TGHusker
Assistant Coach
Nebraska
CFN Spring Nebraska Win Total: 6.5CFN Nebraska Projected Record: 6-6
Almost Certain Wins: Bowling Green, North Dakota, Ohio
Likely Losses: Indiana, Ohio State, at Oregon
50/50 Games: at Illinois, at Iowa, Maryland, at Michigan State, at Rutgers, Washington
2025: Total 7 | Prediction 7-5 | Record 7-5
2024: Total 7.5 | Prediction 7-5 | Record 6-6
In the analysis below, I suspect the worse case happens before the best case just based on Rhule's track record alone.
The Good
The Huskers should have three wins before getting up to speed - they're not exactly pushing the envelope in the non-conference slate - and with Michigan State and Maryland to start, there's a real chance to start 5-0.
The trip to East Lansing is the only road game before October 17th, but ...
The Bad
There's a ton of road work to do over the second half of the season.
The run of three road games in four dates hurts, and the season closes with four road games in the last six.
At Rutgers - there's a shot that's the only game out of the last seven that Nebraska is favored in.
What Big Ten Teams Nebraska Will Miss
Michigan, Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State, Purdue, UCLA, USC, Wisconsin.
UGH. Sure, not playing Michigan, Penn State, and USC is good, but not getting Purdue hurts, and the Huskers getting Indiana, Ohio State, and Oregon is a problem.
Nebraska’s Best and Worst Case Scenarios in 2026
Best Case: The Huskers are still alive for Ohio State
They rip through the first five games and are at least competitive in the back-to-back games against Indiana and at Oregon.
After beating Washington and getting past Illinois and Rutgers on the road, it all comes down to upsetting Ohio State in the home finale and beating Iowa on the road.
Or, in some way, shape, or form, they get to 10-2 and are off to the College Football Playoff.
Worst Case: Nebraska biffs in East Lansing
The Huskers lose the Big Ten opener at Michigan State, and then it's a weekly struggle just to stay alive.
The four game-losing streak in the middle of the season puts the pressure on late, needing to beat Iowa on the road just to go bowling.
Games That Will Decide Nebraska’s Season
1. at Michigan State, Sept. 26
Lose the Big Ten opener, and there's a big, big problem the rest of the way. Win, and there's a great shot at a 5-0 start.
2. Indiana, Oct. 10
We're well past the point of being amazed at who the new Big Red Machine is. If Nebraska wants to be a thing again, it has to pull off something big like this.
3. Washington, Oct. 31
With three of the last four games on the road, the Huskers need to roll the Huskies after getting a week off to prepare.