** 2022 Previews: ESPN FPI Pre-Season Nebraska Win Projection **

[Mavric]

Per ESPN's FPI:

 

AUG. 27: VS. NORTHWESTERN - Win probability: 78.7% - Opponent FPI rank: 81

SEPT. 3 VS. NORTH DAKOTA - Win probability: 98.4% - Opponent FPI rank: N/A

SEPT. 10 VS. GEORGIA SOUTHERN - Win probability: 92.0% - Opponent FPI rank: 103

SEPT. 17 VS. OKLAHOMA - Win probability: 39.5% - Opponent FPI rank: 8

OCT. 1 VS. INDIANA - Win probability: 84.0% - Opponent FPI rank: 68

OCT. 7 AT RUTGERS - Win probability: 72.4 - Opponent FPI rank: 82

OCT. 15 AT PURDUE - Win probability: 48.7% - Opponent FPI rank: 41

OCT. 29 VS. ILLINOIS - Win probability: 83.5% - Opponent FPI rank: 75

NOV. 5 VS. MINNESOTA - Win probability: 63.9% - Opponent FPI rank: 40

NOV. 12 AT MICHIGAN - Win probability: 20% - Opponent FPI rank: 6

NOV. 19 VS. WISCONSIN - Win probability: 51.2% - Opponent FPI rank: 21

NOV. 25 AT IOWA - Win probability: 46.5% - Opponent FPI rank: 37

 

It's been awhile since my last statistics course but I believe that comes up with 7.8 expected wins.

[Saunders]

@Mavric I'm splitting this into its own topic because FPI is not technically Bill's thing (he does SP+). Article below.