The B1G in the CFP Rankings

Kiyoat Husker

Kiyoat Husker

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2015 rankings (week 10)

http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings/_/poll/21/seasontype/2/year/2015/week/10

Rank Team Record AP Rank

1 Clemson 8-0 3

2 LSU 7-0 4

3 Ohio State 8-0 1

4 Alabama 7-1 7

5 Notre Dame 7-1 8

6 Baylor 7-0 2

7 Michigan State 8-0 6

8 TCU 8-0 5

9 Iowa 8-0 10

10 Florida 7-1 11

11 Stanford 7-1 9

12 Utah 7-1 13

13 Memphis 8-0 15

14 Oklahoma State 8-0 12

15 Oklahoma 7-1 14

16 Florida State 7-1 17

17 Michigan 6-2 16

18 Mississippi 7-2 19

19 Texas A&M 6-2 25

20 Mississippi State 6-2 24

21 Northwestern 6-2 29

22 Temple 7-1 23

23 UCLA 6-2 22

24 Toledo 7-0 20

25 Houston 8-0 18

 
http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/126305/big-ten-gets-mostly-fair-treatment-in-first-cfp-rankings

Big Ten Writer Brian Bennett's article about the first CFP Rankings: "Big Ten Gets Mostly Fair Treatment"

quotes:

Five Big Ten teams made it into the Top 25, and three are in the Top 10. Northwestern, which isn't ranked in either the Associated Press or USA Today coaches' poll, nevertheless checked in at No. 21 in the committee rankings. The 6-2 Wildcats will therefore count as a quality win for both Iowa and Michigan, and its opening victory over Stanford (No. 11 in the CFP rankings) obviously carries weight....

....Clearly, more than just body of work and strength of schedule were at play in the committee rankings, or else Iowa and Michigan State would be higher than Ohio State....

Ohio State probably is the best team in the Big Ten, but the Spartans and Hawkeyes will each get their shot to prove otherwise....

... And as long as that Big Ten champ is undefeated, it will be in the playoff. The committee proved Tuesday night that it has plenty of respect for the overall strength of the league, which is all that really matters at this early stage of the rankings.

 
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Conference breakdown:

Big 10: 3 7 9 17 21

SEC: 2 4 10 18 19 20

Big 12: 6 8 14 15

Pac 12: 11 12 23

ACC: 1 16

Ind: 5

Other: 13 22 24 25 (#24 already lost yesterday)

 
I wonder if a one-loss Ohio State team would make the playoff over Notre Dame with one loss? Would tOSU make it with one loss if there was also a one-loss SEC champion?

 
Depends on the loss. If MSU beats them they won't make the CCG. If Mich does they still may get to play a potentially undefeated Iowa and make a statement win.

 
Notre Dame is the most interesting. Obviously the committee thinks pretty highly of them now, but with so many teams having backloaded schedules, they stand to get relatively worse as time goes on.

Their big remaining games are Pitt and Stanford. Those two have some tricky remaining games. How well they do, assuming Notre Dame wins out, could be massive towards settling some potential 1 loss debates.

 
NUance said:
I wonder if a one-loss Ohio State team would make the playoff over Notre Dame with one loss? Would tOSU make it with one loss if there was also a one-loss SEC champion?
Click to expand...
I think at this point a loss takes them out. Too late in the season to recover.

 
The question of when you lose is interesting. Last year only provides a mild example.

Miss St is the only team of relevance to lose late in the season. They started out 1 and stayed that way until losing in week 11, but despite 1 loss stayed in the top 4 before losing for a second time. Despite no other top team losing, we saw all that movement late with teams flip flopping in later weeks, culminating with the last week drop of TCU from 3rd to 6th in the final poll.

Definitely a different behavior from the traditional polls. Yet, we don't know if Miss St would have stayed in the top 4 had they not suffered a 2nd loss.

 
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