The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 56 days until E-Day:

2020: Biden+7.5*
2016: Clinton+2.0
2012: Obama+3.5*
2008: McCain+1.2*
2004: Bush+7.5*
2000: Gore+2.9
1996: Clinton+16.0
1992: Clinton+7.8
1988: Bush+4.1
1984: Reagan+19.7
1980: Reagan+3.4
1976: Carter+13.4

— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) September 8, 2020