I would not be surprised at all if we lose this game, and I don't think y'all should be either. We definitely have the capacity to win, but it would not be that unlikely for us to lose, and the worst times on this board are when we meltdown because we convinced ourselves that we were better than we actually were.
Kaaya is a really good quarterback. Not a Christian Hackenburg "oh he's got potential that hasn't been realized" kind of good, but already a total baller. He threw the ball extremely well on us last year in the most hostile Memorial Stadium environment in years and our nation-leading pass efficiency defense. At home against a more poorly performing secondary, he could have a field day.
If our defense doesn't get good pressure on Kaaya all night, and a few turnovers, I see us in a dogfight that can go either way.