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*** 2018 Game 10 "Expert" Picks: Illinois At Nebraska ***

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2018 Game 10 “Expert” Picks: Illinois @ Nebraska
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CollegeFootballNews.com
https://collegefootballnews.com/2018/11/illinois-vs-nebraska-fearless-prediction-game-preview
One Reason Why Illinois Will Win
Check out Illinois showing up and putting together a big game when it really, really needed it. With the season slipping into the abyss, and after losing five of six games, the Illini came out against Minnesota and ripped it up with 430 rushing yards and five scores. It was breathtaking, coming up with big dash after big dash. But the Illini running game has been good all season, only going under the 200-yard mark against Purdue. When it works, and when it hits 250 rushing yards or more, they’re 3-0 this season. The Nebraska defense as a whole has been having issues, but the teams that commit to the ground game have the most success. Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio State were all able to crank up big days on the ground. Illinois isn’t remotely close to being as good as one of those teams, but if the Huskers can’t get the linebackers in the right spots on every single play … boom. Illinois has shown the ability to strike fast. The offense should be able to keep up, but …
One Reason Why Nebraska Will Win
The Illinois secondary is a rumor. Yeah, it was a whole lot of fun to dominate Minnesota, but the Gophers – despite a little bit of recent success – doesn’t have a dangerous air attack. Nebraska is rolling with Adrian Martinez getting better and better. He’s thrown for 250 yards or more in each of the last five games against FBS teams with nine touchdown passes and just three picks during the run. As long as Martinez gets a little bit of time, the amazing Husker receiving corps will go off against an Illinois pass defense that’s the least-efficient in the Big Ten and gets hit for 284 yards per game. There’s not enough of a pass rush to bother Martinez – the Illini just don’t get behind the line.
What’s Going To Happen
Get ready for a whole lot of fun. Neither defense will do a whole lot as the two offenses will race up and down the field with a whole slew of big plays. The Nebraska D is bad, the Illinois version is worse. Martinez will throw well, but the Nebraska running game will do its part, too. It might be a team-that-gets-ball-last type of game. Enjoy it.
Nebraska 48 - Illinois 40
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ESPN FPI
http://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401012813
Nebraska - 80.1% Win
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Bill Connelly S&P+
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/11/8/18073620/college-football-picks-week-11-2018-predictions-odds-spreads
S&P+: Nebraska 40 - Illinois 24 (81.8% NU Win)
F+ Projection: Nebraska By 19 (86.2% NU Win)
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DRatings
http://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/
Nebraska 33 - Illinois 23 (78.4% NU Win)
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Ed Feng, The Power Rank
https://thepowerrank.com/predictions/
Nebraska (62) will beat Illinois (103) by 13.0 at home. Illinois has a 17% chance of beating Nebraska.
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Athlon Sports
https://athlonsports.com/college-football/college-football-picks-expert-predictions-every-game-week-11-2018
Steven Lassan: N
Mitch Light : N
Mark Ross: N

https://athlonsports.com/college-football/college-football-picks-predicting-final-scores-every-game-week-11-2018
Illinois has accumulated a total of 1,139 yards and 88 points the last two weeks — a 30-point loss at Maryland and a 24-point win over Minnesota. The previous two weeks, the Illini had totals of 550 yards and 27 points — in losses to Purdue and Wisconsin.
Nebraska 44 - Illinois 27

https://athlonsports.com/college-football/illinois-fighting-illini-vs-nebraska-cornhuskers-prediction-picks-2018
While AJ Bush and the Illinois offense will get some yardage, this game ultimately comes down to Nebraska’s offense versus the Illini defense. That’s not the best news for a visiting team that gives up 525 yards and 37 points on average. It’s very likely that quarterback Adrian Martinez has another banner day while running back Devine Ozigbo batters and bruises defenders and the dynamic wide receiver duo of Stanley Morgan Jr. and JD Spielman causes the Illinois defensive back seven to scramble. Look for Nebraska to come out firing on all cylinders going into the first half. Illinois then likely does its best to throw the kitchen sink, piping, copper wiring and anything else they can at the Huskers in the third quarter. In the end, Nebraska can easily win a track meet if this turns into one.
Nebraska 52 - Illinois 27

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Big Red Wrap-Up
http://netnebraska.org/interactive-multimedia/sports/big-red-wrap-illinois-prediction-4
Brett: Nebraska 56 - Illinois 31
Jay More: Nebraska 45 - Illinois 24
Steve Sipple: Nebraska 57 - Illinois 28
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1 minute ago, Decoy73 said:

These are some awfully high scoring predictions for what looks to be a cold day. 

I heard we were deploying the retractable dome this weekend. Should be fine.

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45 minutes ago, Decoy73 said:

These are some awfully high scoring predictions for what looks to be a cold day. 

Adrian is a cold-blooded reptilian so he should be ok.

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34 minutes ago, 4skers89 said:

I heard we were deploying the retractable dome this weekend. Should be fine.

Thank god we built that after the Akron game

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1 hour ago, RedSavage said:

Thank god we built that after the Akron game

We’re practical if not smart. Maybe Illinois hasn’t heard about our dome and will game plan for cold weather. Fingers crossed.

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33 minutes ago, 4skers89 said:

We’re practical if not smart. Maybe Illinois hasn’t heard about our dome and will game plan for cold weather. Fingers crossed.

 

Yeah they'll be wearing the wrong shoes.  At least in the first half.

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8 hours ago, Jeepy said:

 

Yeah they'll be wearing the wrong shoes.  At least in the first half.

I'm hoping they wear snowshoes, like eskimos.

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56 minutes ago, Mavric said:

 

I agree.... Princeton is going to beat Yale..... I guess Nebraska beating Illinois is a good pick too.

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Am I the only one who thinks most of these expert picks are super confident? It seems like Illinois is playing better as well as Nebraska. I think we win, but a lot of these make it sound like a blowout. 

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32 minutes ago, WyoHusker56 said:

Am I the only one who thinks most of these expert picks are super confident? It seems like Illinois is playing better as well as Nebraska. I think we win, but a lot of these make it sound like a blowout. 

I think the Illini being on the road will be a huge factor.  

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I think the variance (win by 7 up to 35) in the TBL predictions show that not everyone is super confident. Illinois has had 1 game with new DC and their offense went off on Minny. At 2-7 I don’t think anyone should be too confident of victory.

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3 hours ago, 4skers89 said:

I think the variance (win by 7 up to 35) in the TBL predictions show that not everyone is super confident. Illinois has had 1 game with new DC and their offense went off on Minny. At 2-7 I don’t think anyone should be too confident of victory.

 

Agree - i see it as an offensive shootout (want to be wrong).  I think Calvin Jones w/7point win is about how it will end up, but maybe with one more score each.  These are the types of games we have to learn to win.

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1 hour ago, Dilly Dilly said:

 

Agree - i see it as an offensive shootout (want to be wrong).  I think Calvin Jones w/7point win is about how it will end up, but maybe with one more score each.  These are the types of games we have to learn to win.

 

The spread is way too big in this game considering how well they run the ball and how relatively poorly we stop the run. That alone likely keeps it closer than expected.

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24 minutes ago, brophog said:

 

The spread is way too big in this game considering how well they run the ball and how relatively poorly we stop the run. That alone likely keeps it closer than expected.

I would hope they force AJ to win by throwing the ball and that Illinois is forced to play from behind.  I see the D getting a couple timely turnovers, so I will say 56-35.  Still give up some rushing yards, but NU covers because of how many points the O scores.

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1 hour ago, runningblind said:

I would hope they force AJ to win by throwing the ball and that Illinois is forced to play from behind.  I see the D getting a couple timely turnovers, so I will say 56-35.  Still give up some rushing yards, but NU covers because of how many points the O scores.

 

Bush is not as poor of a passer as his rep gets. He's not a guy that's particularly accurate throwing into tight windows but because of their running game and all of the RPO principles he doesn't often need to be. His biggest problem is he doesn't always make great reads and can be mistake prone. Throws a decent ball, though, if given time. He just needs a very clean pocket to set his feet and throw. Good outside pass rushers have given them problems.

 

Minnesota very oddly kept 2 safeties deep much of the game. Illinois often utilizes 2 backs, with Bush as a third runner. That's 8 guys running at 6 or 7 man boxes. What Nebraska needs to do is crowd the hell out of the LOS, similar to the Colorado game. It'll give up a big play here and there if a Safety misses a tackle, but it applies a lot of pressure to a QB (and offensive line) that's mistake prone. This is a game where Chins needs to shine. He can get very creative with his pressures and this line misses way too many blocks. Their passing game is not sophisticated at all and Bush is basically a one read and run QB. Make them think.

 

 

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6 hours ago, brophog said:

 

Bush is not as poor of a passer as his rep gets. He's not a guy that's particularly accurate throwing into tight windows but because of their running game and all of the RPO principles he doesn't often need to be. His biggest problem is he doesn't always make great reads and can be mistake prone. Throws a decent ball, though, if given time. He just needs a very clean pocket to set his feet and throw. Good outside pass rushers have given them problems.

 

Minnesota very oddly kept 2 safeties deep much of the game. Illinois often utilizes 2 backs, with Bush as a third runner. That's 8 guys running at 6 or 7 man boxes. What Nebraska needs to do is crowd the hell out of the LOS, similar to the Colorado game. It'll give up a big play here and there if a Safety misses a tackle, but it applies a lot of pressure to a QB (and offensive line) that's mistake prone. This is a game where Chins needs to shine. He can get very creative with his pressures and this line misses way too many blocks. Their passing game is not sophisticated at all and Bush is basically a one read and run QB. Make them think.

 

 

He's Tommy Armstrong with a weaker deep ball and no Jordan Westerkamp.

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