*** 2024 Pre-Season Previews Megathread ***

Three Notable Transfer Portal Losses


  • QB Chubba Purdy (Nevada): 59.5 PFF Grade
  • EDGE Chief Borders (Pittsburgh): 53.9 PFF Grade
  • QB Jeff Sims (Arizona State): 37.8 PFF Grade
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Not exactly a surprise, but kinda funny (in a black humor sort of way) how Purdy is a much bigger loss than Sims.

 
Big Ten football schedules ranked by miles traveled during 2024 season (247)

18. INDIANA HOOSIERS — 4,895 miles

17. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS — 5,141 miles

16. MICHIGAN WOLVERINES — 5,194 miles

15. OHIO STATE BUCKEYES — 5,633 miles

14. NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS — 5,696 miles

13. WISCONSIN BADGERS — 6,246 miles

12. ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI — 6,629 miles

11. NEBRASKA HUSKERS — 6,659 miles

10. Michigan State Spartans — 6,771 miles

9. Iowa Hawkeyes — 6,793 miles

8. Minnesota Golden Gophers — 7,350 miles

7. Maryland Terrapins — 8,132 miles

6. Penn State Nittany Lions — 8,602 miles

5. Rutgers Scarlet Knights — 9,278 miles

4. Oregon Ducks — 12,520 miles

3. USC Trojans — 12,710 miles

2. Washington Huskies — 17,522 miles

1. UCLA Bruins — 22,048
 

 
Keep in mind the top 4 scoring defenses in the country last year were Big Ten teams. That's probably somewhat an indictment of  Big Ten offenses, but a top 4 ranking in conference likely means an extremely high national ranking.

Considering we were one of the absolute worst offenses in the country last year, 7th in the conference is quite the honor.

 
Aug. 31: Vs. UTEP - Nebraska Win probability: 86.1 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 111

Sept. 7: Vs. Colorado - Nebraska Win probability: 51.9 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 36

Sept. 14: Vs. Northern Iowa - Nebraska Win probability: 88.3 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: N/A

Sept. 20: Vs. Illinois - Nebraska Win probability: N/A - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 62

Sept. 28: At Purdue - Nebraska Win probability: 54.1 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 60

Oct. 5: Vs. Rutgers - Nebraska Win probability: 57.2 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 45

Oct. 19: At Indiana - Nebraska Win probability: 62.2 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 77

Oct. 26: At Ohio State - Nebraska Win probability: 8.6 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 4

Nov. 2: Vs. UCLA - Nebraska Win probability: 54.8 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 40

Nov. 16: At USC - Nebraska Win probability: 26.4 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 18

Nov. 23: Vs. Wisconsin - Nebraska Win probability: 54.1 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 39

Nov. 29: At Iowa - Nebraska Win probability: 40.2 percent - Opponent FPI Rank: No. 37

 
How is the win probability against ILL N/A? Especially at home? They give the Huskers a 57% win probability against RU, but N/A against ILL? 

 
caveman99 said:
How is the win probability against ILL N/A? Especially at home? They give the Huskers a 57% win probability against RU, but N/A against ILL? 
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I think for some reason it won't calculate probabilities for Friday games - maybe not enough data to account for short rest? In any case, assuming it's based mostly on comparing FPIs and home field (not explicitly factoring in how the teams match up against each other), probably a bit over 60%. We're at 54% at Purdue who has a similar FPI to Illinois. Looking at the Iowa/Wisconsin numbers, home field looks to be a significant factor - so maybe close to 65%.

 
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