Canadian Fan
Four-Star Recruit
Since everyone else is talking COVID, don’t set your expectations of the vaccines to be too high. Their early trial measures of “efficacy” (which you saw trumpeted on CNBC as 94%, 95%, etc.) was based on measuring “reduction of symptoms” in isolation. There was no measurement of the vaccine candidates’ ability to halt infection or transmission. Based on that definition of “efficacy”, there should be no expectation that mass vaccination will result in any immediate individual or herd immunity. Only that as people are infected that their symptoms will be lessened (but by how much is unclear and will likely vary by vaccine injected). On the contrary there are several new studies on Invermectin which look exceedingly promising which could be used late when advanced symptoms develop (unlike Hydroxychloroquine which needs to be used early) and could save individuals as they are hospitalized which means they need a lot les a doses to treat the people most urgently in need. Bottom Line is if we see Emergency Authorizations on Invermectin (as well as some others which are still being assessed), that may allow us a greater ability to reduce lockdowns and restrictions than dependency on the current vaccine candidates alone. The last component is we need all authorities to be promoting and funding Vitamin D supplementation. There was a study all the way back in July that indicated that 95% of serious cases which ended up in ICU’s were severely Vitamin D deficient. If they can target long term care home and senior citizens in particular, it could be a game changer all on its own. Fingers crossed for all our sakes. Happy New Year all!
