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Interesting art that assesses whether or not the ban was even worth a flick in the first place...
END OF THE ASSAULT RIFLE BUNK
On September 13, the 10-year-long Assault Weapons Ban, signed into law by Bill Clinton, quietly expired… a ban that really didn’t ban much of anything. Semi-automatic firearms, by definition assault weapons, were never outlawed under the “ban”. Only some features were removed that were deemed to be of interest mostly to criminals, such as flash suppressors, pistol grips, high-capacity magazines and… bayonet attachments. Since we haven’t heard of many crimes that involved a bayonet, it’s probably safe to say that banning those inconvenienced collectors more than criminals.
Furthermore, old, pre-ban assault weapons have been freely available on the market for the past ten years, so anyone who wanted a gun equipped to use a silencer, for example, would have had little trouble finding one.
Considering these facts, it would hardly be surprising to see that the crime rate in the last ten years hadn’t been affected much. But interpreting the numbers is a problem in itself. “The effectiveness [of the ban] is fiercely disputed and statistically hard to determine,” stated the New York Times in a recent article. “There are different definitions of semi-automatic assault weapons, and there is no good national database to measure crimes committed by type of gun.”
The studies that do exist have often been conducted by special interest groups, which makes them easily dismissible as biased. One study found a 66% drop in the criminal use of assault weapons after the ban was enacted. It originates from the Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence, which also deducted that, had the law not been passed, about 66,000 more assault weapons could have been traced to crimes since 1994… a bold conclusion since it is based on a fictional “what if” situation.
In contrast, a Department of Justice study detected only a small decrease in assault weapons crimes—and even that, said the DOJ, was nullified by an increase in crimes committed with other, similar guns.
“The nation’s crime rate last year held steady at the lowest levels since the government began surveying crime victims in 1973,” trumpeted the Washington Post last week, wisely avoiding to claim a direct connection with the Assault Rifle Ban. Instead, the article subtly hinted at the “decade-long trend in which violent crime… has fallen by 55 percent.”
This reminds us of humorist Evan Esar who described a statistician as “a man who believes figures don't lie, but admits that under analysis some of them won't stand up either.”
There is in fact no concrete proof one way or another. According to the Washington Post, James Lynch, professor with the Dept. of Justice, Law and Society at American University admits that the reasons for the decline are “difficult to pinpoint”. He and other experts name various potential factors, such as less violent drug trade, more mature police tactics, an aging population, a record 2.1 million prison population, or a dampening effect on ordinary crime by the fight against terrorism.
In a nutshell, we will never know. But before our politicians sign another lip-service ban of this kind, they might as well save the ink.
END OF THE ASSAULT RIFLE BUNK
On September 13, the 10-year-long Assault Weapons Ban, signed into law by Bill Clinton, quietly expired… a ban that really didn’t ban much of anything. Semi-automatic firearms, by definition assault weapons, were never outlawed under the “ban”. Only some features were removed that were deemed to be of interest mostly to criminals, such as flash suppressors, pistol grips, high-capacity magazines and… bayonet attachments. Since we haven’t heard of many crimes that involved a bayonet, it’s probably safe to say that banning those inconvenienced collectors more than criminals.
Furthermore, old, pre-ban assault weapons have been freely available on the market for the past ten years, so anyone who wanted a gun equipped to use a silencer, for example, would have had little trouble finding one.
Considering these facts, it would hardly be surprising to see that the crime rate in the last ten years hadn’t been affected much. But interpreting the numbers is a problem in itself. “The effectiveness [of the ban] is fiercely disputed and statistically hard to determine,” stated the New York Times in a recent article. “There are different definitions of semi-automatic assault weapons, and there is no good national database to measure crimes committed by type of gun.”
The studies that do exist have often been conducted by special interest groups, which makes them easily dismissible as biased. One study found a 66% drop in the criminal use of assault weapons after the ban was enacted. It originates from the Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence, which also deducted that, had the law not been passed, about 66,000 more assault weapons could have been traced to crimes since 1994… a bold conclusion since it is based on a fictional “what if” situation.
In contrast, a Department of Justice study detected only a small decrease in assault weapons crimes—and even that, said the DOJ, was nullified by an increase in crimes committed with other, similar guns.
“The nation’s crime rate last year held steady at the lowest levels since the government began surveying crime victims in 1973,” trumpeted the Washington Post last week, wisely avoiding to claim a direct connection with the Assault Rifle Ban. Instead, the article subtly hinted at the “decade-long trend in which violent crime… has fallen by 55 percent.”
This reminds us of humorist Evan Esar who described a statistician as “a man who believes figures don't lie, but admits that under analysis some of them won't stand up either.”
There is in fact no concrete proof one way or another. According to the Washington Post, James Lynch, professor with the Dept. of Justice, Law and Society at American University admits that the reasons for the decline are “difficult to pinpoint”. He and other experts name various potential factors, such as less violent drug trade, more mature police tactics, an aging population, a record 2.1 million prison population, or a dampening effect on ordinary crime by the fight against terrorism.
In a nutshell, we will never know. But before our politicians sign another lip-service ban of this kind, they might as well save the ink.