Preseason SP+ College Football Rankings 2020 (Huskers 25th)

[seaofred92]

 

Quote

ESPN: Bill Connelly's Preseason SP+ college football rankings

No. 14 Texas and No. 25 Nebraska

Schlabach rankings: No. 24 and NR, respectively

Numbers and conventional wisdom agree most of the time, but there's no question that, like the people who design them, systems like SP+ can have an anti-social streak. SP+ was adamant that both Texas and Nebraska would drastically struggle to meet the hype they brought into 2019. Tom Herman's Longhorns began the season 10th in the preseason AP poll, and despite eight wins in two years, Nebraska began the season 24th. SP+, instead, ranked them both outside the top 30 and projected 14 wins between them. They won 13.

 

That was last year, however. This time around, the Horns and Huskers might be ... gasp ... underrated? Texas just signed another elite recruiting class and, more importantly for SP+'s purposes, brings back quarterback Sam Ehlinger and a defense with infinitely more experience, especially in the secondary. Nebraska returns almost everyone on offense and is projected to make a major leap there. Defense could still hold the Huskers back, but they're experienced in the secondary, at least. Evidently 2020 is going to be the year 2019 was supposed to be for these two once-mighty programs.

 

 

2020 Opponents: 

#2 Ohio State

#5 Penn State

#9 Wisconsin 

#20 Minnesota

#29 Iowa

#34 Cincinnati 

#46 Purdue

#50 Northwestern

#61 Illinois 

#82 Central Michigan 

#102 Rutgers

South Dakota St NR

 

https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/28687236/preseason-sp+-college-football-rankings-alabama-back-no-1

[knapplc]

I thought this was pretty crazy. Rare shout-out for a team that's won 13 games in three years.

 

 

[commando]

we are overrated at this point if anyone is putting us in the top 25.   we should have to prove we belong there before anyone ranks us there at this point.

[Saunders]

27 minutes ago, commando said:

we are overrated at this point if anyone is putting us in the top 25.   we should have to prove we belong there before anyone ranks us there at this point.

It's all based on Bill's formula of returning production, recent recruiting, and recent history (where we've severely underperformed).

 

Quote

A reminder on SP+: It's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with both college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system. SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. That is important to remember. It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system is. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.

 

 

#TeamNoHype

[knapplc]

35 minutes ago, commando said:

we are overrated at this point if anyone is putting us in the top 25.   we should have to prove we belong there before anyone ranks us there at this point.

 

 

You're not wrong. Connelly is surprised, too.

 

 

[BIG ERN]

He had us 39th preason last year and finished 52nd 

[NUance]

5 minutes ago, BIG ERN said:

He had us 39th preason last year and finished 52nd 

 

I'll bet last spring a lot of people complained that we should have been ranked way higher than 39th.  

[Scarlet]

How do you input heart into a data cruncher?

[darkhorse85]

1 hour ago, Scarlet said:

How do you input heart into a data cruncher?

 

It's simple.  Take your formula or algorithim and at the end of it punch in "+ <3".

[WyoHusker56]

I kept trying to convince myself that he was wrong last year and he really wasn't. So I guess this year I hope he's right? Ha!