I could very easily see NU winning on Sat but I would be shocked if it was by more than 7. UW has not lost a game by more than that since Oct. 2010 and even that game was within a field goal until the final minute. That includes 3 games vs teams ranked #3 or higher and multiple games against top 10 teams. This team just does not get blown out.
This is not the same squad you guys saw early this year, the D has 3 starters back that sat out game #1 (assuming Borland plays) and the whole team is just much sharper. As others have pointed out every game UW has lost they could have won with one or two breaks here and there. They have lost three games in OT in the last 4 weeks. Of course as a UW fan I expect to win, but I could see the trends continuing with NU coming out on top. Either way it will be a close game. Good luck Huskers and lets hope it is injury free!
Ranked #3 or higher in what? Your losses:
Oregon State - #16
Nebraska - #14
Sparty - unranked
Ohio State - #4
Those are AP rankings, because the Buckeyes aren't ranked in the Coaches or BCS polls.
Otherwise, I'll agree with your assessment. You've got a lot of pieces back that should help quite a bit. On top of that, we've lost our starting Center and D Tackle. If we can't patch up those holes, this could be a third straight Wisconsin Big Ten Championship.