This is about where I'm at, too. I would only add I expect Texas to make a significant jump this year if Herman is their guy.My opinions: Florida State will be the quickest to rebound but won't be national contenders under taggart, ucla will have the best improvements of the programs listed (us and ucla imo), and oregon will never be the team they were before, they are gonna go back into irrelevancy because the 2 people who made oregon what it was are gone.
I also think you're spot on about Oregon. Their identity has taken a huge hit in recent years and I struggle to see them bottle that success again.