N is for nowledge
Five-Star Recruit
That’s why I said wait and see. I measure 1 day in advancements and understanding of this in doggy yrs. call me optimistic. It’s 4-5 months from now and regardless of life and death no society can lock itself down for 12-18 months. The economical fallout as well as mental starts to be way worse than the corresponding deaths, ie drastically impacting exponentially more people negatively (related deaths “suicides”, bankruptcies, lost businesses, generational mobility stalled, etc.) I’m also saying there are ways to get around it and tons of ideas are being floated. Obviously the easiest one to remove/reduce the crowd levels. The chloroquine and zpak with zinc has at least overseas shown to have high effectiveness and reduce viral shed down to 7 days. Hence, if only that works, the answer is a test like strep, a script, and stay home for 7 days. Lots can change from now. I do agree they need to get back for camp sometime in July, but an answer to that could be removing non con or pushing back season start.player safety from both a virus risk as well as comditioning / training standpoint would be at risk if “the all clear” is not in place by July 1 I’d say. School is in serious question as well.
As of the NY Times numbers from this morning there are 173,700 diagnosed/reported cases nationally with 3,433 deaths. There is no doubt countless thousands more unidentified current infected in addition. A much bigger number of people who had the virus with little or no symptoms and recovered already. I don't know but I’d guess that there could be as many as ten times the diagnosed number (perhaps 1.3 million).
This tells me there remain another 348 million of the total population of approx 350 million left to go. And hopefully those who have survived it can’t get it again AND are not carriers indefinitely.
Either we do find a cure that’s fast and easy or a preventative vaccine soon or the world is in great peril for the forseeable future. I hate to be a doomsayer but??? Miracles can happen.