But .645 is terrible, so they should fire the guy in charge of it. They're ESPN, they should do better.
that might have been a subtle dig at people who would fire a coach with a .700 winning percentage. even though that analogy really does not hold up.
Youre right. I apologize.
No, it wasn't. Their FPI is garbage, especially during the regular season. It's just like their latest "3 year power ratings" simply making up criteria for clicks.
then you really think there is "one guy" in charge of the fpi? and i guess that does make us wonder what other prognosticator's percentages are.
I guess I don't get why the 8-4 prediction here is so outlandish. Few people outside of Nebraska think we're going to do much better than 9-3, so why is 8-4 not 'credible'? Because they famously said we'd lose in 1995? They highlighted games that Nebraska will likely lose (Wisconsin, Michigan State) and other toss ups (Iowa, Miami, Northwestern). This isn't a secret, we all know these are the games that Nebraska must win, and their formula says that we will likely lost all 5 (with 3 being just around 50%). Personally, I think these predictions are somewhat accurate considering they're just trying to use a mathematical baseline to identify a particular teams' chance of winning, they were able to identify the games we're likely to have trouble with. For the record, I think we win 2 of the 3 toss-ups to finish 9-3.
We often need bowl game upsets or comeback victories to get to those numbers. To think Nebraska is a shoe-in for 9 wins each year is outlandish. We could have easily finished 7-5 last year if it weren't for the Northwestern hail mary.
