2024 Polls and Rankings

BigRedBuster said:


Not sure why this is different than the one posted above.
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2 different guys. Wasserman and Staples.

And if we win 10 games we will likely either be the 12th seed or first four out. It's really hard to guess this though because we don't know how many 10 win teams there will be. But based off of last season, 1 10 win P5 team would have been left out of the playoff. Our schedule may not be strong enough to get in with 10 wins but it kinda depends on how well Indiana does, how bad Colorado is, etc.

 
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I don't like discussing playoff picture at all yet. Not with where we still are as a program, remember, we have the longest active bowlless streak in the country (imagine telling that to someone 30 years ago). We still have a lot to prove, there's strides that have been made but we still are very unproven I feel. Colorado is not a horrible team but they are clearly top-heavy and thus, I don't consider them a "good team". Average at best. As for UTEP and UNI, two programs that just don't have the talent and resources to run with the big boys. So, right now, we can say Nebraska is an above-average team. Now that's good! It's been a while since I felt we could say that. It feels like this team is making way fewer mistakes. But, even with the playoffs expanded, we shouldn't be thinking about that at all, not right now at least.

Focus needs to still be on a bowl for this season.  Get six wins. Anything else is gravy.

 
SP+

Nebraska #24

Wayne St #264

UNK #312

Chadron St #399

Concordia #488

Midland #514

Peru St #572

Hastings #624

Wesleyan #654

Doane #656


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presidentjlh said:
I don't like discussing playoff picture at all yet. Not with where we still are as a program, remember, we have the longest active bowlless streak in the country (imagine telling that to someone 30 years ago). We still have a lot to prove, there's strides that have been made but we still are very unproven I feel. Colorado is not a horrible team but they are clearly top-heavy and thus, I don't consider them a "good team". Average at best. As for UTEP and UNI, two programs that just don't have the talent and resources to run with the big boys. So, right now, we can say Nebraska is an above-average team. Now that's good! It's been a while since I felt we could say that. It feels like this team is making way fewer mistakes. But, even with the playoffs expanded, we shouldn't be thinking about that at all, not right now at least.

Focus needs to still be on a bowl for this season.  Get six wins. Anything else is gravy.
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6 wins would feel like a huge failure at this point, considering we won 5 games last year and have already won 3. A 1 game improvement would feel pretty terrible considering how the season has started.

 
presidentjlh said:
I agree 6-6 would be disappointing. I mean that we just need to focus on getting to 6 wins first before we think about anything else.
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Eh, I don’t really understand this attitude. We’re the fans not the players. They can focus on 1 game at a time. I can think about who we’ll play after getting a bye in the 1st round of the playoffs. I just hope it’s not an Ohio State or Oregon rematch after we beat them in the regular season and conference championship. 

 
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ESPN has 2 interesting metrics where we are top 10.  I take both to mean we step on our opponents throat at the beginning of the game and don't lift our foot off.

Game Control: Reflects chance that an average Top 25 team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule.

1 Texas

2 Ole Miss

3 Miami

4 Indiana

5 Tennessee

6 Nebraska

Average Game Winning Probability: Team's average in-game win probability rank adjusted for chance that an average FBS team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule.

1 Louisville

2 Tennessee

3 Ole Miss

4 Nebraska

5 Ohio St

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/view/resume/sort/resume.avgingamewprank/dir/asc

 
Red Five said:
ESPN has 2 interesting metrics where we are top 10.  I take both to mean we step on our opponents throat at the beginning of the game and don't lift our foot off.

Game Control: Reflects chance that an average Top 25 team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule.

1 Texas

2 Ole Miss

3 Miami

4 Indiana

5 Tennessee

6 Nebraska

Average Game Winning Probability: Team's average in-game win probability rank adjusted for chance that an average FBS team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule.

1 Louisville

2 Tennessee

3 Ole Miss

4 Nebraska

5 Ohio St

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/view/resume/sort/resume.avgingamewprank/dir/asc
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Our offense lifted our foot off. But winning a game 28-10 tied 10-10 at half time is a lot different than up 28-0 at half time. I have to imagine you're right about how it's calculated. The winning probability might literally be what the average ESPN win probability was tracked as during the game, and against Colorado I assume it was above 95% the entire last 3 quarters. Whereas if we had been 10-10 at half time and run away with it later, it would have only been above 95% for maybe 1.5 quarters.

 
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