Created a toy model to project point differential based on ret prod and team talent.
Here are your biggest over-performers in 2022:

Duke +24.6 pts/game
Illinois +19.3
San José St +18.8
Tennessee +17.7
USC +17.6
Maryland +14.0
TCU +13.9
Kansas +12.8
Michigan +12.8
Tulane +12.6 https://t.co/OayM10Afy9

— parker fleming (@statsowar) October 24, 2022