To the op, and nothing else, I say we have a damn good chance at this one.
Our team is hungry after that last loss. The OL got called out and will hopefully come out with some passion. Martinez built up some more confidence. And every game played is another notch is Beck's belt for playcalling experience - and with experience comes wisdom (at least I hope...)
Their team is on an emotional roller coaster right now. Every kid on that team came to Penn to play for the legendary Paterno. Not one of them will tell you - they will all express their unconditional support - but every one of them is having some inner self doubt right now. Any sane person would. They are wondering if the allegations are true. And they are wondering that if they are, how and why am I playing for these people? Couple that with the potential of Paterno's last home game. And add to that every student, newspaper, and fan constantly asking these players for their opinions on the matter, and this is a distraction of epic proportions. Lastly, the game is at night, so the Penn team has all day to think about all of these implications.
Like I said, I like our chances.