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Will Nebrasketball Make the NCAA Tournament?  

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5 hours ago, HS_Coach_C said:

The trouble for Nebraska is most of the other teams close to the bubble are winning.  The teams losing are the ones farther from the bubble cut line that are generally considered safely in the tournament.  The Notre Dame, Texas, and Marquette wins hurt.  Louisville to a lesser extent.  All of those games could have easily gone the other way.  I'm not sure the Oklahoma State win does anything more than move another team in front of Nebraska.  It will be interesting to see on Sunday.

 

Again so far today:

Alabama wins on a last second shot. A&M is in no danger of being left out.

K-State erases 9 point deficit in second half and wins in OT.  TCU is in no danger of being left out.

 

Virginia over Louisville might help, but it would have been better if they'd lost yesterday.

 

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1 hour ago, HS_Coach_C said:

 

Again so far today:

Alabama wins on a last second shot. A&M is in no danger of being left out.

K-State erases 9 point deficit in second half and wins in OT.  TCU is in no danger of being left out.

 

Virginia over Louisville might help, but it would have been better if they'd lost yesterday.

 

GO KANSAS!

 

*Just threw up in my mouth and then all over my keyboard typing that.

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2 hours ago, HS_Coach_C said:

 

Again so far today:

Alabama wins on a last second shot. A&M is in no danger of being left out.

K-State erases 9 point deficit in second half and wins in OT.  TCU is in no danger of being left out.

Providence wins in OT. Creighton is in no danger of being left out.

 

Virginia over Louisville might help, but it would have been better if they'd lost yesterday.

Kansas win should keep OK State out of the tournament

Updated

 

I know many love seeing Creighton lose, but that's just another blow to Nebraska's chances.  They went from 0.9% to 0.8%

Edited by HS_Coach_C
KU win
  • Plus1 2
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1 hour ago, Moiraine said:

Would you jerks quit talking like we have a chance? You're getting my hopes up. Now I'll probably watch the stupid thing on Sunday.

Sorry sir. It's the optimist in me. Nebraska is toast.

 

But here are some rooting interests for you:

Root against Texas (difficult I know) - yep, they lost

Root against Oklahoma - yep, they lost

Root against Colorado - yep, they lost

Root against Missouri - yep, they lost

Root against Oklahoma State - yep, they lost

Root against Texas A&M - yep, they lost

Root against Kansas State - lucky bastards

Root against Baylor - WV starting to pull away

 

Obviously these weren't all in Nebraska's interest, but most of the former Big XII didn't have a good couple of days

 

Bonus:

Root against Creighton - yep, they lost

Root against Florida State - yep, they lost

Root against Alabama - lucky bastards

Root against Notre Dame - yep, they lost

Root against Louisville - yep, they lost

Root against Miami - they're in a tight one

Root against USC - dang it, looks like they'll win

 

Same as above - these didn't all help Nebraska, it's just fun to root against them

 

Did I miss anyone?

 

If Nebraska isn't going to make it, I want to see tons of chaos

Edited by HS_Coach_C
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On 3/8/2018 at 7:35 AM, HS_Coach_C said:

I think most of us realize Nebraska's chances are basically gone.  However, it's still interesting to see how the conference tournaments are going, so here's a quick rundown of where they stand:

 

Tournament Championship

EARNED AUTOMATIC BID (13)  -  19 Conference Tournaments Remain To Be Completed

Should Earn At-Large Bid (33)

On the Bubble (25)

 

POWER 6

ACC: Saturday (Virginia, Duke, Clemson, North Carolina, Miami, Virginia Tech, NC State, Florida StateLouisville, Syracuse, Notre Dame)

Big 12: Saturday (Kansas, West Virginia, Texas Tech, TCU, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas)

Big East: Saturday (Xavier, Villanova, Creighton, Seton Hall, Butler, Providence, Marquette)

Big Ten: MICHIGAN (Michigan State, Purdue, Ohio State, NebraskaPenn State)

Pac-12: Saturday (Arizona, USC, UCLA, Arizona StateOregon)

SEC: Sunday (Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, Arkansas, Texas A&M, Missouri, Alabama, Mississippi StateGeorgia)

 

Other conferences with possible At-Large teams:

America East: Saturday (Vermont)

American: Sunday (Cincinnati, Wichita State, Houston)

Atlantic 10: Sunday (Rhode Island, St. Bonaventure)

Conference USA: Saturday (Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky)

Missouri Valley: LOYOLA-CHICAGO

Mountain West: Saturday (Nevada)

Summit: SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

Sun Belt: Sunday (Louisiana)

West Coast: GONZAGA (St. Mary's)

WAC: Saturday (New Mexico State)

 

Conferences with only 1 bid no matter what:

Atlantic Sun: LIPSCOMB

Big Sky: Saturday

Big South: RADFORD

Big West: Saturday

Colonial: CHARLESTON

Horizon: WRIGHT STATE

Ivy: Sunday

Metro Atlantic: IONA

MAC: Saturday

MEAC: Saturday

Northeast: LIU BROOKLYN

Ohio Valley: MURRAY STATE

Patriot: BUCKNELL

Southern: UNC GREENSBORO

Southland: Saturday

Southwestern: Saturday

 

Best Case Scenario for Bubble Teams: All Conferences with an At-Large Lock win the tournament

That would mean 32 auto-bids + 24 At-Large Locks = 56 Spots taken in the field

Assuming teams on the bubble win conferences that don't have any locks (MTSU lost C-USA), that leaves 24 Bubble Teams

That would leave 12 At-Large Spots for the 24 Remaining Bubble Teams

 

The Pecking Order for the remaining Bubble Teams is probably something like this:

1. St. Bonaventure

2. Providence

3. St. Mary's

4. Florida State

5. USC

6. NC State

7. UCLA

8. Middle Tennessee

9. Oklahoma

10. Alabama

11. Texas

12. Louisville                                     

13. Baylor                       

14. Arizona State

15. Syracuse

16. Notre Dame

17. Nebraska

18. Marquette

19. Mississippi State

20. Oklahoma State

21. Western Kentucky

22. Georgia

23. Oregon

24. Penn State

25. Utah

26. Washington

27. Boise State

 

Updated after Thursday's games

 

I moved Butler and Kansas State to At-Large locks.

I added Oregon and Georgia to the bubble.

I added Middle Tennessee to the bubble pecking order as they lost in their conference tournament.

I eliminated Utah, Washington, and Boise State from bubble consideration.

Edited by HS_Coach_C
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So Auburn played 1 good half against Alabama and then decided to rest up for the NCAA tourney I guess.

41-31 Auburn at half

Alabama currently outscoring Auburn 20-1 in the second half... 51-42 with 12 minutes to play

 

Edit: This is ridiculous: 32-5 in the second half

 

image.png.285dafd293b2a91e44783b19c9a930a6.png

Edited by HS_Coach_C
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20 minutes ago, HS_Coach_C said:

So Auburn played 1 good half against Alabama and then decided to rest up for the NCAA tourney I guess.

41-31 Auburn at half

Alabama currently outscoring Auburn 20-1 in the second half... 51-42 with 12 minutes to play

 

Edit: This is ridiculous: 32-5 in the second half

 

image.png.285dafd293b2a91e44783b19c9a930a6.png

Sad that it appears teams are willing to eat cake in conference tournaments to help others in their conference get in the dance...

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