*** Official Expert Predictions - Penn St. ***

The "experts" have been picking against NU all year long. The guys on Big 10 Network have picked against Nebraska every week except the OSU game.

I don't see Nebraska coming out flat and laying an egg. They know what is at stake here. If NU gets going early I can see a 17pt win. Flat will be the next week against the Gophers. That will be the game they will have to grind through.

The only real problem I see in this game is that my brother is using the family tickets and he is bad luck.
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http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/blog/eye-on-college-football/20885812/upset-bait-penn-state-goes-long-in-lincoln-and-more-love-for-week-11-underdogs

JERRY HINNEN: Penn State (+7) over Nebraska.

PSU.png
Yes, the Cornhuskers are in control of the Big Ten's Legends Division, and yes, they've been a much better-looking home team than road team. Still, here are their six games against BCS competition:

1. A 36-30 loss at UCLA.

2. A three-point, come-from-behind win over Wisconsin in Badger QB Joel Stave's first action.

3. A blowout loss at Ohio State.

4. A one-point, come-from-behind win at Northwestern.

5. A two-touchdown win over Michigan in which Wolverine QB Denard Robinson missed the entire second half.

6. A four-point win at Michigan State which easily could have been (and Spartans will tell you should have been) a loss thanks to some friendly calls from the zebras.

Are any of those results particularly embarrassing? Of course, not. Are any of those results particularly impressive, the kind that would stamp the Huskers as championship contenders in a league in which the Buckeyes were eligible? Nope. They're only a shade better than the team that lost as heavy favorites (at home) to Northwestern at this stage last year, and these Nittany Lions -- 4-0 against the spread in road games -- are a much better team than those Wildcats. Lightning might just strike twice.
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Note the disclaimer:

The Eye on College Football crew scans the weekly lines for a straight-up shocker or two --for entertainment purposes only, of course.
Click to expand...
 
Adding that a win is "come from behind" really isn't noteworthy when you really think about it. There's 60 minutes of football to be played. The end result is the only thing that matters.

If anything, it's harder to come from behind. Shows more resiliency of the team.

 
4skers89 said:
http://www.cbssports...ek-11-underdogs

JERRY HINNEN: Penn State (+7) over Nebraska.

PSU.png
Yes, the Cornhuskers are in control of the Big Ten's Legends Division, and yes, they've been a much better-looking home team than road team. Still, here are their six games against BCS competition:

1. A 36-30 loss at UCLA.

2. A three-point, come-from-behind win over Wisconsin in Badger QB Joel Stave's first action.

3. A blowout loss at Ohio State.

4. A one-point, come-from-behind win at Northwestern.

5. A two-touchdown win over Michigan in which Wolverine QB Denard Robinson missed the entire second half.

6. A four-point win at Michigan State which easily could have been (and Spartans will tell you should have been) a loss thanks to some friendly calls from the zebras.

Are any of those results particularly embarrassing? Of course, not. Are any of those results particularly impressive, the kind that would stamp the Huskers as championship contenders in a league in which the Buckeyes were eligible? Nope. They're only a shade better than the team that lost as heavy favorites (at home) to Northwestern at this stage last year, and these Nittany Lions -- 4-0 against the spread in road games -- are a much better team than those Wildcats. Lightning might just strike twice.
Click to expand...
Note the disclaimer:

The Eye on College Football crew scans the weekly lines for a straight-up shocker or two --for entertainment purposes only, of course.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Look, I understand that Penn State beat Northwestern head-to-head, but if this guy is going to denounce Nebraska because we have three come-from-behind wins.... Penn State beat Northwestern, AT HOME, and had to score three fourth-quarter TDs to do it. Northwestern basically imploded down the stretch of their game. Let's not for a second truly, truly believe that Penn State is "much" better than Northwestern. Penn State is 6-3 vs. the #62 SOS. Northwestern is 7-2 vs. the #49 SOS. Northwestern lost at Penn State. Put that game in Evanston and you cannot claim the outcome would be the same.

These are very equal teams. And the only reason we were even remotely in trouble against Northwestern - at their house - was due to our own mistakes. Two punt return fumbles that gave them a short field and one busted play by a Freshman LB for a long TD run.

You simply cannot predict mistakes. Predicting that Nebraska will gift a number of turnovers to Penn State is a risky bet.

 
I truly think the guy that called Bo on Sports Nightly this week will help. Sounds crazy I know, but the players have heard about it, guarnteed. I think there was a good chance we were going to be flat this game, but after that happened I think the team now has another reason to come in and prove they are all in with Bo and back him up. They want to prove it on the field.

 
knapplc said:
4skers89 said:
http://www.cbssports...ek-11-underdogs

JERRY HINNEN: Penn State (+7) over Nebraska.

PSU.png
Yes, the Cornhuskers are in control of the Big Ten's Legends Division, and yes, they've been a much better-looking home team than road team. Still, here are their six games against BCS competition:

1. A 36-30 loss at UCLA.

2. A three-point, come-from-behind win over Wisconsin in Badger QB Joel Stave's first action.

3. A blowout loss at Ohio State.

4. A one-point, come-from-behind win at Northwestern.

5. A two-touchdown win over Michigan in which Wolverine QB Denard Robinson missed the entire second half.

6. A four-point win at Michigan State which easily could have been (and Spartans will tell you should have been) a loss thanks to some friendly calls from the zebras.

Are any of those results particularly embarrassing? Of course, not. Are any of those results particularly impressive, the kind that would stamp the Huskers as championship contenders in a league in which the Buckeyes were eligible? Nope. They're only a shade better than the team that lost as heavy favorites (at home) to Northwestern at this stage last year, and these Nittany Lions -- 4-0 against the spread in road games -- are a much better team than those Wildcats. Lightning might just strike twice.
Click to expand...
Note the disclaimer:

The Eye on College Football crew scans the weekly lines for a straight-up shocker or two --for entertainment purposes only, of course.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Look, I understand that Penn State beat Northwestern head-to-head, but if this guy is going to denounce Nebraska because we have three come-from-behind wins.... Penn State beat Northwestern, AT HOME, and had to score three fourth-quarter TDs to do it. Northwestern basically imploded down the stretch of their game. Let's not for a second truly, truly believe that Penn State is "much" better than Northwestern. Penn State is 6-3 vs. the #62 SOS. Northwestern is 7-2 vs. the #49 SOS. Northwestern lost at Penn State. Put that game in Evanston and you cannot claim the outcome would be the same.

These are very equal teams. And the only reason we were even remotely in trouble against Northwestern - at their house - was due to our own mistakes. Two punt return fumbles that gave them a short field and one busted play by a Freshman LB for a long TD run.

You simply cannot predict mistakes. Predicting that Nebraska will gift a number of turnovers to Penn State is a risky bet.
Click to expand...

What I don't get, is Penn State doesn't have MSU's caliber defense. MSU's defense is stout, and their secondary is much better than PSU's, or anyone we have played for that matter. Here is a breakdown since the OSU game... IMO fumbles have been cleaned up since OSU & Northwestern.

4 turnovers to MSU, 3 came over the air. 1 of those was a fumble by Taylor, which he was clearly down. Penn State will not get 3 INT's, as we won't have to air the ball down the field as much as we did against MSU. PSU is slow defensively, and we will hit the outside run game hard, at least I predict we will. This is where we are most dangerous, and they are the weakest at.

2 Turnovers in total to Michigan- 1 INT, and 1 Fumble by Taylor, which no one really knows if he was down or not. Personally, it looked like he was down, and he was even tell Pelini to challenge it. Video evidence couldn't say if he was or wasn't.

3 turnovers to Northwestern- 2 fumbles from Special Teams and 1 fumble from Kyler Reed. Self explanatory there, just undisciplined ball and lack of control. Reed thought he had time to switch and stiff, but was wrong. I don't think you would see this happening from him again, as it hasn't.

Basically what I am saying, fumbles have been really taken care of offensively, and special teams has not costed us a punt return since Northwestern. The INT's, 2 were inexcusable by Taylor against MSU, and the 3rd was just a great defensive play by Dennard. We aren't facing a MSU secondary, we are facing a subpar secondary, that has yet to even face a team that can legitimately throw the ball. IMO, we have cleaned up our fumbling issue a LOT. The only two we have had in these last two games, are controversial.

 
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I'm sticking with my 34-24 W expectation. We're gonna score some points, but again a couple mistakes keeps it closer than should be. If we were going to have a massive letdown, it was gonna be last week. Let downs tend to come against teams that are underperforming (Mich St) rather than overperforming (Penn St.). And we tried to have that letdown, but squeeked through, ala Missouri'97-style. I dont see it this week, or rather the rest of the season. I think this team feels it now. I see us in control of this game, but never with that feeling that it's "over". We may not even score first, but I think once we get going (slow start like usual), we'll carry a 2 possession lead or so throughout.

 
Penn State Rushing Defense: #25 allowing 122.44

Their Opponents Rushing

  • Virginia- #85 141.44/game.... PSU gave up 263 yards rushing
  • Navy- #7 267.2/game.... PSU game up 255 yards Rushing
  • Temple- #51 173.4/game... PSU gave up 113 yards rushing
  • Illinois- #99 126/game... PSU gave up 74 yards rushing
  • Northwestern- #13 236.4/game... PSU gave up 112 yards
  • Iowa- #98 129.6/game... PSU gave up 20 yards rushing
  • Ohio State- #9 256.1/game... PSU gave up 234 yards rushing
  • Purdue- #74 153/game... PSU gave up 87
  • NEBRASKA- #6 269.6/game

I would LOVE to know how they will stop our run game. Everyone with a good running game, has completely burned them on the ground. They have faced TWO good teams with a good rushing attack.

 
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knapplc said:
Stewart Mandel picks Penn State over Nebraska. I'm not understanding the logic here...

Penn State - 34Nebraska - 31

Penn State (6-3) at No. 18 Nebraska (7-2)

Both teams are 4-1 in the Big Ten with their sole losses coming to Ohio State. Nebraska's sloppy play (it ranks 106th nationally in turnover margin) has turned nearly every game into a nail-biter, whereas Penn State has only lost eight turnovers. That discrepancy, along with the Nittany Lions' strong rushing defense, could catch up to the Huskers this week.
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Penn State has scored 30 or more points on the road one time this year - last week at Purdue. Purdue is 83rd in the country in points given up per game, at 30 per game. They are terrible on defense.

Against a comparable scoring defense to Nebraska's, Ohio State, Penn State scored 23 points - and they played that game at home. This is on the road, and if we win we basically wrap up our division and punch our ticket to the Big Ten Championship.

Penn State lost that game to Ohio State by two scores. I just don't understand where these "experts" are coming from.
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Mandel has picked us 4 straight times to lose FYI. He and his podcast cohort (Mallory Rubin) picked NU to be the Big Ten disappointment and finish 7-5, while they picked Michigan State to go 11-1.

 
saunders45 said:
knapplc said:
Stewart Mandel picks Penn State over Nebraska. I'm not understanding the logic here...

Penn State - 34Nebraska - 31

Penn State (6-3) at No. 18 Nebraska (7-2)

Both teams are 4-1 in the Big Ten with their sole losses coming to Ohio State. Nebraska's sloppy play (it ranks 106th nationally in turnover margin) has turned nearly every game into a nail-biter, whereas Penn State has only lost eight turnovers. That discrepancy, along with the Nittany Lions' strong rushing defense, could catch up to the Huskers this week.
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LINK

Penn State has scored 30 or more points on the road one time this year - last week at Purdue. Purdue is 83rd in the country in points given up per game, at 30 per game. They are terrible on defense.

Against a comparable scoring defense to Nebraska's, Ohio State, Penn State scored 23 points - and they played that game at home. This is on the road, and if we win we basically wrap up our division and punch our ticket to the Big Ten Championship.

Penn State lost that game to Ohio State by two scores. I just don't understand where these "experts" are coming from.
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Mandel has picked us 4 straight times to lose FYI. He and his podcast cohort (Mallory Rubin) picked NU to be the Big Ten disappointment and finish 7-5, while they picked Michigan State to go 11-1.
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Bahahahaha! I stated before the season even started that there was a VERY VERY SLIM chance that Mich St. wins the Legends division. I just didn't see it with them losing all their offensive talent.

 
We're bound to have a letdown game soon. We are killed by turnovers, they thrive on them. Expect a close one or a loss.

 
mrandyk said:
We're bound to have a letdown game soon. We are killed by turnovers, they thrive on them. Expect a close one or a loss.
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Who's to not say the Northwestern and Michigan St games were already those supposed meltdown game, and we found a way to win'em? Or is that too much positive thinking?

 
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