This week's most improbable wins, per postgame win expectancy:

* Nebraska > Penn State (17%)
* Virginia > Louisville (22%)
* Miami > Va Tech (46%)
* Illinois > Rutgers (46%)

PSU and UAB have now each lost 2 of the 12 most improbable games of the year. Congrats!

— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 15, 2020