I have to respectfully disagree with you on the "4 loses being livable". This season has the most favorable schedule they've seen in at least a couple years. Outside of UCLA, which team really scares you? Michigan being the only real one I can see, mainly because it's an away game. If this team lost 4 games, this board would go full retard, and may send Knapp into early retirement with all the discipinary actions doled out...
I don't expect this team to win every game either, that being said there isn't any reason they shouldn't be in a position to win every game. The games they lose, up until the CCG (should we get there), will be because they beat themselves or let themselves get outworked by the opposition.
The whole season is really hinging on how the defense plays. There also needs to be an improvement made on turnovers and penalties. We've all come to the realization that the offense should be pretty ridiculous, unless Beck channels his inner Watson.