I guess predicting 7-5 is not beyond the realm of the possible considering that's about the 'average' of the past two seasons under Riley and we are not returning a bunch of all conference honorees. We do have to face the fact that we are NOT overloaded with talent, based on the past 5 years of recruiting and overall performance. I really believe we will be better overall at QB despite the loss of one our NU's all time QB leaders in terms of yards, games, experience, etc.
Beyond QB, I think you can reasonably argue that our receivers, as a group, ought to be as good or maybe better in terms of overall playmaking ability and pure speed. The RBs as a group, every bit as talented and with another year of experience, learning, strength and condtioning, should be a little better. Nothing against T Newby but he was only marginally better than those pushing him and he was not all conference. I doubt seriously any of this year's bunch will earn that honor either but I do see the group being better overall. TEs should be more than adequate for their role insofar as we've seen it thus far in Riley's offensive systems. Our FB spot should be better (maybe not Jano good) but better than last year. The O line is admittedly a little hard to assess but I am of the view that the guys who will make up the 2 deep will have more time and practice and time in development and confidence and unity / cohesion building time than any in the past several. I base this on the fact that Riley and company have been building and planning for this point for over two years and presumably have done more things right than wrong in this regard. Again, injuries are going to be a real issue in the line so we need a lot of luck to avoid the kind of depth problems we've had for several years.
All things being considered, I see much better QB play (perhaps Lee will play upto his potential and if so we'll be quite capable there), and he will be surrounded by a 'no name' bunch who can contribute and make plays and we can and should be able to get first downs and will be quite capable of scoring from almost anywhere inside the opponents 35. This gives us a real chance to sustain drives and we'll get plenty of field goals from Brown if we get inside the 30. Field goals help us on defense as we get to put the opponent in long field positions more.
Will we be overpowering? Not likely. Will we be more overpowering than last year? Not likely. Will we be a weaker offense? Not likely.
Will we be efficient on offense? Very likely. More so than last year? Very very likely. Will we score more? Quite likely.
On defense, we replace some playmakers but nobody who was all conference or All American caliber. We should be more athletic. If our D line play is even modestly better, we should be better on defense.
Special teams offers excellent place kicking returns with a quality player, punting has to get better as it can't be worse surely, and coverage and so on has every chance to improve as we should be quicker and more aggressive, and our punt returner should be MUCH improved.
Will we be national title contender on defense? NO. Can we win the Big Ten West? Certainly.
Will we be national title contender on offense? NO. Can we win the Big Ten West? Quite certainly.
Special teams national title conder calibert? NO. Can we win the Big Ten West? Certainly.
Can we win the Big Ten? It is NOT impossible but the odds have got to be about 1 in 10 at best.
Are we better than 7-5? Quite probably.