C-19 state-by-state Peak Date Projection Model

[NUance]

Coronavirus State-By-State Projections: When Will Each State Peak? 

By Sean McMinn   www.npr.com   April 7, 2020 4:50 PM ET  Updated at 7:20 p.m. ET Friday  April 7, 2020

 

As COVID-19 surges in places throughout the country, Americans are left to wonder, "When will my state hit its worst point?"

A widely cited model offers some predictions. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's COVID-19 projections were cited in recent White House briefings and take into account how the pandemic is playing out in several countries around the world. They incorporate the current trend line of deaths in U.S. states and the estimated impact of social distancing measures to predict when each state might reach peak daily deaths and hospital usage.  LINK  

 

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Model towards the bottom of this article predicting peak date for each state.  

 

I think this model is cited in the C-19 thread.  I just didn't want this link to get lost in that 50+ page thread.  

 

Nebraska:  May 2 

Colorado:  April 10 

Iowa: May 2 

Illinois: April 8 

Indiana: April 13 

California: April 15 

New York: April 9