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Tangent Thread - Recruiting Rankings & Predictions Edition


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2 minutes ago, The Murphinator said:

ASU is ahead right now

 

There is literally no way to know this without directly knowing the kid, talking to him, a direct quote from him, anything.

 

All of these "crystal balls" and whatnot are just utter bunk.  Think about it.  How would anyone actually know this without talking to the guy? And if they did, and he told them, why would he tell these recruiting guys but not just tweet it out publicly, or snap it, or whatever?

 

 

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Just now, knapplc said:

 

There is literally no way to know this without directly knowing the kid, talking to him, a direct quote from him, anything.

 

All of these "crystal balls" and whatnot are just utter bunk.  Think about it.  How would anyone actually know this without talking to the guy? And if they did, and he told them, why would he tell these recruiting guys but not just tweet it out publicly, or snap it, or whatever?

 

 

 

These recruiting guys talk to people close to the situation and are pretty accurate. As for why he would not put it on Twitter, he like lots of recruits like to keep people guessing to make their announcement more exciting. 

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2 minutes ago, The Murphinator said:

 

 

These recruiting guys talk to people close to the situation and are pretty accurate. As for why he would not put it on Twitter, he like lots of recruits like to keep people guessing to make their announcement more exciting. 

Witfong is almost always right so just look at his cbs, schaefer is pretty accurate also

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41 minutes ago, The Murphinator said:

 

 

These recruiting guys talk to people close to the situation and are pretty accurate. As for why he would not put it on Twitter, he like lots of recruits like to keep people guessing to make their announcement more exciting. 

 

They're guessing. They don't know these kids, they don't have any sources close to these kids, they just make educated guesses.

 

These guys are no different than the shysters who put together astrology guides.

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8 minutes ago, knapplc said:

 

They're guessing. They don't know these kids, they don't have any sources close to these kids, they just make educated guesses.

 

These guys are no different than the shysters who put together astrology guides.

 

You are free to have your own opinion, but experts like Wiltfong are almost always right.

Edited by The Murphinator
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13 minutes ago, The Murphinator said:

 

You are free to have your own opinion, but experts like Wiltfong are almost always right.

 

You really believe Wiltfong has insider contacts with dozens, if not hundreds, of recruits across the nation, almost all of whom have never met him, have no vested interest in him, no connection to him in any way? Or any of these crystal ball guys? 

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Just now, knapplc said:

 

You really believe Wiltfong has insider contacts with dozens, if not hundreds, of recruits across the nation, almost all of whom have never met him, have no vested interest in him, no connection to him in any way? Or any of these crystal ball guys? 

 

Yes, these guys talk all the time with each other.

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12 minutes ago, knapplc said:

 

You really believe Wiltfong has insider contacts with dozens, if not hundreds, of recruits across the nation, almost all of whom have never met him, have no vested interest in him, no connection to him in any way? Or any of these crystal ball guys? 

Will you please explain how they're usually correct if they "just guessing?" 

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10 minutes ago, Mavric said:

 

Wiltfong is currently getting more than 91% of his picks correct out of the 363 picks he’s put in for this class.  His average pick is put in five months before the decision is announced.

 

What would be your explaination for being right that often?

 

He puts them under hypnosis and tells them where they will be going. 

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8 hours ago, Mavric said:

 

Wiltfong is currently getting more than 91% of his picks correct out of the 363 picks he’s put in for this class.  His average pick is put in five months before the decision is announced.

 

What would be your explaination for being right that often?

Yeah. There are some BS guys out there of course, but you can’t hit the accuracy he has had by sheer luck

Edited by olddominionhusker
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8 hours ago, Mavric said:

 

Wiltfong is currently getting more than 91% of his picks correct out of the 363 picks he’s put in for this class.  His average pick is put in five months before the decision is announced.

 

What would be your explaination for being right that often?

 

A few options:

 

1.  Wiltfong actually has people connected to each one of the more than 200 top recruits in college football, which changes every year, but all of whom are willing to give a guy who sells recruiting information for a living the real story on what they're going to do with one of the most important decisions of their lives even though they don't know this guy and can't profit from his site.

 

Or

 

2.  Wiltfong is the man in charge of his site's accuracy numbers, he's not super carefully vetted, and he can pick and choose which predictions he uses for his accuracy rating, and he judiciously switches his "crystal ball" predictions at strategic times to keep that accuracy rate high.

 

Or

 

3.  He's perfected the art of guessing, much like a poker player, and can pretty accurately read tells from these kids based on interviews, social media posts, etc.

 

 

I'm sure there are other options.  The option I think is least likely is that he actually knows what these kids are thinking.  Some maybe tell him for whatever reason, and great, for those he actually knows. But he cannot know for all of them, nor can he have actual insider information on anything like 91% of them. So there's guesswork, or strategic switching of predictions, or some other way of hedging his bet. 

 

They've clearly perfected the art of guesswork to such a degree of accuracy that they can predict which team is currently "leading" for a player, they can set it up like a race, even though the kid himself may not know where he's going and/or may not have told anyone where he's going, and turn it into a soap-opera like drama with all the wavering over which team a player will pick, first this one and then that one, thus keeping people entertained without having actual factual information most of the time. 

 

I mean, Kim Jong Un is the world's greatest golfer.  You should see his scorecard. 

 

Just don't ask to check his numbers.

 

 

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8 hours ago, Mavric said:

 

Wiltfong is currently getting more than 91% of his picks correct out of the 363 picks he’s put in for this class.  His average pick is put in five months before the decision is announced.

 

What would be your explaination for being right that often?


In no way is he putting these predictions on avg 5 months out. These kids have no clue where they are even going in that amount time. Does he have connections? 100% That's really all it comes down to. Nothing more or less. 

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7 minutes ago, knapplc said:

 

A few options:

 

1.  Wiltfong actually has people connected to each one of the more than 200 top recruits in college football, which changes every year, but all of whom are willing to give a guy who sells recruiting information for a living the real story on what they're going to do with one of the most important decisions of their lives even though they don't know this guy and can't profit from his site.

 

Or

 

2.  Wiltfong is the man in charge of his site's accuracy numbers, he's not super carefully vetted, and he can pick and choose which predictions he uses for his accuracy rating, and he judiciously switches his "crystal ball" predictions at strategic times to keep that accuracy rate high.

 

Or

 

3.  He's perfected the art of guessing, much like a poker player, and can pretty accurately read tells from these kids based on interviews, social media posts, etc.

 

 

I'm sure there are other options.  The option I think is least likely is that he actually knows what these kids are thinking.  Some maybe tell him for whatever reason, and great, for those he actually knows. But he cannot know for all of them, nor can he have actual insider information on anything like 91% of them. So there's guesswork, or strategic switching of predictions, or some other way of hedging his bet. 

 

They've clearly perfected the art of guesswork to such a degree of accuracy that they can predict which team is currently "leading" for a player, they can set it up like a race, even though the kid himself may not know where he's going and/or may not have told anyone where he's going, and turn it into a soap-opera like drama with all the wavering over which team a player will pick, first this one and then that one, thus keeping people entertained without having actual factual information most of the time. 

 

I mean, Kim Jong Un is the world's greatest golfer.  You should see his scorecard. 

 

Just don't ask to check his numbers.

 

 

I don’t have much a of a dog in this fight, but regardless of the how, this guy is still hitting 91% of his picks an average of 5 months ahead of time. I’m sure you are right that he doesn’t have inside info on all of them, but clearly his method is better then random guessing no?

 

 

I guess what im saying is earlier in the thread you basically said these guys are completely throwing darts at a board and know nothing. Others attribute Nostradamus like qualities to them. Isn’t the truth likely somewhere in the middle?

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