Here is why I am worried about this game...
1. Tim Beck as our OC. When we get going, he seems to change something and we go stagnant. Against Michigan, we pull Armstrong and play Kellogg. This was NOT a good idea and poor decision making on Beck. Had Armstrong been struggling, I could understand. After doing so Michigan shut us out for the 2nd quarter, and when we put Armstrong back in, we weren't jelling anymore. Michigan found confidence in their defense, that they did not have before. We also abandoned the run game, once again. The option was a play that was working really well, and we only ran it a handful of times. You keep running a system until it can be stopped.
2. Michigan's defense is good. There is no denying that, and if you don't think so, you haven't watched much on them. I hear many people say "they lost to Notre Dame, their defense isn't that good". They only gave up 17 points, while MSU's offense couldn't do crap. They kept ND to 220 total yards. Since that loss, they have found a groove on offense and have been jelling pretty well too. We all know a good defense and a "good enough" offense can win you big games. This is the recipe they have shown to have.
3. While our defense has shown a TON of progress for 7 straight quarters (minus the 1st quarter in the Northwestern game), I am not completely sold on our play yet. Our defense is still a huge question mark. A couple times this year we have been like "oh man this defense is stepping up" to all of a sudden dropping the ball that following weekend (ie Minnesota).
I do think we win this game, but I am not as comfortable as I have been the past 2 years. Its going to be a dog fight, unless Beck can pull his head out of his a$$, stick with a run first mentality and KEEP Armstrong in, unless he is struggling. I thought Kellogg was our chance to win out, but its clear that Armstrong is playing better, and he wants to win. You can see it when this kid gets to the sidelines. True leader. Like I said, if Beck pulls his head out of his a$$, we win this game and we exploit MSU's defense once again, showing how flawed they are, but I am not holding my breathe on that. Beck seems to only call good games against teams like SDSU, and Southern Miss. When something doesn't go his way, he folds and he starts to pick plays with a blindfold on.