Week 1 Odds (BIG)

Hooked on Huskers

All-Conference
Thursday August 28

Huskers(-6.5) vs. Cincinnati -- ESPN 8:00PM CDT
Rutgers(-10.5) host Ohio Bobcats -- BTN 5:00PM CDT​
Gophers(-17.5) host BuffaloU -- FS1 7:00PM CDT​
Badgers(-17.5) host Miami OH -- BTN 8:00PM CDT​

Friday August 29

Spartans(-17.5) host W.Michigan -- FS1 6:00PM CDT​
Illini(-39.5) host W.Illinois -- Peacock 6:30PM CDT​

Saturday August 30

Tulane(-6.5) host Northwestern -- ESPNU 11:00AM CDT​
Terps(-17.5) host Florida Atlantic -- BTN 11:00AM CDT​
Ohio State (-3) host TexAss -- FOX 11:00AM CDT​
Purdue (-16.5) host Ball State -- BTN 11:00AM CDT​
Hoosiers (-23.5) host Old Dominion -- FS1 1:30PM CDT​
Penn State (-45.5) host Nevada -- CBS 2:30PM CDT​
Ducks (-27.5) host Montana State -- BTN 3:00PM CDT​
Iowa(-37.5) host UAlbany -- 6:00PM FS1 CDT​
Wolverines (-36.5) host New Mexico -- NBC 6:30PM CDT​
USC(-34.5) host Missouri State BTN 6:30PM CDT​
Huskies (-19.5) host Colorado State -- BTN 10:00PM CDT​
UCLA host Utah (-6.5) -- FOX 10:00PM CDT​

No BIG vs. BIG game.

All at home except Huskers vs. Cinci (neutral site) and Northwestern @ Tulane

Three FCS cupcakes ...... Illini vs. W.Illinois, Ducks vs. Montana State and Iowa vs. UAlbany
 
I guess I'm curious if the Cincinnati line will move either direction as the game gets closer.

Boy, a lot of pessimism about Miami OH if the Badgers are at -17.5.
 
I guess I'm curious if the Cincinnati line will move either direction as the game gets closer.

Boy, a lot of pessimism about Miami OH if the Badgers are at -17.5.

That is a little odd for a team that was in the MAC championship last year. They did get blown out in that game, I have no idea who they are returning, and they weren't particularly competitive in their games against P4 teams last year. But the coaching staff has been there a while and they've been consistently decent.

There's a weird amount of optimism around Wisconsin this year nationally - locally feels like most people expect them to suck again, but the computer numbers have liked them more than their win totals would suggest, and people really like the new OC Grimes. Wouldn't shock me if it's closer than 17 points, but I think they are better equipped under Grimes to just wear down teams with less talent and end up winning 34-13 after leading 13-7 or something at the half. I just wouldn't bet on opening week games tbh.

I like UAlbany + 37.5
It seems so improbable that they score that many points.

Iowa did top 40 points 3 times in Big Ten play last year, and scored 38 and 40 in two of the non-con games. Something similar to last year's opener (40-0 against Illinois State) seems plausible. Whether Ferentz will let him remains to be seen, but I think Tim Lester would love to run up a big point total to send a message. They aren't a great offense, but they're no longer incompetent.

Michigan/New Mexico at 36.5 is maybe a better fit for "will the favorite even score that many points?" Maybe Bryce Underwood is just that dude, but you're betting on a shutout because outside of decimating NW with 50 points Michigan was 30 or below every game. Frequently far below 30. Against an admittedly tough schedule, and New Mexico had an atrocious defense last year.
 
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