratio & overall output of this year's offense. So, I'm pumped to see if Wats can get results mirroring those of his great success in 2001.

 
74Hunter said:
It would depend on game situation, success, down and distance, etc, but I'd be willing to bet (if the O-Line play is better) we will see something like 65% run -35% pass.

Anybody have numbers from the end of the Osborne years?
Click to expand...
Here's TO's last year.

1997....(755) run & (182) pass for 81% run/pass ratio

 
ESPY said:
I'm trying to base this run/pass ratio on who our OC is & what his track record has been. Obviously we know what he's done here at Nebraska, but I got curious about his best season as OC at Colorado in 2001.

Did you know his 2001 squad, which ranked 20th that year with 434 yards/game (& was the 3rd Buffs offense ever to eclipse 2,000 rush yards & 2,000 pass yards in the same season), had a run/pass ratio of 575/311? That's 64.9 % run/35.1% pass.

Look at the roster & you'll see we're facing a similar situation as that 2001 Buffs offense. They had 2 outstanding RBs - Chris Brown & Bobby Purify - & each guy was just 50 yards short of 1,000 rush yards. That could definitely happen with Helu & Rex. Watson relied on a near 50/50 split of PT between his top 2 QBs - Bobby Pesavento & Craig Ochs - & both these guys passed for just over 1200 yards each. Neither of these QBs ran for more than 31 yards, so our QBs will definitely have the advantage there since Watson likes to get our QBs running in the open.

I think these are very interesting similarities we ought ton consider when predicting ratio & overall output of this year's offense. So, I'm pumped to see if Wats can get results mirroring those of his great success in 2001.
Click to expand...
Excellent post ESPY. I'm very surprised and delighted to see that. I would "love" to see us get to about the 2/3 run-pass ratio this year. Even better, this shows he's capable of adapting well to the cards he's been dealt.

I might have to change my mind about him. :thumbs

 
ESPY said:
I'm trying to base this run/pass ratio on who our OC is & what his track record has been. Obviously we know what he's done here at Nebraska, but I got curious about his best season as OC at Colorado in 2001.

Did you know his 2001 squad, which ranked 20th that year with 434 yards/game (& was the 3rd Buffs offense ever to eclipse 2,000 rush yards & 2,000 pass yards in the same season), had a run/pass ratio of 575/311? That's 64.9 % run/35.1% pass.

Look at the roster & you'll see we're facing a similar situation as that 2001 Buffs offense. They had 2 outstanding RBs - Chris Brown & Bobby Purify - & each guy was just 50 yards short of 1,000 rush yards. That could definitely happen with Helu & Rex. Watson relied on a near 50/50 split of PT between his top 2 QBs - Bobby Pesavento & Craig Ochs - & both these guys passed for just over 1200 yards each. Neither of these QBs ran for more than 31 yards, so our QBs will definitely have the advantage there since Watson likes to get our QBs running in the open.

I think these are very interesting similarities we ought ton consider when predicting ratio & overall output of this year's offense. So, I'm pumped to see if Wats can get results mirroring those of his great success in 2001.
Click to expand...
+1 Awesome post

I like your point about The 2 CU RBs compared to ours. Personally I predicted a while ago that Helu and Burkhead will combine for 1800. Throw in Tray, I think the 3 of them could combine for 2000. And I would LOVE to see 65% run ratio, that would take pressure off Lee, and open play action. I don't think we're going to be a top 20 offense, but I think like you said, if Wats can emulate this 01 CU model we should at least crack the top 50-60, which with our defense, could make for a hell of a football team.

Is it effing football season yet?!

 
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