A reason we will beat KU

Post by Rojo from Huskerpedia

I. Reasons that we may NOT win in Lawrence:

--KU has the best run defense in the Big 12---allowing only 1.8 yds/carry in their five Big 12 games. No one’s been able to run on them all year---TT—47 yds rushing, KSU—35 yds, OU—96 yds, CU--104 yds, MU—33 yds. Our chances don’t look good….

--KU’s offense has struggled all year---until last week when they found their running game. Kansas was able to run on Missouri: 49 runs averaging 4.2 yds/carry. (Our rushing against Mizzou: 0.5 yds/carry).

--KU will be sky-high after humbling rival Missouri. KU is now 4-4. For a bowl: Beat Nebraska and Iowa State in their two remaining home games. (KU also plays Texas in Austin).

.

II. A reason that we could win: KU’s Quarterbacking.

Mangino’s tried three QB’s this year (in this order): Adam Barmann, Brian Luke, Jason Swanson. Swanson’s done the last two games---we’ll probably see him.

Regardless… KU’s Quarterbacks rank at the bottom of Big 12 Quarterbacks.

.

III. Quarterback Interception Frequency:

1. Jason Swanson, KU: 13.8 completions/Interception

[To compare: Joe Dailey ’04: 16.3 completions/Interception was the worst ratio in the nation.]

2. Brian Luke, KU: 19.5

3. Young, UT: 23.8

4. Bomar, OU: 29.0

5. McNeal, TAM: 30.3

6. Taylor, NU: 33.2

7. Meyer, ISU: 34.3

8. Bell, BU: 42.7

9. Smith, MU: 45.7

10. Hodges, TT: 47.0

11. Evridge, KSU: 48.7

12. Klatt, CU: 65.8

Last week against Mizzou Mangino was able to keep the pressure off of Swanson by getting a successful running game going:

--72% (49) of the play calls were runs

--28% (19) were passes. Swanson was 12-of-19 with 2 Interceptions.

Nebraska would love to force Kansas into passing situations. The Blackshirts ability to stop the run would decide that.

Just some things to think about

 
:cheers

Thank you for the insight Nameless

The "reasons why NU doesn't win" are a big concern. Can't really disagree with anything listed.

Although, the "reasons why NU will win" could possibly include...........

( I do not have any stats to back me, so I am talking out of my a$$)

1. special teams...... Punts and returns could help NU win field position

2. The ability of the blackshirts to stop the run, when not playing a running QB

3. KU may have a "let down" after the emotional "high" vs Missouri

4. KU "pressing" to get bowl eligible..(wont beat Texas).. may play tight

 
2. The ability of the blackshirts to stop the run, when not playing a running QB

3. KU may have a "let down" after the emotional "high" vs Missouri

I think you hit it right on the head with those two!!

GBR!!!

 
3. KU may have a "let down" after the emotional "high" vs Missouri
I've never bought this argument. I've seen teams lose because they overlook lesser teams when a more important game is coming up. But I don't think teams often come out flat after a huge win. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I just don't see it. Granted, Mizzou did it last week against Kansas, but we all know that MU is schizophrenic anyway. It wasn't the emotional high after the win against us, they're just inconsistent.

 
I've never bought this argument. I've seen teams lose because they overlook lesser teams when a more important game is coming up. But I don't think teams often come out flat after a huge win. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I just don't see it. Granted, Mizzou did it last week against Kansas, but we all know that MU is schizophrenic anyway. It wasn't the emotional high after the win against us, they're just inconsistent.
Exhibit #1

# 4 NU 17

# 1 OU 14 October 11, 1978

# 400 MU 35

# 2 NU 31 October 18, 1978

Exhibit #2

# 8 NU 52

# 8 CU 7 October 31, 1992

# 7 NU 49

#13 KU 7 November 7, 1992

# 8,000 ISU 19

# 7 NU 10 November 14, 1992

However, I do agree Mizzou has multiple personalities...But after two huge victories in 1992, I think NU was drained, as they were in 1978...just my opinion...

 
Missouri had lost the last 2 games against Kansas by an average of 31 points, so i really do not think they were overlooking them. Missouri was simply outcoached again this year. For the third consecutive year, Kansas's defensive coordinator won the chess match against Missouri's offensive coordinator.

 
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I didn't think Mizzou was overlooking KU, I was just giving overlooking a team as an example of something I think happens far more often than being drained after a big win. And I also didn't mean to say that being off after a big win never happens...Indiana Husker gave some examples when it did happen. My only point was I think the whole being off or drained after an emotional win point is overblown and I wouldn't count on Kansas reacting that way. I guess there's always a possibility though.

 
I expect NU will be throwing 40-50 times against KU. I pray that our OL will keep KU defenders off Taylor's back. I don't expect NU to get anymore than 75 yards rushing against those guys, and that may be stretching it. So Taylor is going to have to establish the short passing game -- and our receivers better be in the catching mold!

 
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