Now, the differences between the ordinals in each category isn't necessarily the same. Nebraska has the hardest schedule of the four by a clear margin. Iowa does not have the best quarterback situation by as wide of a margin. Wisconsin scores the lowest, but whipped both Iowa and Northwestern last year. Its "past performance" metric towers over the Hawkeyes and Wildcats, and has a lead on Nebraska. The numbers say Wisconsin. The roster makeup says "not so fast." That could be me playing a hunch wrong. I could feel very dumb about not picking the Badgers to win if they beat LSU opening night.
Neverthless, here are my picks.
>> I'll pick Iowa to win the division. It has enough strength overall and the schedule fits into their hands. I'm not always one to promote schedule, schedule, schedule, but the Hawkeyes' strength along the lines and experience at skill spots convinces me.
>> For Nebraska to be No. 2, I have to pick them to either win at Michigan State -- I won't -- or win at Wisconsin. Nebraska's category advantages over the Badgers are in overall talent, defensive playmakers, coaching track record and returning starters. The returning starters edge is minimal -- most of that is accounted for in defensive playmakers -- but the rest are fair, and enough, in this mythical contest, to pick Wisconsin to lose its eighth game in 11 years at home.