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The 2024 Presidential Election- The LONG General Election


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53 minutes ago, TGHusker said:

I hate it when the computer freezes up when I'm in the middle of posting a lot of stuff.  :throw  So this is attempt #2 in answering this

 

Trump received 32% of the Hispanic vote in 2022 up slightly from 29% in 2016.  Biden's Hispanic support was 66% vs Hillary's 65%.  So there appears to be a slight

bump in turnout and voters going towards the GOP.  HOWEVER, this is a far distance from the high water mark of GWB 2004 campain of 40% and still far below Reagan's performances in 1980 & 84.  Due to the demographics of the Hispanic voter, the Dems will probably always have the upper hand due to their social programs.  However, the GOP has gotten away from their messaging as the 'Family Values Party" (it is debatable if that was ever a true label or just messaging - most likely the later but I digress).  Leaving that message behind & turning towards storming the capital  'nationalism' is a mistake as the Hispanic culture is centered around 'family values'.  

Until the GOP moderates their policies, I don't see that 40% highwater mark being hit again.   With the aging of white America, the GOP is slowly suffocating under its own worn out  and out of date dogma.  

https://www.latinousa.org/2015/10/29/the-latino-vote-in-presidential-races/

http://latinousa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/PewHispanic.png

 

2022 Dems 66%    GOP  32%

2016 Dems 65%    GOP 29% 

 

http://latinousa.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/PewHispanic.png

 

https://www.as-coa.org/articles/chart-how-us-latinos-voted-2020-presidential-election

 

The 2022 election was trending very close to 40% support

 

https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2022/politics/exit-polls-2022-midterm-2018-shift/

 

every demographic shifter towards the GOP, that people here say is the new nazi party :dunno

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5 minutes ago, Archy1221 said:

The 2022 election was trending very close to 40% support

 

https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2022/politics/exit-polls-2022-midterm-2018-shift/

 

every demographic shifter towards the GOP, that people here say is the new nazi party :dunno

I'm didn't look at 2022 - just the presidential years.   Maybe the congressional candidates were more appealing than Trump was in 2020 - thus the increase over 2 years.  Or maybe the turn in the economy with inflation had more to do with it than the candidates themselves. :dunno

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7 minutes ago, Archy1221 said:

Oh, so minorities are looking for “nazi” type parties to join and vote for?  Or maybe all the Nazi/fascism talk is ridiculous.  

Didn't say that.

5 minutes ago, Archy1221 said:

No, the MAGA new governor of Arkansas used the term.

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Just now, Archy1221 said:

Oh, so minorities are looking for “nazi” type parties to join and vote for?  Or maybe all the Nazi/fascism talk is ridiculous.  

 

The common thread is a preference for strongmen and nationalism. Among many Latinos, Catholicism and abortion are enough to carry the day. Blacks have long been less supportive of LGBT rights than whites. And — fun fact — nobody thinks they're a Nazi. That doesn't mean there isn't encroaching fascism in the country (and around the world). Quite the opposite. The GOP is happy to collect these single issue voters under one banner, where they get them to vote against their self-interest on a wide variety of issues. The Democratic Party has also done a s#!tty job by taking minority support for granted. 

 

I won't name names, like Nazi Germany, but some regressive parties united a coalition of minorities by getting them to blame and shame Jews and Socialists. 

 

The notion you can point to the Black guy who is positioned behind Trump at rallies to suggest the party isn't racist or fascist is kinda hilarious. 

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13 minutes ago, Archy1221 said:

Your strawman’s are getting worse by the day:facepalm:

 

Speaking of strawmen......nice way to avoid the paragraph before it. 

 

Just curious: have you noticed the choreographed appearance of Black people at GOP events, and their almost total absence in staff photos and committee memberships? 

 

Or the all-male contingent convened to decide women's health issues?

 

Admittedly, I'm not as good at this as the award-winning historian who put it all in proper perspective in the short, well-written article you refuse to read. 

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