As a corp credit mgr for a manufacturing company I occasionally get these updates on the state of the economy based the perspectives of credit mgmt.   A couple of items of note in the report copied in part below:   1.  The tax cut 'benefit' is slowly loosing its bunch.  2. The economy growth from the last quarter was boosted by tariff fears.   I expect slower growth next quarter.   I'm not an economist, nor do I play one on TV, but tariff threats and increasing tariffs is no way t