Stanford will probably be in the rose bowl, we'd be in the fiesta bowl.
So... no.
Stanford will be left out of the rose bowl is TCU finishes undefeated due to some selection rule....our only hope is that the Big Least champ goes to the Orange Bowl and we play a at-large Stanford or Ohio ST
No way is Ohio St still available for the Fiesta. Stanford, outside shot. If things stay the way they are, you have:
championship : Oregon - Auburn
Rose: TCU vs Big 10 champed locked in
Sugar: Gets to replace Auburn first, then it has the first at-large pick. It'll be LSU vs Big 10 #2
Orange: ACC champ (locked in) vs ???. Do they hope Stanford will travel, or do they take a Big East team? Or would the Big 12 #2 team be eligible and attractive enough? I think the Orange would rather have a highly ranked Stanford over a pathetic Big East team, but maybe they'll do the Fiesta a favor and leave Stanford available.
Fiesta: Big 12 champ vs Big East champ if the Orange doesn't take them, otherwise I'd be sure they'd take Stanford. Certainly they wouldn't have 2 Big 12 teams, and the only other choice would be Boise?
If Oregon loses, nothing changes except that TCU and Oregon are swapped, unless Oregon stays #2.
If Auburn loses, and drops below #2, TCU goes to the championship. The Rose gets first pick to replace Oregon, and they'd probably take Auburn or LSU.
If both Oregon and Auburn lose, then it's TCU vs probably LSU or Auburn, with the other one going to the Sugar.
If LSU loses, Arkansas takes their place. If LSU wins, they will be a top 4 team and get an automatic at-large spot.
If TCU loses, which is unimaginable, the Rose will still have to take whichever of TCU/BSU is higher, assuming one stays in the top 12. Otherwise the Big 12 will probably get a 2nd team. It's not worth trying to figure out where since TCU won't lose to their bottom feeder.
Things might also change if 2 (or 3) of Ohio St/Mich St/Wisc lose but I think if a Big 10 team is eligible, the Sugar might still take them. Or maybe the Sugar likes a hot A&M team, in which case the Orange will take a Big 10 team.