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kchusker_chris

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Everything posted by kchusker_chris

  1. Agree, too often these talking heads rank a class not as a whole, but by the quarterback(s) (and to a lesser extent - playmakers) within the class. Everyone in Columbia is wetting themselves over their haul. (which it is certainly a solid class) But, the first thing they mention when you talk about the class is Gabbert/Franklin. Ask 99% of them to name another recruit and they'll draw a blank.
  2. hense the smiley. it was all in fun. for the record though, his changes didn't last 15 minutes - wiki is usually fairly accurate in subjects such as the one I linked.
  3. WIKI says otherwise - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigerian_American 7th largest community in the US. I can bet you Lincoln, Nebraska and Portland, Oregon are at the bottom of this list. 7. California: Los Angeles (city and county),Fresno, San Bernardino, Orange, San Diego, Sacramento and Solano counties; and the San Francisco Bay Area: Alameda and Contra Costa counties.
  4. I think USF is after Terean Austin as a backup plan for Carnes. Taken from USF board regarding Carnes. "Tarean Austin and CJ Bennett are still available" These two are plan B and C if Carnes goes somewhere else. Had not heard that. Good to know. This guy could have even more of an affect on the NU QB situation. He had the visit to Florida International on the 15th, but no visit to USF yet, though he did attend their camps so he might not need one. Back in October he was talking about USF being his #1 choice - considering Carnes was committed at the time that is fairly bold.
  5. Who are you talking about? Carnes, Godfrey and ???? Tarean Austin will be visiting WKU this coming weekend, the 22nd. Faulkner visited the 15th. Carnes is planning on visiting the 29th. I'm guessing one of these 2 QB's commit before Carnes even gets to WKU. It might be wishfull thinking however.
  6. Also, New Mexico has been after Tarean Austin for some time. In an odd twist, there are rumors he is seriously considering Western Kentucky (will be visiting this coming weekend). Hypothetically, this guy could determine which quarterback (if any) ends up at NU. He chooses WKU first, Carnes takes NU, Godfrey to UNM. He choose UNM, Carnes might end up WKU, we get Godfrey. Of course, there might not be a shooter on the grassy knoll either. WKU is also said to be pressing really hard on a JUCO QB (Faulkner)...who visited this weekend (15th). If WKU is putting the full court on these 2, I am of the impression that Carnes probably isn't as interested as we might think, or WKU doesn't think they really have a chance w/ him.
  7. I wouldn't jump to conclusions on this. He just got back from New Mexico. I highly doubt they impressed him enough that he'd cancel his visits to VA and NU. The Lobo boards aren't saying anything new. I'm not even sure he holds and offer from them yet.
  8. Didn't see this posted anywhere yet. Scout is showing Fulton as a commit to Tennesse on their commit tracker, and has a report that "Chaney staying at Tennessee relieves the Fulton family". Rivals is reporting that he enjoyed his visit, and it was more than he expected. Confused.
  9. Like other posters have said, it's not all about football. His mom is a teacher? I wasn't aware of this...but if it's the case the chance of her leaving Oregon is slim to none. If it's anything like Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas, etc...teachers have to work 20+ years in the state to be whole on their retirement. My wife is a teacher, getting her to leave the state would be very costly for us...and would push her retirement date back years. As for 4 years and he'll be making a ton of money in the NFL statements. If that was a guarentee, it might hold water. However, any number of things could go wrong over the course of 4 years. If it was as easy as just spending 4 years at NU and going to the NFL, everyone would do it. Sure, he'll have a better chance in the one area he can control, his skills on the football field. But injury, tragedy, homesickness, coaching changes, who knows what else could derail his 4 years and send him packing. Then how is he helping his family? Did the skills he aquire off the field prepare him for the end of his career, etc? I just don't see this argument really swaying him to one side of the other. The kid is too smart - he's life-smart. Also 4 years is an eternity for a 17-18 year old kid. They are primarily worried about the next 6-18 months. That is why early playing time is such a big issue for these guys. If they were all so concerned about the NFL, everyone would want to redshirt to gain that edge on the senior class they'll be drafted with. Unfortunately that isn't the case. Most just think they are the best thing since sliced bread and therefore plan to be gone in 3 years. I don't think this kid thinks that way. He's worried about how he'll fit into 2010's team, and how he'll fit into the community. Remember he is being asked to leave one family for another. What he currently does throughout the course of a day could very well center around his brothers and sisters, and regardless of how much he wants that to continue...it can't happen at NU. Not the way it is now. If he wants to be a success, he has to venture out on his own, and dedicate himself 110% to that. He can't be thinking back to Oregon. If he is, he's not going to reach his potential and then NU and his family loses. That's a lot to swallow for anyone, especially a high schooler.
  10. 2008 220 attempts 1,543 yards 27 td 230/351 65.0% 3,226 yards 36/5 TD/INT
  11. Excellent point. This also supports the argument that it is important for Rivals to evaluate the offers that a recruit has. They rely heavily on the staff's ability to identify kids that can mature into quality players. Multiple staffs identify this in a kid, and then Rivals can pick up on it from the offer count/quality and adjust accordingly after a more in depth review. I think the a major flaw in the system revolves around early commits. It isn't always the case, but a kid that commits early to Nebraska, and doesn't send out tape...sending a clear signal that they aren't interested in other programs or any of the recruiting "process" is often negatively impacted in the rankings. They have fewer offers, and limitted exposure. Sometimes these are your "under the radar" guys...but in reality they never flew under the radar, the staff just identified them and jumped on board early. Bo is doing a good job offering first.
  12. A lot of people in town weren't fans of his. Preferential treatment of a HS coach in small town KS doesn't usually go over too well. You can't argue w/ results though. Not to mention that I have never seen Gardner come together as a town like they did this year because of this football team. It was good to see. I don't know him personally so I have no opinion one way or the other. I know his daughter a little bit, think she's a junior/senior in HS or something. I'm about 10 years too old to know her more than that. I do think Bubba will go the baseball route. Some will suggest being a 2-sport athlete like Khiry, but I don't think you can play 2 sports as a QB. You need to be 100% committed.
  13. I was just thinking about the best way to do this. It would be a HUGE undertaking to say the least. The way I figure it, it would require going through the team rosters and their post season awards to compile a rating by player that you could correlate back to the Rivals and/or Scout Ratings. The only thing I am not sure on is how those sites do their points, are they linked to the number ratings, i.e. 5.6 vs. 5.7, or is it just based on the number of stars? If it is the stars, then this evaluation process is possible. If not, it would become MUCH more complicated. With an accurate data feed of historical season statistics for all teams (or at least the top 50 or so - which rivals has) this could be partially accomplished programatically w/ an algorithm. If they wanted to undertake it they could (it's not hard, i could do it w/ the data)...only problem is that it will just open themselves up proving their rankings were wrong As for measuring desire...to get a ranking you have to leave out some of those objective things...otherwise Crabtree might really hit it off w/ a recruit, whereas some other scout might think he's a egocentric prick. I'm sure a little of that goes into it...but you need to draw the line somewhere and consider the notre dame "Rudy's" as outliers.
  14. I'd argue that competition comes with region population. With region population comes opportunity. With oportunity comes improved skills. How many small town's have summer programs, and pop-warner football more organized than most high school programs. cities have this. villages don't.
  15. Yeah, I wonder that sometimes as well. There are 130+ programs out there, lets say 25 of them are "elite" programs. That means there are around 1300 "talent evaluators" on the staffs, and 250 of them are "elite" tallent evaluators. Rivals is a LONG ways from having that many scouts...so why wouldn't they follow the coaches positive evaluations (which is essentially what an offer confirms). If a kid has 10 offers from elite programs, that means that more than likely almost 100 coaches have reviewed film, evaluated other areas, and decided to invest over $100k in the kid. We argue all the time "trust what Bo is doing" - isn't that what Rivals is doing? Trusting the coaching staff's of Florida, USC, Alabama? The difference between those schools, and NU is that they've earned that trust by winning games and championships. Bo hasn't yet. They probably have to do a lot more research evalluating the tallent we are after, than they do Florida's. Just another perspective.
  16. ...certainly not gospel, but they usually get the "larger" picture right. they might not be able to guage each individual player 100% accurate, but as a whole...their class rankings fall into line more often that not. I think we put too much emphasis on each individual players ranking. Not to mention, more times than not examples used to "validate" the argument that stars don't matter are defensive backs, linemen, etc. Rivals does a fairly solid job guaging their playmakers and difference makers. In the last decade, teams that win national championships include these type of guys. Florida: Percy Harvin (5 stars), Tim Tebow (5), Brandon Spikes (5), Carlos Dunlap (5) Alabama: Trent Richardson (5), Julio Jones (5), Mark Ingram (4), Marq. Maze (actually was a 3 star) We can certainly build a team around 3 and 4 star players...but we need those big playmakers that can change a game. Those highly ranked players (Ndamukong Suh (4)) that can control a game. Not a whole team, but a few. 10 years ago the argument stars didn't matter easily held up. 5 years ago it was very debateable. In todays world where information is at everyones fingertips...it's much easier to guage talent. It's also much easier to discover talent. Those "diamond in the rough" guys are going to be fewer and fewer because if you're "that" good -- someone's going to post about you, someones going to contact coaches...you'll get discovered. It's also exponentially easier to contact coaches as a recruit, to get your name out there, get your film discovered. The days of mailing VHS tapes is over. And quite frankly, the days of saying stars don't matter is over. Misguaged talent is becoming the exception, not the norm.
  17. That school is a powerhouse. Check out their 2008 class. They more-or-less transfered the entire class directly to U of Miami. Loaded up a bus w/ a U-Haul in tow. Not working out too bad right now as they are definately on the rise behind that 08' group which includes Jacory Harris. http://rivals.yahoo.com/nebraska/football/...p;state=Florida
  18. I just moved from Gardner, seen this guy play quite a few times. Town of about 20k that wasn't really known for football until Diener came in from Salina where he'd won a few 5A state championships. Took him about 5 years and 1 Bubba, but the two of them have transformed the town. They have film review sessions at one of the local sports bars every week where they break down the games. Bubba is awesome, there's no doubt about it. He'll be a high 4*. I heard about him when he was a freshman, but started following his sophmore year. Gardner moves up to 6A this year (i think the transition happens this year), so we'll see how he holds up against Blue Valley and some of the larger KC Metro schools. The main thing about Bubba is that he has a 93MPH fastball. He had some shoulder problems last year that kept him out a little bit, but it's pretty well known that he is a big league prospect and town gossip says he kind of leans that way. Whether or not that's how it will turn out, I'm not sure.
  19. Yes, this is important. The transition year really hurt, need to offset it with a few more each year. Definately agree, 4 seems optimal. But, a lot of this problem originated w/ Callahan and the 06' & 07' classes more than the transition year IMHO. He overloaded the 06' class, then only took 2 in 07'...1 of which was Burkes who is no longer w/ the program. Pelini did ok the next year with Thompson and Henry which are 2 pretty solid linemen for the 08' class. Stein would have been a beast - but moving him will prove to be a smart decision. (although he would have REALLY helped this year) I definately like this staffs approach to recruiting much better than the last staff. Regardless of the ranking (which I still think is very important) they are much more balanced in the numbers. It will take a couple more years for the attrition and graduation of Callahan's classes to enable Pelini to recruit & graduate consistent numbers year in and year out. That in itself will help recruit a guy like Fulton in the future, because he will know where he fits in the NFL pipeline.
  20. (using scout/rival data, which is often a little off) Offensive line depth at the 3 schools. Nebraska 3 seniors 5 juniors 12 sophmores/rfm/fm 18 current commits including... OL - Hardrick, Moudy, A-Rod (+ cotton probably moving) LSU 2 seniors 1 junior 13 sophmores/rfm/fm 25 commits including... OL - Porter (scout projecting D),Washington Illini 2 seniors 2 juniors 12 sophmores/rfm/fm 10 commits including... OL - Afryl, Bolton, Cvi, Heitz ----------------------------------------------------- As for the class goes, LSU is certainly short on the OL. (because Hardrick saw the light and switched his commitment). They do however have a fairly full class at 25 and won't be graduating a lot of depth over the next 2 years. The Ilini are still realing from the assistant coaching changes and their recruiting has taken a hit. They'll make a late push for a lot of recruits still left without a home. (see nebraska's 2008 class) They already have 4 offensive linemen committed however. Their class looks to be in shambles. Nebraska has a fairly solid OL going into next year (regardless of their performance this year), however with Jones, Williams, Henry & Smith graduating after the 2010 season, all spots will be fairly open. A redshirt year would be ideal to put Fulton into a position to compete for one of those spots in 2011. I think Nebraska stacks up nicely against the Illini and LSU. Add in the fact that there is almost NO chance that the Illini will be competing for a national championship (or Big 10 championship) in the next 4 years and he should be able to rule them out. Les Miles is on the hot seat after next season if he doesn't get 10 wins and reach the SEC Championship. I see LSU having major coaching changes in the next 1-3 years. In that area Nebraska is about as stable as they get - proven this year by the performance Watson/Cotton put in, yet the loyalty still showed to them by Bo. They were just burned by coaching changes at Tennessee...if they are looking for stability, Nebraska is 2nd to no one.
  21. "We bought into him and I made the biggest mistake I ever made," said Glen Fulton, the father of UT offensive line commitment Zach Fulton of Homewood, Ill., in a story posted on the Knoxville News-Sentinel's Web site. "I bought into the man instead of buying into the university. Always buy into the university instead buying into the man. The university is going to be there." ...we always talk about the kids committing to a coach rather than a school. Even parents can get caught up in it. Fulton said Tennessee is not out of it, that he had his heart set on TU long ago. But with this comment from his father...I'm guessing it will take quite a bit to remain a commit there. (this might already be posted but) In addition to LSU/Illinois he's looking at Florida State (see if they can land 2 of our late prospects). His brother played at Illinois and now is a rookie tackle at Tampa Bay. Since he has to make a quick decision, Illinois might have a good chance since their family is already familiar with that program and it's close to home. They also have the official scheduled on the 29th, which means they'll be able to make that late push and leave a lasting impression before signing day. Coaches will need to try and persuade him to not take those last visits.
  22. It went away from "cooper commitment coming soon" long ago. I think the discussion now is whether a 4 star (cooper) is more valuable to us than a 2 star (marsh). I am going w/ Cooper today, tomorrow, and every day after that.
  23. I've gotta agree w/ the above posters. Anyone that argues ratings are worthless is someone that is still bitter about the fact that they thrived on ratings during the Cal/Coz era and got burned. NO SCHOOL in the last 6 years has won a championship without top rated classes. I only went back that 6 years because that is all rivals had for data. When we were winning mid-90's our classes were always right around #10. I took the last 6 nations champions, went back 5 years in their recruiting (assuming some redshirted). I think USC had really high classes in 01' and 02'. NO SCHOOL has won a championship in the last 6 years that contains a class ranked worse than #22 (and that class of LSU was sandwiched between #1, #2, #7) NO SCHOOL has won a championship that didn't contain a class ranking in the top 3. 4 out of the last 5 National Champions contained a #1 ranked class. I'm not saying you can't when championships with Nebraska born 2-stars and #30 ranked classes...I'm just saying the odds are against you. I'm also not saying that a top ranked class guarentees you a championship...but the trends suggest that the odds are much more in your favor. Hate rankings all you want, but the numbers are starting to hold up. That might not have been the case 10 years ago...but today's scouts/recruiters are getting better. Start praying for top 20 classes, because without them my money is going to be on someone else...and I'll be settling for the Holiday bowl. Give me a 4-star over a 2-star any day. 2004 - USC 2002: #13 2003: #3 2005 - Texas 2002: #1 2003: #15 2004: #10 2006 - Florida 2002: #20 2003: #2 2004: #7 2005: #15 2007 - LSU 2002: #15 2003: #1 2004: #2 2005: #22 2006: #7 2008 - Florida 2003: #2 2004: #7 2005: #15 2006: #2 2007: #1 2009 - Alabama 2004: #15 2005: #18 2006: #11 2007: #10 2008: #1
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