2018 Betting Props Are Out

[teachercd]

These just got listed on my site:

 

Win total:  6.5

 

Games:  Bolded games are games where NU is favored.  

 

Akron:  -20.5

CU:  -6.5

Troy:  -14.5

Mich:  +10.5

Purdue:  -6.5

Wis:  -+13.5

NW:  +2.5

Minny:  -12.5

OSU:  +20.5

IL:  -21.5

MSU:  +1.5

Iowa:  +6.5

 

 

 

 

[Roll Skers]

meh a lot can happen between now and then

[Xmas32]

I would be inclined to take the points against MSU and Iowa and lay the points against Purdue and Minny.

[Enhance]

+6.5 at Iowa seems unreasonably high to then compare it to a +1.5 at MSU. Otherwise, most of those seem pretty fair.

[Danimal]

That spread for Troy is too big, that is a well-coached team that really comes to play against the big names. 

[beorach]

52 minutes ago, Xmas32 said:

I would be inclined to take the points against MSU and Iowa and lay the points against Purdue and Minny.

 

I think I'd rather go moneyline when you can only get +1.5 (as not many games are decided by one point).  I was going to share the same about Troy, Danimal.  The Trojans had the 21st-best stats overall by my reckoning.

 

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/9/29/16382818/neal-brown-troy-football-head-coach-lsu

Edited December 5, 2017 by beorach

[BartonHusker]

I think 6-6 or 7-5 is reasonable.  Just getting to a bowl next year, any bowl, would be great to me.

Edited December 5, 2017 by BartonHusker

[LadyGlitterSparkles]

35 minutes ago, Enhance said:

+6.5 at Iowa seems unreasonably high to then compare it to a +1.5 at MSU. Otherwise, most of those seem pretty fair.

 

Some of the spreads are a bit surprising, but the overall win total seems about right to me, so I won't argue too much. I can honestly say I haven't paid a bit of attention to Colorado since we changed conferences. Anyone more familiar with them that can tell me why we're favored by 6.5?

[TGHusker]

I expect to be somewhat surprised next year as to how well a well coached team can play.  I think we will see a significant up tick in performance.  I like that SF is going after JUCOs to bring immediate help.   Here is my 8 win season prediction in bold.      MSU and Mich may be surprise wins when we factor in the SF touch.   Wisc and OSU due to their overall balance will be the most difficult to imagine as a surprise upset.  With Wisc loosing their long term starter at QB I see some hope there - but small amount  of hope as they are a well balanced team.

 

Akron:  -20.5

CU:  -6.5

Troy:  -14.5

Mich:  +10.5

Purdue:  -6.5

Wis:  -+13.5

NW:  +2.5

Minny:  -12.5

OSU:  +20.5

IL:  -21.5

MSU:  +1.5

Iowa:  +6.5

[Xmas32]

38 minutes ago, beorach said:

 

I think I'd rather go moneyline when you can only get +1.5 (as not many games are decided by one point).  I was going to share the same about Troy, Danimal.  The Trojans had the 21st-best stats overall by my reckoning.

 

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/9/29/16382818/neal-brown-troy-football-head-coach-lsu

 

I agree with you on the ML piece, I was just going off what was listed by teach.  I wonder if there is some built in inflation on Troy on the off chance that Troy gets a new head coach.

[beorach]

1 minute ago, Xmas32 said:

 

I agree with you on the ML piece, I was just going off what was listed by teach.  I wonder if there is some built in inflation on Troy on the off chance that Troy gets a new head coach.

 

I was 'googling' for the same reason (wondering if he was going to be snapped up).  I wouldn't mind it for our sake and then I have a friend who went to Jacksonville State also.  Their rival is Troy.

[Xmas32]

38 minutes ago, LadyGlitterSparkles said:

 

Some of the spreads are a bit surprising, but the overall win total seems about right to me, so I won't argue too much. I can honestly say I haven't paid a bit of attention to Colorado since we changed conferences. Anyone more familiar with them that can tell me why we're favored by 6.5?

 

Home game for Nebraska + 'rivalry spot'=3-4  points

CU loses their best offensive player by far (Lindsay who was a lot of fun to watch)=1 point

Coaching advantage=1.5 points

 

That's an admittedly really simplistic way of looking at it but at least gives some insight as to why NU is favored.  There are also a ton of other factors (NU should get a bump w/ Frost, CU has been trending down since Leavitt left as DC, etc).

 

[teachercd]

1 minute ago, Xmas32 said:

 

Home game for Nebraska + 'rivalry spot'=3-4  points

CU loses their best offensive player by far (Lindsay who was a lot of fun to watch)=1 point

Coaching advantage=1.5 points

 

That's an admittedly really simplistic way of looking at it but at least gives some insight as to why NU is favored.  There are also a ton of other factors (NU should get a bump w/ Frost, CU has been trending down since Leavitt left as DC, etc).

 

Yeah, CU had that nice year with 10 wins (I think) and I think it was just one of those years...where everything came togehter

[Xmas32]

4 minutes ago, beorach said:

 

I was 'googling' for the same reason (wondering if he was going to be snapped up).  I wouldn't mind it for our sake and then I have a friend who went to Jacksonville State also.  Their rival is Troy.

 

Agreed.  I think Neal Brown is a really good coach.

[Roll Skers]

I think 8-4 and 9-3 would be a good year, and isn’t unreasonable