I would simply add that I don't think the trend of recruits commiting earlier is a recent trend of the last year or so. Rivals doesn't seem to let you get a summary commitment list, only by school which is tought to deal with in this scenario. To add to the poster's work that I put up, I looked at Texas going back to 2005 as they are the most notorious early commitment school.Yes, he did deny that recruiting is is bad shape. You say that nobody can deny it, but then somebody did deny it. And he has facts and numbers to backup his argument. You simply assert an opinion that higher rated classes are better than lower rated classes. Doesn't mean either of you is right or wrong, but it does disprove your statement that nobody can deny your assertion earlier.But he didn't. He didn't take into account the fact that recruits are tending to commit earlier every year, leaving us with much fewer options than in those years (come to think of it, he's a prime specimen for government service with his misleading statistics). Why does it bother you that I think this year's class will be below average? I don't understand when people say, "we don't need 4/5 star recruits." That's true if we want to be perpetually a 9-4 team at best. And if this class is ranked low, it will be because we don't have "good players." The fact is, those top 10 classes simply do have better players, although that's not to say that I won't get excited about them and welcome them aboard. They could have better careers than higher-ranked players, but they probably won't. That's just being rational and realistic. Take off the rose-colored glasses for a moment and it becomes clear.That's exactly what he just did. I'd actually say that you can't deny we're in essentially the same shape recruiting-wise as we have been for the past 5 years.You can't deny that we are not in great recruiting shape. I'd like to see how many uncommitted players there were at this time in those past years. Obviously if we have a good season, we will probably land at least some decommits. I expect this class will be below average.
It's too bad you think this class will be below average. I think we won't rank highly by the rating services (which I don't care about but some do), but that will be because we will have a small class not because we don't have good players. Following recruiting and college football is for entertainment purposes only - relax and enjoy the ride.
There are a lot of people wondering why we can't attract recruits with all of our top notch facilities and amazing tradition. All of those aspects are secondary to the prospect of being on a winning/championship quality team. That's why Florida, Alabama, LSU have such great recruiting. So as I see it, once we start winning, the recruits will come.
I have no issue with anyone who cares to simply "relax and enjoy the ride." Just because I see things as they are doesn't make me any less of a fan, some people are just incapable of doing so, perhaps for the better.
And as far as the "doom and glooom," please. It makes me sad that this board is little more than one person bringing up an issue and then everyone else bemoaning the fact that "that's all people ever talk about."
That is my objective assesment, agree or disagree.
Well, then, why don't you show us the stats/data you're claiming are true. Claiming stats without even any numbers is even more misleading. Pot meet kettle.
I disagree with everything you said here. It doesn't bother me that you have low expectations of our recruiting class; I just think that's too bad for you. There's nothing that says we have to have "4 and 5 star" recruits to be good or even great. I understand that you have that opinion, but that's not the same as it being true. In fact the very idea that somebody can determine which players are even 4 and 5 stars isn't proven to be accurate.
You haven't swayed my opinion on these topics, and I doubt I've swayed yours much either. So we'll just disagree.
1. How do you know that the staff has no sense of urgency? Are you in their offices each day? All we have are rumors. Seems to me that the track record up to now hasn't shown this staff to lack that urgency, they pulled in 2 nice classes in a row and their work in practice speaks for itself. Do you think the staff all of the sudden decided that 1 season and 2 recruiting cycles is enough to rest their laurels on?There is absolutely no sense of urgency with this staff. I guess if we can keep cherry picking players like Evans out of our own backyard( BTW Evans would have accepted whenever we offered. Why so soon??) Why recruit elsewhere. Just too much effort??
#1, I completely disagree with you there. If we want to not be compared to said teams with respect to recruiting, we can expect to be more or less as good as we were in '08.Fact #1: The number one reason why most recruits choose a school is because of location.
Fact #2: The most high school talent in the country is concentrated in Florida, California, Texas, and Ohio.
Fact #3: The teams that everyone keeps mentioning are either in one of these states or border one of these states.
Fact #4: Nebraska does not border Texas.
Conclusion: Quit mentioning USC, Florida, Texas, OU, Ohio State, or LSU when talking about recruiting to Nebraska.
And who would that be?Looks like some people could use a lesson in the difference between "opinion" and "fact."
I see you've chosen the "disagree" option.Yes, he did deny that recruiting is is bad shape. You say that nobody can deny it, but then somebody did deny it. And he has facts and numbers to backup his argument. You simply assert an opinion that higher rated classes are better than lower rated classes. Doesn't mean either of you is right or wrong, but it does disprove your statement that nobody can deny your assertion earlier.But he didn't. He didn't take into account the fact that recruits are tending to commit earlier every year, leaving us with much fewer options than in those years (come to think of it, he's a prime specimen for government service with his misleading statistics). Why does it bother you that I think this year's class will be below average? I don't understand when people say, "we don't need 4/5 star recruits." That's true if we want to be perpetually a 9-4 team at best. And if this class is ranked low, it will be because we don't have "good players." The fact is, those top 10 classes simply do have better players, although that's not to say that I won't get excited about them and welcome them aboard. They could have better careers than higher-ranked players, but they probably won't. That's just being rational and realistic. Take off the rose-colored glasses for a moment and it becomes clear.That's exactly what he just did. I'd actually say that you can't deny we're in essentially the same shape recruiting-wise as we have been for the past 5 years.You can't deny that we are not in great recruiting shape. I'd like to see how many uncommitted players there were at this time in those past years. Obviously if we have a good season, we will probably land at least some decommits. I expect this class will be below average.
It's too bad you think this class will be below average. I think we won't rank highly by the rating services (which I don't care about but some do), but that will be because we will have a small class not because we don't have good players. Following recruiting and college football is for entertainment purposes only - relax and enjoy the ride.
There are a lot of people wondering why we can't attract recruits with all of our top notch facilities and amazing tradition. All of those aspects are secondary to the prospect of being on a winning/championship quality team. That's why Florida, Alabama, LSU have such great recruiting. So as I see it, once we start winning, the recruits will come.
I have no issue with anyone who cares to simply "relax and enjoy the ride." Just because I see things as they are doesn't make me any less of a fan, some people are just incapable of doing so, perhaps for the better.
And as far as the "doom and glooom," please. It makes me sad that this board is little more than one person bringing up an issue and then everyone else bemoaning the fact that "that's all people ever talk about."
That is my objective assesment, agree or disagree.
Well, then, why don't you show us the stats/data you're claiming are true. Claiming stats without even any numbers is even more misleading. Pot meet kettle.
I disagree with everything you said here. It doesn't bother me that you have low expectations of our recruiting class; I just think that's too bad for you. There's nothing that says we have to have "4 and 5 star" recruits to be good or even great. I understand that you have that opinion, but that's not the same as it being true. In fact the very idea that somebody can determine which players are even 4 and 5 stars isn't proven to be accurate.
You haven't swayed my opinion on these topics, and I doubt I've swayed yours much either. So we'll just disagree.
lilred, you may want to discount that location isn't the number 1 factor but I would be hard pressed to agree with you. SI did an article on this issue in January and had a follow up on that more recently, I linked the articles below. In the first one, they cite a study some people did on the factors that most affect a recruit in making a choice. Here is an excerpt:#1, I completely disagree with you there. If we want to not be compared to said teams with respect to recruiting, we can expect to be more or less as good as we were in '08.Fact #1: The number one reason why most recruits choose a school is because of location.
Fact #2: The most high school talent in the country is concentrated in Florida, California, Texas, and Ohio.
Fact #3: The teams that everyone keeps mentioning are either in one of these states or border one of these states.
Fact #4: Nebraska does not border Texas.
Conclusion: Quit mentioning USC, Florida, Texas, OU, Ohio State, or LSU when talking about recruiting to Nebraska.
And who would that be?Looks like some people could use a lesson in the difference between "opinion" and "fact."
I see you've chosen the "disagree" option.Yes, he did deny that recruiting is is bad shape. You say that nobody can deny it, but then somebody did deny it. And he has facts and numbers to backup his argument. You simply assert an opinion that higher rated classes are better than lower rated classes. Doesn't mean either of you is right or wrong, but it does disprove your statement that nobody can deny your assertion earlier.But he didn't. He didn't take into account the fact that recruits are tending to commit earlier every year, leaving us with much fewer options than in those years (come to think of it, he's a prime specimen for government service with his misleading statistics). Why does it bother you that I think this year's class will be below average? I don't understand when people say, "we don't need 4/5 star recruits." That's true if we want to be perpetually a 9-4 team at best. And if this class is ranked low, it will be because we don't have "good players." The fact is, those top 10 classes simply do have better players, although that's not to say that I won't get excited about them and welcome them aboard. They could have better careers than higher-ranked players, but they probably won't. That's just being rational and realistic. Take off the rose-colored glasses for a moment and it becomes clear.That's exactly what he just did. I'd actually say that you can't deny we're in essentially the same shape recruiting-wise as we have been for the past 5 years.You can't deny that we are not in great recruiting shape. I'd like to see how many uncommitted players there were at this time in those past years. Obviously if we have a good season, we will probably land at least some decommits. I expect this class will be below average.
It's too bad you think this class will be below average. I think we won't rank highly by the rating services (which I don't care about but some do), but that will be because we will have a small class not because we don't have good players. Following recruiting and college football is for entertainment purposes only - relax and enjoy the ride.
There are a lot of people wondering why we can't attract recruits with all of our top notch facilities and amazing tradition. All of those aspects are secondary to the prospect of being on a winning/championship quality team. That's why Florida, Alabama, LSU have such great recruiting. So as I see it, once we start winning, the recruits will come.
I have no issue with anyone who cares to simply "relax and enjoy the ride." Just because I see things as they are doesn't make me any less of a fan, some people are just incapable of doing so, perhaps for the better.
And as far as the "doom and glooom," please. It makes me sad that this board is little more than one person bringing up an issue and then everyone else bemoaning the fact that "that's all people ever talk about."
That is my objective assesment, agree or disagree.
Well, then, why don't you show us the stats/data you're claiming are true. Claiming stats without even any numbers is even more misleading. Pot meet kettle.
I disagree with everything you said here. It doesn't bother me that you have low expectations of our recruiting class; I just think that's too bad for you. There's nothing that says we have to have "4 and 5 star" recruits to be good or even great. I understand that you have that opinion, but that's not the same as it being true. In fact the very idea that somebody can determine which players are even 4 and 5 stars isn't proven to be accurate.
You haven't swayed my opinion on these topics, and I doubt I've swayed yours much either. So we'll just disagree.
As for saying "nobody can deny..." I really don't follow you there. Anyone can deny anything, but not necessarily with any shred of accuracy. If I said "no one can deny the existence of the Moon" and you were to say "I deny that," then yes, you would have debunked my theory, but is that really your argument? Please tell me that makes sense to you.
And no, I do not have any numbers on the amount of uncommitted players at any given time, but we can all see it happening, so please don't be mulish there.
Of course, recruiting is not an exact science, I completely agree there. However, on average, 5 star players are better football players than 3 star players, the ratings aren't given out randomly. Our recruiting is inferior to many other programs at the moment.
The thing that really exasperates me is just how absurdly "conservative" this board is. You bring up one thought that people don't generally agree with or, more accurately, like to hear, and everyone freaks out. People who can make an evenhanded decision don't fit in well here.
All that said, please, no one take this the wrong way, this is not directed towards anyone specifically. I'm tired of these discussions turning into personal arguments.
Like you said, we won't be able to sway eachother.
It may or may not sway you to think location is the number concern for recruits is location, but I think it makes a compelling argument....a trio of economists who, in 2005, designed a model to predict the college choices of sought-after recruits. The model created by Mike DuMond, Allen Lynch and Jennifer Platania -- rabid college football fans who met while Ph D. candidates at Florida State -- found that among heavily recruited players choosing from among only BCS-conference schools, distance from home is the most important factor in a recruit's choice. The model was published in the February 2008 issue of The Journal of Sports Economics.
I'm not a talent evaluator, never have been but here's some video comparing Evans to Levorson. Some have said similar players. Watch the tape and decide for yourself. However I can spot an explosive athlete on film when I see one at the HS level.2. What is wrong with offering Evans now? If they think the young man is good enough to play at NU, what difference does it make if they offer him now or later? Question is do YOU think Evans is worth a scholarship?
It makes me wonder why.. He was not a priority on our board, why not see if we can grab some others that have evaluated higher with knowing that there is plenty of time to take T Evans whenever we wanted to.What is wrong with offering Evans now?
It's about developing relationships in recruiting. When School A sends you handwritten letters from coaches each week and consistently calls you while School B infrequently does either, who are you more likely to be attracted to?It’s August. We’re still a month away from the start of the season. How can it be too late?
We might have some, or even a lot, of work to do, but I don’t understand how this class is doomed.
So assuming at least some of the concerns are real, which of the following is accurate:It's about developing relationships in recruiting. When School A sends you handwritten letters from coaches each week and consistently calls you while School B infrequently does either, who are you more likely to be attracted to?It’s August. We’re still a month away from the start of the season. How can it be too late?
We might have some, or even a lot, of work to do, but I don’t understand how this class is doomed.
That is the thing that absolutely doomed Frankie. He was infrequent with contact and only wanted to turn up the heat on prospects after the final regular season game. During the year, he wanted nothing to do with recruiting. Thus why our recruiting was constantly average or below because we played catchup on so many prospects.
In today recruiting world, it is even worse with so many other forms of communication that can constantly be used. You slack off for a minute and other schools will pounce in an instance.
I will say this, people are in love with Bo for his coaching abilities and rightfully so. However, Bo, as well as the rest of this staff need to go to the Callahan school of recruiting to learn how tireless you need to be in recruiting. While Callahan was not the coach Bo is, if you put BC vs Bo in a recruiting battle, BC would run circles around Bo.
If only we had a mix of Bo and Callahan, we would have a superstar coach. :lol:
And for those thinking our recruiting is not in bad shape - I will say it is. When it gets to the point that Bryan Munson, who has friends on the staff will go out of his way to say something is wrong, it is likely even worse than he lets on. Other 'insiders' have quietly and lightly thrown it out there to the public.
If you still don't believe it, just read the updates from recruiting sites. How many times have you saw a recruit talk about how he wants to get in touch with Nebraska or how a coach missed a call or talks about infrequent contact. It has been a quite common theme in updates this year and that is troubling. Compare that to how many times you see a kid mention that about another school. It just doesn't happen.
But like Munson said, the complete blame does not go to the staff. Quite a few people on the support staff need their equal share of the blame as well. People underestimate how much work they put in as well to make sure things go smoothly for the coaches with as little confusion as possible.
All the things that you mentioned, isn't some of this directly related to TO and his guidance with Bo. Look I know Osborne worked tremendously long hours while coaching, his children and wife have stated this, you also don't keep a staff around for as long as TO did without loyalty AND not working the dog crap out of them. It's a 2 way street there. Funny that TO didn't get over the recruiting hump until he hired Kevin Steele in the early 90s and we all saw what unfolded. That and TO got roasted on the recruiting trail by CU's Mac and his staff of loaded recruiters in the late 80s.It's about developing relationships in recruiting. When School A sends you handwritten letters from coaches each week and consistently calls you while School B infrequently does either, who are you more likely to be attracted to?
That is the thing that absolutely doomed Frankie. He was infrequent with contact and only wanted to turn up the heat on prospects after the final regular season game. During the year, he wanted nothing to do with recruiting. Thus why our recruiting was constantly average or below because we played catchup on so many prospects.
In today recruiting world, it is even worse with so many other forms of communication that can constantly be used. You slack off for a minute and other schools will pounce in an instance.
I will say this, people are in love with Bo for his coaching abilities and rightfully so. However, Bo, as well as the rest of this staff need to go to the Callahan school of recruiting to learn how tireless you need to be in recruiting. While Callahan was not the coach Bo is, if you put BC vs Bo in a recruiting battle, BC would run circles around Bo.
If only we had a mix of Bo and Callahan, we would have a superstar coach. :lol:
And for those thinking our recruiting is not in bad shape - I will say it is. When it gets to the point that Bryan Munson, who has friends on the staff will go out of his way to say something is wrong, it is likely even worse than he lets on. Other 'insiders' have quietly and lightly thrown it out there to the public.
If you still don't believe it, just read the updates from recruiting sites. How many times have you saw a recruit talk about how he wants to get in touch with Nebraska or how a coach missed a call or talks about infrequent contact. It has been a quite common theme in updates this year and that is troubling. Compare that to how many times you see a kid mention that about another school. It just doesn't happen.
But like Munson said, the complete blame does not go to the staff. Quite a few people on the support staff need their equal share of the blame as well. People underestimate how much work they put in as well to make sure things go smoothly for the coaches with as little confusion as possible.