You should expect the following:
- A few beat-downs every year, maybe even one or two at home
- Wins at home against comparable talent
- Losses on the road against comparable talent
- Second tier-bowl games and flirting in and out of the top 25 each year
I hope that's good enough for everyone, because that's what we are looking at for the Callahan tenure, however long or short it might be.
Well.... hard to argue with this assesment. Certainly no one knows the future, but you do have to extrapolte from the the past and present to get there. So, I agree with this assessment --- there is no compelling evidence to suggest otherwise.
I would add that to have a program rise dramatically in today's college football requires the super coach --- an Urban Meyer, Rich Rodriguez, a Bob Stoops, a .... put in a handfull of other names.
Whatever Callahan is --- be it a decent coach or a weak one, or, I suppose, even a good one --- there is little doubt that he is not a super one. Thus, it stands to reason that the assessment above describes the most likely case scenario.