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2017 NCAA Tournament Prospects


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This is best case scenario, but lets say they finish 12-2 in their final 14 regular season games to finish at 35-17-1. Is that good enough to get them an at large bid to the tourney?

Yes!

 

Their RPI is currently 38 so it's possible that 35 wins gets them in. But Erstad has made the tourney only 2 times with Nebraska and they had 41 and 37 wins respectively. So 35 may not be enough. May have to rely on a few wins from the conference tournament for insurance

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This is best case scenario, but lets say they finish 12-2 in their final 14 regular season games to finish at 35-17-1. Is that good enough to get them an at large bid to the tourney?

Yes!

 

Their RPI is currently 38 so it's possible that 35 wins gets them in. But Erstad has made the tourney only 2 times with Nebraska and they had 41 and 37 wins respectively. So 35 may not be enough. May have to rely on a few wins from the conference tournament for insurance

 

I wouldn't automatically look at the # of wins. Looking through the top 40 in the RPI, NU is one of a few teams that have played less than 40 games so far this season. NU had 2 games rained out to begin the season, and the tie to Indiana could be looked at half a win.

 

So comparing wins this year to past years is a good start, but it's not a perfect comparison.

 

EDIT: I took a further look at the 2014 and 2016 seasons. Prior to the NCAA tournament in those years, NU played 59 games in 2014 and 57 games in 2016. If NU is able to play all their remaining games, NU will be at 53 games before the Big Ten tournament. So, as long as NU doesn't lose 2 and BBQ in the Big Ten tourney, NU will be at the 56-57 games played this year.

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Dang, that's a bad draw if it comes to fruition. Kent State, Wake Forest, and Kentucky? Damn...

 

...and it's interesting to see who the non-super seed regional hosts are. Some interesting picks indeed...

 

Also noticed that projection only has three teams from the B1G making it: Michigan, Maryland, and Nebraska. Minnesota is one of the first four out (likely because of the past weekend) and Indiana is nowhere to be seen.

 

Honestly, Indiana and Minnesota should have their positions reversed--despite Indiana's record, they've played a tough schedule and have a strong RPI to show for it. I do think we'll get four teams in the tourney--doubt five. But three...sorry, but no. There's some good competition in the conference and some good RPIs to go with it:

 

Maryland: 25

Michigan: 31

Nebraska: 41

Indiana: 28

 

Conversely, two of your top six teams in the B1G standings have rather poor RPIs, and only have a slim window with which to reverse that during the rest of the season:

 

Minnesota: 61 (Illinois-170, Long Beach State-23, Penn State-204, Pur-f*****g-due-115)

Pur-f*****g-due: 115 (St. Louis-161, Northwestern-247, Valpraiso-169*, Butler-140*, Michigan-31, IPFW-298*)

 

*Single games

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