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knapplc

The P&R Plague Thread (Covid-19)

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Everyone be safe out there.   Trump is in denial land if he thinks churches and businesses can be open

at the height of the infection in April.  He is really placing everyone in danger with his talk. 

 

https://news.yahoo.com/us-virus-deaths-may-top-80-000-despite-161924116.html
 

Quote

 

Paris (AFP) - COVID-19 could lead to more than 80,000 deaths in the US and overwhelm hospital capacity nationally as soon as early April even if social distancing measures are respected, new research showed Thursday.

The US death toll for the pandemic has already soared past 1,000, with 68,000 confirmed infections.

Forecasters at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington's School of Medicine analysed the latest COVID-19 data at a local, national and international level.

These include hospitalisation and mortality rates, as well as patient date in terms of age, gender and pre-existing health problems.

Specifically, they looked at the time lag between the first fatal cases and public interventions such as shuttering schools and businesses.

They then looked at each American state's ICU bed and ventilator capacity.

The analysis warned that based on current trends, demand for both would far exceed capacity for COVID-19 patients as early as the second week of April.

During the epidemic peak -- also set for some point in April -- as many as 2,300 patients could die every day, according to the IHME models.

This was the case even if the population adhered to strict social distancing measures.

"Our estimated trajectory of COVID-19 deaths assumes continued and uninterrupted vigilance by the general public, hospital workers, and government agencies," said Christopher Murray, IHME director.

"The trajectory of the pandemic will change -- and dramatically for the worse -- if people ease up on social distancing or relax with other precautions."

The analysis estimated that approximately 81,000 people in the US will die from the virus over the coming four months.

Estimates ranged between 38,000 and more than 160,000.

It forecast that a total of 41 US states will need more ICU beds than are currently available and that 12 states may need to increase their capacity by 50 percent or more to accommodate patient needs.

 

 

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2 hours ago, FrantzHardySwag said:

Research has showed it’s a very slow mutater, unlike the flu. And vaccines would be very effective. 

Interesting. The experts I've heard have said coronaviruses mutate quickly.

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4 hours ago, knapplc said:

 

 

Well, that doesn't seem right. Trump is always so precise with numbers.

 

Remember his inauguration, where he didn't fudge the size of the crowds at all?

 

 

 

 

 

Trump isn't personally in charge of the numbers of verified deaths that are feeding the different tracking sites.

 

You don't have to actively try really hard to make every single thing about Trump every time. 

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1 minute ago, Landlord said:

 

 

 

Trump isn't personally in charge of the numbers of verified deaths that are feeding the different tracking sites.

 

You don't have to actively try really hard to make every single thing about Trump every time. 

You're right...he doesn't....I honestly don't think he has to try hard.

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So much about this whole situation pisses me off.  In this letter, he brags about the intensive testing that is being done.  There are people who are exhibiting signs and they are told they aren't going to be tested.

 

 

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23 minutes ago, BigRedBuster said:

So much about this whole situation pisses me off.  In this letter, he brags about the intensive testing that is being done.  There are people who are exhibiting signs and they are told they aren't going to be tested.

 

 

I have no issues with this letter, the problem is, he never speaks like this. 

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Just now, FrantzHardySwag said:

I have no issues with this letter, the problem is, he never speaks like this. 

I have major issues with it when he flat out lies.

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