2024 Congressional Election

Another GOPer 'retiring' from Congress.  He doesn't want to lie for Trump.   I expect the Dems to take back the House.  

https://www.mediaite.com/politics/house-republican-says-hes-retiring-so-he-doesnt-have-to-lie-on-behalf-of-trump-and-the-gop/

Outgoing House Republican Rep. Ken Buck (R-CO) added some further insights into his decision to retire and blasted many of his fellow Republicans for being willing to “lie” for Donald Trump.

Buck joined NewsNation’s Chris Stirewalt over the weekend on his new Sunday show and was asked by the former Fox News political editor about his decision to retire and what it meant for the current state of the GOP.

“We’ve gone from a time when the Tea Party stood for conservative principles, for constitutional principles, to a time where the [populists] have taken over the Republican Party and are really advocating things that I believe are very dangerous,” Buck told Stirewalt.

Stirewalt pressed for more details on his decision to retire. “The MAGA crowd ran a primary against me last time. I won 75-25. I’m not concerned about [a] primary, I’m not concerned about losing a general election,” Buck replied, adding:

You know, the time is right. I’m at a point in my life where I want to do different things. I want to enjoy my family more, I want to [do] less business travel and more recreational travel. There are a lot of things that went into the decision.

But really we’re at a time in American politics, that I am not going to lie on behalf of my presidential candidate, on behalf of my party. And I’m very sad that others in my party have taken the position that, as long as we get the White House, it doesn’t really matter what we say.
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This website is predicting a split congress - flipping the House and Senate from the current status however.  

Prediction: 63.4% chance the Dems take the House

https://www.racetothewh.com/house#google_vignette

Our House Forecast projects the chance both parties have of winning the majority. It uses data-driven projections to predict the outcome of all 435 races. Every day, it runs 20,000 simulations of the election. In 2022, our forecast called 96.3% of House Races correctly. We came just one seat short of perfectly predicting the total number of seats the GOP would win (we predicted they would win 223 seats, and they finished with 222).

They predict the GOP has a 61.6% chance of winning the Senate

https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24

We’ve correctly predicted Democrat’s narrow Senate majority in the last two election cycles and came just one seat shy in 2022 of perfectly predicting the # of seats the parties would win in both Senate and the House, - which was closer than any election forecaster that cycle.

 
TGHusker said:
This website is predicting a split congress - flipping the House and Senate from the current status however.  

Prediction: 63.4% chance the Dems take the House

https://www.racetothewh.com/house#google_vignette

Our House Forecast projects the chance both parties have of winning the majority. It uses data-driven projections to predict the outcome of all 435 races. Every day, it runs 20,000 simulations of the election. In 2022, our forecast called 96.3% of House Races correctly. We came just one seat short of perfectly predicting the total number of seats the GOP would win (we predicted they would win 223 seats, and they finished with 222).

They predict the GOP has a 61.6% chance of winning the Senate

https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/24

We’ve correctly predicted Democrat’s narrow Senate majority in the last two election cycles and came just one seat shy in 2022 of perfectly predicting the # of seats the parties would win in both Senate and the House, - which was closer than any election forecaster that cycle.
Click to expand...
If there is any chance Trump wins, it’s more important the Dems keep the senate. 

 
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