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Current Democratic Odds


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6 minutes ago, Danny Bateman said:

 

A lot of people just really hate politics in general and want to take a wrecking ball to D.C. Trump and Bernie draw from the same anti-establishment well.

 

Someone recently described it well. Most Dems think the Republicans are terrible and they are mostly good. Bernie think the Republicans are terrible and the Dems suck.

 

Thus there is a group of people who think "I'm don't love Bernie but at least he's not a f#cking Democrat."  That's a powerful thing.

Thats a better way to put it into words. He doesn't do things like a traditional Dem or Republican. I also think people on the right see Hilary, Pete, Bloomberg types as representing the "Elite", pretty much impossible to paint Bernie with that brush - he really connects with blue collar workers.

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2 minutes ago, FrantzHardySwag said:

Thats a better way to put it into words. He doesn't do things like a traditional Dem or Republican. I also think people on the right see Hilary, Pete, Bloomberg types as representing the "Elite", pretty much impossible to paint Bernie with that brush - he really connects with blue collar workers.


Yep. A lot of people are just fed up with politics and politicians in general. So someone angling to shake everything up becomes very appealing.

 

And, to be sure, Trump wants to run against Bernie. He's obviously set up the elaborate effort to slime Biden and to his credit, people are stupid and it's working. But he also takes every available opportunity to prop up Bernie because he truly believes he can't lose to a perceived socialist.

 

He's probably going to get what he wants. Whether or not he's right to want that fight is another question.

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17 minutes ago, funhusker said:

This "format" always confused me.

 

To be sure: Bet $150 on Bernie and win $100.  Bet $100 on Trump and win $210???

Flip it.

 

So 100 on Sanders would get your 150.

210 on Trump would win you 100.

 

The "+" means you are getting more for your wager.

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7 minutes ago, Notre Dame Joe said:

We were promised a knock down drag'em fight in the DNC and instead we're getting some version of the Nebraska-UF national title game.  Has any candidate ever started out 3-0 and not had the nomination effectively wrapped up after Super Tuesday?

Well...there is talk that the Russians have or will be interfering with the D's...but of course that doesn't matter to anyone now...

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2 hours ago, Notre Dame Joe said:

We were promised a knock down drag'em fight in the DNC and instead we're getting some version of the Nebraska-UF national title game.  Has any candidate ever started out 3-0 and not had the nomination effectively wrapped up after Super Tuesday?

I heard that no candidate (excluding incumbents) has ever won the popular vote in the first 3 primaries in either the Dem or Repub parties. (Note that while Bernie won the popular vote in Iowa, somehow Buttigieg ended up with more assigned delegates. Also note that all Iowa results are pretty suspect as there are known math errors in lots of the delegate math.)

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