AHEM! We have 6 more games. We still have a chance to win the North and go to a bowl game. Until there is no chance, that is what I will believe.
3 conference losses is more or less a closed case for the division. It would take NU to win out, and MU and KU to lose out. A loss to Kansas alone makes it a done deal.
And given what the conference looks like, we NEED 7 wins to make a bowl. The big 12 has 8 bowl tie ins. 5 teams from the south already have 6 wins, and you can count on them all making 1 more, with maybe A&M dropping the last part and ending 6-6. MU and KU are locks for bowls also. ISU has been eliminated. And baylor would have to win out.
That leaves NU, KSU and CU to fight for 1 slot.
KSU has ISU and Baylor to play still, so count them for 6 wins right there, ANd they can pick up a win between MU, NU and Fresno.
CU has ISU as a Gimmie. With TT, MU and NU remaining. 6-6 probable outcome there.
Now here is the issue. As OU, Texas, TT, OSU, KU, MU, KSU will all take slots, if A&M or CU get to 7, they go before a possible 6-6 team. At large bids(from either bowls that do not have 2 conference tie ins, or conferences that do no meet their bids) MUST go to a team with better than .500 before any team with a 6-6 gets in. Meaning a 7-5 Sun belt or CUSA gets a bid before a 6-6 NU would.