Any chance we shock the Nation as Auburn did?

[Nobody]

I think we can all agree that we will be better on defense

 

[Count 'Bility]

I'm not so sure Auburn actually shocked the world though. Anytime you pay 6 figures for a qb, you're pretty much assumed youre gonna win the MNC, right?

 

[VA Husker Fan]

Let's say we have a 50/50 chance in each game against Michigan, Penn State and the B1G champ game. A 70/30 chance against Sparty and UCLA. And a 50/50 chance we run the table against the rest of them. Then a 25% chance we get into the Rose Bowl (BCS champ bowl this year) and win it:

0.5 x 0.5 x 0.7 x 0.7 x 0.5 x0.25 = 1.53% chance. So our chances are about 1 in 65. Give or take. :lol:

Don't you want to leave that last 25% off of your calculation, as the preceding calculation should provide you with your chance of getting to the game, then take that times what you believe your chance of winning the championship game alone?

Edit: should have added a smart a$$ emoticon, but failed

Well, he missed a 0.5 in his calculation anyway (Mich, PSU, B1G, rest of field), plus the idea was to win it all, not just get there.

Lots of teams have some parallels to Auburn every year, most years none of them make it. The parallels aren't even that close. They had Cam Newton, I doubt TMart can have that kind of season. I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either. They didn't get whipped like we did in a couple of losses, and we didn't play the national champ to within 5 points. I think it's a real stretch to compare us to Auburn going into the season, much less project us to have the year that they had.

But yes, it's possible. For us, and for a number of teams out there. Less than 1% for us as NUance showed, correcting his formula.

 

[Nobody]

Also - I don't see Nick Fairley on our D.

I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner.

 

[VA Husker Fan]

OregonHuskerMan actually said it first, but it was worth repeating.

 

[QMany]

I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner.

You mean a 3-star DT that had 20-some tackles in a year where his rushing defense was God-awful?

We have one of those on our defense.

 

[The Dude]

It's fair to say Nick Fairley was a fairly overrated turd.

 

[Count 'Bility]

It's fair to say Nick Fairly was a fairly overrated turd.

Pretty much 100% agreement with you. Dont really recall anything that he did that was so great. Now the world may burn in hell.

 

[Nobody]

I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner.

You mean a 3-star DT that had 20-some tackles in a year where his rushing defense was God-awful?

We have one of those on our defense.

try 60 tackles. 24 tackles for loss. 11.5 sacks.

 

[The Dude]

Man you're really coming around this off season. By the time fall camp is over you might be a homer again.

Whaa whaa whaat's happened to you!?

I can feel the kool-aid rise in this one.....

The Dude Rises...

:koolaid2:

But I've been saying that about the offense since the bowl game.

Beck threw a lot of new stuff at Georgia. It was almost like watching a new offense in a lot of ways. He took a lot of the formation shifts and motions that killed us against UCLA and Wisconsin and incorporated it into our offense. Not to mention the subtle wrinkles he mixed in, like shovel and screen passes, for instance.

With an offseason to hone what they were doing in that game, I'm relatively confident our offense will be one of the best in the nation. Even if our defense blows, we'll have a chance to win any game. How good of a chance, though, will be dependent on how much the defense can step it up. Tackling, I think, is the biggest thing that needs improvement. Surprised it doesn't get talked about more often. If our guys can run, fine, but little good that is if they don't make the play when they get there.

 

[funhusker]

I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner.

You mean a 3-star DT that had 20-some tackles in a year where his rushing defense was God-awful?

We have one of those on our defense.

try 60 tackles. 24 tackles for loss. 11.5 sacks.

I believe QMany was referring to Fairley's stats from the year before they won the championship. (not "drastically" better than Randle this past year....)

 

[Mavric]

I don't see a Nick Fairley on our defense either.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a winner.

You mean a 3-star DT that had 20-some tackles in a year where his rushing defense was God-awful?

We have one of those on our defense.

try 60 tackles. 24 tackles for loss. 11.5 sacks.

Well, nobody else on their defense could tackle so I guess somebody had to...

 

[The Dude]

It's fair to say Nick Fairly was a fairly overrated turd.

Pretty much 100% agreement with you. Dont really recall anything that he did that was so great. Now the world may burn in hell.

Don't get me wrong, he was a great player. But the overrated part comes in when people started comparing him to Suh after the MNC.

He wasn't close.

 

[B.B. Hemingway]

It's fair to say Nick Fairly was a fairly overrated turd.

Pretty much 100% agreement with you. Dont really recall anything that he did that was so great. Now the world may burn in hell.

Don't get me wrong, he was a great player. But the overrated part comes in when people started comparing him to Suh after the MNC.

He wasn't close.

The comparisons to Suh were laughable. How quickly people forget his dominance....

 

[The Dude]

It's fair to say Nick Fairly was a fairly overrated turd.

Pretty much 100% agreement with you. Dont really recall anything that he did that was so great. Now the world may burn in hell.

Don't get me wrong, he was a great player. But the overrated part comes in when people started comparing him to Suh after the MNC.

He wasn't close.

The comparisons to Suh were laughable. How quickly people forget his dominance....

I recall one topic of discussion on ESPN radio was "Is Nick Fairley better than Ndamukong Suh?"

My reaction was something like:

I miss that radio.